Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 14

January 25, 201273 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 25, 2012, 3:17 AM CST for 73 counties in Texas. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2012, 3:17 AM CST (09:17 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2012, 2:00 PM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 73 counties

Anderson County, TX, Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Coryell County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Duval County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Frio County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Harris County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, McLennan County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Polk County, TX, Refugio County, TX, Robertson County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 3:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis42 min
Jan 25, 4:19 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam41 min
Jan 25, 4:26 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop3 hr
Jan 25, 4:26 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXTravis, Williamson3 hr
Jan 25, 5:18 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis3 hr
Jan 25, 6:06 AM CSTTornado WarningFWDFalls, Robertson24 min
Jan 25, 6:07 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXLee3 hr
Jan 25, 6:12 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson, Washington63 min
Jan 25, 6:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLee52 min
Jan 25, 6:43 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBurleson, Washington32 min
Jan 25, 6:46 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop3 hr
Jan 25, 7:04 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXFayette3 hr
Jan 25, 7:06 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson24 min
Jan 25, 7:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazos, Burleson, Grimes, Madison, Waller, Washington44 min
Jan 25, 7:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Grimes, Harris, Waller, Washington38 min
Jan 25, 7:23 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXGrimes, Waller, Washington37 min
Jan 25, 7:28 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazos, Grimes, Madison47 min
Jan 25, 7:55 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Grimes, Harris, Houston, Madison, Montgomery and 4 more50 min
Jan 25, 8:04 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXGrimes, Houston, Madison, Montgomery, Walker41 min
Jan 25, 8:08 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXGrimes, Montgomery, Walker37 min
Jan 25, 8:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson33 min
Jan 25, 8:35 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Montgomery, Waller10 min
Jan 25, 8:44 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXMontgomery31 min
Jan 25, 8:46 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Houston, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity and 1 more44 min
Jan 25, 8:52 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXSan Jacinto, Walker23 min
Jan 25, 9:27 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningEWXBastrop2 hr
Jan 25, 9:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHouston, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker46 min
Jan 25, 9:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXAustin, Fort Bend, Wharton47 min
Jan 25, 10:21 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity39 min
Jan 25, 10:23 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXHarris, Liberty, Montgomery52 min
Jan 25, 10:25 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningHGXAustin, Fort Bend, Harris, Matagorda, Montgomery, Waller and 1 more3 hr
Jan 25, 10:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXFort Bend, Harris, Wharton46 min
Jan 25, 10:57 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Matagorda48 min
Jan 25, 11:08 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty, Polk, San Jacinto22 min
Jan 25, 11:13 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Fort Bend, Harris32 min
Jan 25, 11:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXLiberty51 min
Jan 25, 11:47 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda58 min
Jan 25, 11:57 AM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Galveston, Harris33 min
Jan 25, 12:09 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXBrazoria, Harris21 min
Jan 25, 1:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHGXChambers, Galveston48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-01-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1865 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 00:00Z on 2012-01-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 146 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1865 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
594 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
260 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
9.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

171 
WWUS20 KWNS 250929
SEL4
SPC WW 250929
TXZ000-CWZ000-251700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 14
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF ALICE TEXAS
TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WACO TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 13...

DISCUSSION...SEVERAL BANDS/CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SVR TSTMS EXPECTED
OVER PARTS CNTRL AND E TX THROUGH THIS MORNING AS WIND FIELD AND UPR
DIFFLUENCE STRENGTHEN IN NE QUADRANT OF W TX UPR LOW.  AS THE LOW
CONTINUES SLOWLY EWD...ASSOCIATED MID/UPR LVL JET STREAK WILL REFORM
ON ERN SIDE OF SYSTEM.  COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW-LVL
CONFLUENT FLOW OVER THE NWRN GULF AND THE SRN/MIDDLE TX CSTL
PLN...SETUP MAY FOSTER AN INCREASING RISK FOR STORMS WITH LOW-LVL
MESOS GIVEN LIKELY PERSISTENCE OF SELY NEAR-SFC FLOW.
THE WRN-MOST SQLN...NOW EXTENDING FROM ABOUT 40 W TPL TO NEAR COT
SHOULD CONTINUE STEADILY EWD...EFFECTIVELY MARKING WRN EDGE OF RISK
AREA.  BAND OF STORMS E OF THAT SQLN...ATTM EXTENDING SSWWD FROM E
OF AUS...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  WIND
PROFILES AND THERMODYNAMICS SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED
LEWPS WITH DMGG WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES.  TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT ARISE LATER THIS MORNING IN
CONFLUENT FLOW FARTHER E TOWARD THE VCT/HOU AREAS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 24, 7:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 23 more92 min
Jan 24, 10:05 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 33 more5 hr
Jan 24, 11:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 38 more56 min
Jan 25, 2:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 56 more2 hr
Jan 25, 7:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria and 40 more2 hr
Jan 25, 7:56 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Cherokee, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches and 8 more7 hr
Jan 25, 10:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 5 more96 min
Jan 25, 11:24 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harrison, Jasper and 10 more2 hr
Jan 25, 2:08 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCJefferson, Orange7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.