Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2012

Tornado Watch 15

January 25, 201230 parishes in Louisiana; 14 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 25, 2012, 7:56 AM CST for 30 parishes in Louisiana; 14 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 25, 2012, 7:56 AM CST (13:56 UTC)
Expired
Jan 25, 2012, 3:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 44 counties

Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Tyler County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 9:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Nacogdoches, Rusk49 min
Jan 25, 9:59 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Nacogdoches, San Augustine46 min
Jan 25, 10:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHHardin, Jasper, Tyler57 min
Jan 25, 10:33 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby57 min
Jan 25, 10:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVAngelina, Nacogdoches, Sabine, San Augustine, Shelby56 min
Jan 25, 10:55 AM CSTTornado WarningSHVHarrison, Panola32 min
Jan 25, 11:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHJasper, Tyler59 min
Jan 25, 11:32 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo, De Soto58 min
Jan 25, 12:05 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHHardin, Tyler25 min
Jan 25, 12:29 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHJasper, Tyler31 min
Jan 25, 12:59 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHJasper, Newton31 min
Jan 25, 1:12 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Red River, Sabine48 min
Jan 25, 1:17 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVSabine28 min
Jan 25, 1:29 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon31 min
Jan 25, 1:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine47 min
Jan 25, 2:01 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHBeauregard, Vernon29 min
Jan 25, 2:05 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVNatchitoches, Sabine25 min
Jan 25, 2:28 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHRapides, Vernon32 min
Jan 25, 2:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLCHAllen, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron54 min
Jan 25, 2:56 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHRapides34 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 28 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2012-01-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
28 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-201 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
576 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
341 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

235 
WWUS20 KWNS 251358
SEL5
SPC WW 251358
LAZ000-TXZ000-CWZ000-252100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       WESTERN AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
       SOUTHEAST TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 755 AM UNTIL
300 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...

DISCUSSION...NRN PARTS OF E TX SQLN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD INTO
RECOVERING BOUNDARY LAYER ENVIRONMENT NEAR DIFFUSE WNW-ESE WARM
FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM N OF LUFKIN TX TO NEAR BATON ROUGE LA.
AREA VWP DATA SHOW 50+ KT SSWLY LLJ SHIFTING EWD IN TANDEM WITH
SQLN...ENHANCING LOW LVL SHEAR AND STRENGTHENING LOW LVL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT.  WHILE MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK...COMBINATION
OF INCREASING LOW LVL MOISTURE/SHEAR AND MODEST SFC HEATING MAY
YIELD AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR LEWPS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND
ISOLD TORNADOES.  OTHER STORMS MAY ARISE LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY
THIS AFTN WITHIN CONFLUENCE BAND NOW OVER THE HOUSTON AREA AHEAD OF
SQLN. ANY SUSTAINED STORMS FORMING WITH THIS ACTIVITY MAY POSE A
TORNADO THREAT LATER TODAY OVER SW LA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 25, 11:24 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Bienville, Bossier and 25 more2 hr
Jan 25, 1:41 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 13 more94 min
Jan 25, 2:08 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 41 more7 hr
Jan 25, 4:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Avoyelles, Cameron, Catahoula and 24 more86 min
Jan 24, 7:13 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell and 23 more92 min
Jan 24, 10:05 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 33 more5 hr
Jan 24, 11:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 38 more56 min
Jan 25, 2:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 56 more2 hr
Jan 25, 3:17 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Aransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Bee and 67 more11 hr
Jan 25, 7:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Aransas, Austin, Bee, Brazoria and 40 more2 hr
Jan 25, 10:09 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Harris, Liberty, Matagorda and 5 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2012Tornado Watches in Texas, 2012Every tornado watch in 2012

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.