Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Fort Worth, TX

236 
WWUS54 KFWD 251038
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
438 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

TXC331-251100-
/O.CON.KFWD.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120125T1100Z/
MILAM TX-
438 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CST
FOR MILAM COUNTY...

AT 437 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF
60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF BUCKHOLTS...MOVING
NORTH AT 50 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BUCKHOLTS AND CAMERON AROUND 445 AM CST...

LAT...LON 3072 9727 3075 9731 3089 9726 3110 9683
      3107 9681 3107 9682 3099 9675 3097 9677
      3093 9676 3090 9672 3090 9670 3062 9684
      3046 9716
TIME...MOT...LOC 1037Z 193DEG 45KT 3080 9713

$$
42/MM

670 
WWUS54 KFWD 251056
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
456 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

TXC331-251106-
/O.EXP.KFWD.SV.W.0001.000000T0000Z-120125T1100Z/
MILAM TX-
456 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MILAM COUNTY EXPIRES AT 500 AM
CST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST WEDNESDAY 
MORNING.

LAT...LON 3072 9727 3075 9731 3089 9726 3110 9683
      3107 9681 3107 9682 3099 9675 3097 9677
      3093 9676 3090 9672 3090 9670 3062 9684
      3046 9716
TIME...MOT...LOC 1056Z 193DEG 45KT 3103 9707

$$
42/MM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
348 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

.DISCUSSION...
A DYNAMIC UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY TODAY. THE LOW CENTER WAS LOCATED OVER
WEST TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND WILL BE SLOW TO MIGRATE
SOUTHEAST ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TODAY...BEFORE WORKING ITS WAY
EAST ACROSS CENTRAL TEXAS TOMORROW...THEN FINALLY EAST OF THE
STATE TOMORROW NIGHT. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS
SPINNING UP OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH A
WARM FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FWD
COUNTIES.

INSTABILITY IS LACKING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...BUT INCREASES
SUBSTANTIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY. THIS IN
COMBINATION WITH THE IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL HELICITY VALUES SHOULD
ALLOW FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOME SEVERE STORMS OVER ROUGHLY THE
SOUTHERN THIRD OF NORTH TEXAS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. A FEW
STORMS JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA HAVE SHOWN SIGNS OF ROTATION DURING
THE PAST HOUR AND CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW ISOLATED TORNADOES ALONG
WITH THE DAMAGING WIND THREAT THIS MORNING. AFTER COORDINATING WITH
SPC...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ATHENS TO HILLSBORO TO LAMPASAS...EFFECTIVE
UNTIL 11 AM CST.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST THROUGH THE MORNING AS
SOAKING THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN RECURRING ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
SINCE YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL HAS ALREADY BEEN ABOVE NORMAL
SO FAR THIS WINTER. THIS PARTICULAR SETUP HAS GENERATED PRECIPITABLE
H2O VALUES AROUND 1.5 INCHES WHICH IS IMPRESSIVE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. HEADWATERS OF THE SABINE AND PORTIONS OF THE TRINITY RIVER ARE
ALREADY EXPERIENCING OR FORECAST TO EXPERIENCE LEVELS ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES STILL
POSSIBLE. BOTH RIVER FLOODING AND URBAN STREET FLOODING WILL
REMAIN A POSSIBILITY AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS ALL BUT THE WESTERN-MOST COUNTIES THROUGH NOON TODAY.

BOTH THE HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE THREAT WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW AND FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVE EAST OF THE AREA. WINDS WILL CONCURRENTLY BACK TO THE
NORTHEAST AND THEN TO THE NORTH AS THIS HAPPENS...KEEPING
TEMPERATURES FROM WARMING MUCH ABOVE CURRENT READINGS OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN HALF OF THE REGION. THE COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TOMORROW. SHOWERS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
DAY THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH DECENT LIFT AND WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE AS
THE UPPER LOW CENTER MOVES OVERHEAD. RAIN SHOULD END AREA-WIDE
BY FRIDAY AS THE SYSTEM OPENS UP AND ACCELERATES TOWARDS THE EAST
COAST AND SUBSIDENCE IS LEFT IN ITS WAKE.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT
KEEPING TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR OVER THE
WEEKEND. A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL BRUSH THE AREA NEXT TUESDAY
BUT RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN SLIM TO NON-EXISTENT FOR THE EXTENDED
PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

30

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  52  44  56  36  63 /  90  40  30  10   0
WACO, TX              59  43  58  37  64 /  90  40  30  20   0
PARIS, TX             52  47  59  38  60 / 100  60  50  10   0
DENTON, TX            49  43  54  33  63 /  80  40  30  10   0
MCKINNEY, TX          51  45  56  35  63 /  90  50  30  10   0
DALLAS, TX            52  45  56  38  63 /  90  40  30  10   0
TERRELL, TX           57  47  57  38  62 / 100  50  40  20   0
CORSICANA, TX         62  47  58  40  63 / 100  50  40  20   0
TEMPLE, TX            61  44  58  38  65 /  90  30  30  20   0
MINERAL WELLS, TX     50  40  56  32  65 /  60  40  30  10   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR TXZ091>095-101>107-
116>123-130>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
241 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-260845-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
241 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS MAINLY THIS
MORNING. SOME STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE...PARTICULARLY EARLY THIS
MORNING SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO HILLSBORO TO CANTON. HAIL
UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING...WHICH COULD RESULT IN FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON FOR MOST OF NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING SOUTH OF LINE FROM
COMANCHE TO HILLSBORO TO CANTON.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1250 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

..TIME..    ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1248 AM     FLOOD            LIPAN                   32.52N  98.05W
01/25/2012                   HOOD               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LOW WATER CROSSINGS BARRICADED IN LIPAN. AS MUCH AS 2
            FEET OF WATER OVER ROAD.