Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2012
Tornado Watch 15
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 25, 2012, 7:56 AM CST for 30 parishes in Louisiana; 14 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 25, 2012, 7:56 AM CST (13:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 25, 2012, 3:00 PM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 44 counties
Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 9:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk | 49 min |
| Jan 25, 9:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Angelina, Nacogdoches, San Augustine | 46 min |
| Jan 25, 10:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Hardin, Jasper, Tyler | 57 min |
| Jan 25, 10:33 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby | 57 min |
| Jan 25, 10:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Angelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby | 56 min |
| Jan 25, 10:55 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Harrison, Panola | 32 min |
| Jan 25, 11:31 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Jasper, Tyler | 59 min |
| Jan 25, 11:32 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bossier, Caddo, De Soto | 58 min |
| Jan 25, 12:05 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Hardin, Tyler | 25 min |
| Jan 25, 12:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Jasper, Tyler | 31 min |
| Jan 25, 12:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Jasper, Newton | 31 min |
| Jan 25, 1:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Red River, Sabine | 48 min |
| Jan 25, 1:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Sabine | 28 min |
| Jan 25, 1:29 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Beauregard, Vernon | 31 min |
| Jan 25, 1:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine | 47 min |
| Jan 25, 2:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Beauregard, Vernon | 29 min |
| Jan 25, 2:05 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Natchitoches, Sabine | 25 min |
| Jan 25, 2:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Rapides, Vernon | 32 min |
| Jan 25, 2:36 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Allen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron | 54 min |
| Jan 25, 2:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Rapides | 34 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 28 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -201 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 576 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 241 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 341 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.6
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
235
WWUS20 KWNS 251358
SEL5
SPC WW 251358
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-252100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 755 AM UNTIL
300 PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...
DISCUSSION...NRN PARTS OF E TX SQLN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD INTO
RECOVERING BOUNDARY LAYER ENVIRONMENT NEAR DIFFUSE WNW-ESE WARM
FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM N OF LUFKIN TX TO NEAR BATON ROUGE LA.
AREA VWP DATA SHOW 50+ KT SSWLY LLJ SHIFTING EWD IN TANDEM WITH
SQLN...ENHANCING LOW LVL SHEAR AND STRENGTHENING LOW LVL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT. WHILE MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK...COMBINATION
OF INCREASING LOW LVL MOISTURE/SHEAR AND MODEST SFC HEATING MAY
YIELD AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR LEWPS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND
ISOLD TORNADOES. OTHER STORMS MAY ARISE LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY
THIS AFTN WITHIN CONFLUENCE BAND NOW OVER THE HOUSTON AREA AHEAD OF
SQLN. ANY SUSTAINED STORMS FORMING WITH THIS ACTIVITY MAY POSE A
TORNADO THREAT LATER TODAY OVER SW LA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 11:24 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier and 25 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 1:41 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 13 more | 94 min |
| Jan 25, 2:08 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 41 more | 7 hr |
| Jan 25, 4:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Avoyelles, Cameron, Catahoula and 24 more | 86 min |
| Jan 24, 7:13 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 23 more | 92 min |
| Jan 24, 10:05 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 33 more | 5 hr |
| Jan 24, 11:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 38 more | 56 min |
| Jan 25, 2:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 56 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 3:17 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Aransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee and 67 more | 11 hr |
| Jan 25, 7:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria and 40 more | 2 hr |
| Jan 25, 10:09 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 5 more | 96 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.