Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 14
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 25, 2012, 3:17 AM CST for 73 counties in Texas. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 25, 2012, 3:17 AM CST (09:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2012, 2:00 PM CST
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 73 counties
Anderson County, TX, Aransas County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Austin County, TX, Bastrop County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Brazoria County, TX, Brazos County, TX, Burleson County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Caldwell County, TX, Calhoun County, TX, Chambers County, TX, Colorado County, TX, Comal County, TX, Coryell County, TX, DeWitt County, TX, Duval County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fayette County, TX, Fort Bend County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Frio County, TX, Galveston County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Gonzales County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Harris County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jackson County, TX, Jim Wells County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kleberg County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Lavaca County, TX, Lee County, TX, Leon County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Madison County, TX, Matagorda County, TX, McLennan County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Milam County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Nueces County, TX, Polk County, TX, Refugio County, TX, Robertson County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, San Patricio County, TX, Travis County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Victoria County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX, Washington County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wharton County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 3:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis | 42 min |
| Jan 25, 4:19 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Milam | 41 min |
| Jan 25, 4:26 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 4:26 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Travis, Williamson | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 5:18 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 6:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Falls, Robertson | 24 min |
| Jan 25, 6:07 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Lee | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 6:12 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson, Washington | 63 min |
| Jan 25, 6:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Lee | 52 min |
| Jan 25, 6:43 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Burleson, Washington | 32 min |
| Jan 25, 6:46 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 7:04 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Fayette | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 7:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson | 24 min |
| Jan 25, 7:16 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazos, Burleson, Grimes, Madison, Waller, Washington | 44 min |
| Jan 25, 7:22 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Austin, Grimes, Harris, Waller, Washington | 38 min |
| Jan 25, 7:23 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Grimes, Waller, Washington | 37 min |
| Jan 25, 7:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Brazos, Grimes, Madison | 47 min |
| Jan 25, 7:55 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Austin, Grimes, Harris, Houston, Madison, Montgomery and 4 more | 50 min |
| Jan 25, 8:04 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Grimes, Houston, Madison, Montgomery, Walker | 41 min |
| Jan 25, 8:08 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Grimes, Montgomery, Walker | 37 min |
| Jan 25, 8:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson | 33 min |
| Jan 25, 8:35 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Harris, Montgomery, Waller | 10 min |
| Jan 25, 8:44 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Montgomery | 31 min |
| Jan 25, 8:46 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Harris, Houston, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity and 1 more | 44 min |
| Jan 25, 8:52 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | San Jacinto, Walker | 23 min |
| Jan 25, 9:27 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bastrop | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 9:29 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Houston, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity, Walker | 46 min |
| Jan 25, 9:43 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Austin, Fort Bend, Wharton | 47 min |
| Jan 25, 10:21 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Liberty, Montgomery, Polk, San Jacinto, Trinity | 39 min |
| Jan 25, 10:23 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Harris, Liberty, Montgomery | 52 min |
| Jan 25, 10:25 AM CST | Flash Flood Warning | HGX | Austin, Fort Bend, Harris, Matagorda, Montgomery, Waller and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Jan 25, 10:29 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Fort Bend, Harris, Wharton | 46 min |
| Jan 25, 10:57 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Matagorda | 48 min |
| Jan 25, 11:08 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Liberty, Polk, San Jacinto | 22 min |
| Jan 25, 11:13 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Fort Bend, Harris | 32 min |
| Jan 25, 11:24 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Liberty | 51 min |
| Jan 25, 11:47 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda | 58 min |
| Jan 25, 11:57 AM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Galveston, Harris | 33 min |
| Jan 25, 12:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | HGX | Brazoria, Harris | 21 min |
| Jan 25, 1:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HGX | Chambers, Galveston | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 00:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1865 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 594 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 146 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 260 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.8
- Supercell composite
- 9.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
171
WWUS20 KWNS 250929
SEL4
SPC WW 250929
TXZ000-CWZ000-251700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 14
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 320 AM UNTIL 1100 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF ALICE TEXAS
TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF WACO TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 13...
DISCUSSION...SEVERAL BANDS/CLUSTERS OF STRONG TO SVR TSTMS EXPECTED
OVER PARTS CNTRL AND E TX THROUGH THIS MORNING AS WIND FIELD AND UPR
DIFFLUENCE STRENGTHEN IN NE QUADRANT OF W TX UPR LOW. AS THE LOW
CONTINUES SLOWLY EWD...ASSOCIATED MID/UPR LVL JET STREAK WILL REFORM
ON ERN SIDE OF SYSTEM. COUPLED WITH INCREASINGLY MOIST LOW-LVL
CONFLUENT FLOW OVER THE NWRN GULF AND THE SRN/MIDDLE TX CSTL
PLN...SETUP MAY FOSTER AN INCREASING RISK FOR STORMS WITH LOW-LVL
MESOS GIVEN LIKELY PERSISTENCE OF SELY NEAR-SFC FLOW.
THE WRN-MOST SQLN...NOW EXTENDING FROM ABOUT 40 W TPL TO NEAR COT
SHOULD CONTINUE STEADILY EWD...EFFECTIVELY MARKING WRN EDGE OF RISK
AREA. BAND OF STORMS E OF THAT SQLN...ATTM EXTENDING SSWWD FROM E
OF AUS...IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WIND
PROFILES AND THERMODYNAMICS SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR EMBEDDED
LEWPS WITH DMGG WIND/ISOLD TORNADOES. TORNADOES ALSO WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT ARISE LATER THIS MORNING IN
CONFLUENT FLOW FARTHER E TOWARD THE VCT/HOU AREAS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 7:13 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 23 more | 92 min |
| Jan 24, 10:05 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 33 more | 5 hr |
| Jan 24, 11:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 38 more | 56 min |
| Jan 25, 2:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 56 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 7:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria and 40 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 7:56 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Cherokee, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches and 8 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 25, 10:09 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 5 more | 96 min |
| Jan 25, 11:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Chambers, Galveston, Hardin, Harrison, Jasper and 10 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 2:08 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Jefferson, Orange | 7 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.