Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2021

EF1 tornado, Preston to Rushford, Minnesota, December 15, 2021

From Preston to Rushford, this EF1 tornado ran 1.2 miles across Fillmore County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 8:01 PM CST and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $40,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
8:01 PM CST (02:01 UTC)
Lifted
8:02 PM CST (02:02 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
1.2 miles (1.9 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$40,000
County
Fillmore County
Touchdown point
43.818, -91.903
Lift-off point
43.835, -91.895
Record number
2112152001-01

The damage survey

67 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ARX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • Track on both sides of the road. Wind damage to the east,
  • Might be on the inflow side but it’s close
  • Again, might be on inflow side
  • Some softwood tree limbs down as well. Broad.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An intense storm system moved across the Upper Midwest on December 15th and produced a rare severe weather outbreak across southeast Minnesota. One person was killed near Rochester (Olmsted County) when a large tree fell on the victim. Twelve tornadoes occurred across parts of Mower, Fillmore, Houston, Dodge, Winona and Wabasha Counties. Eight of these tornadoes were rated EF1 with the others rated EF0. The tornadoes largely moved through rural areas damaging trees, power lines and farm buildings with the exception of an EF0 tornado that moved through the eastern sections of Preston (Fillmore County) and and EF1 tornado that tracked across Homer (Winona County). In addition to the tornadoes, damaging winds occurred with several reports of wind speeds over 70 mph. The highest recorded wind gusts were 85 mph in Plainview (Wabasha County), 84 mph in Harmony (Fillmore County) and Mabel (Fillmore County) and 83 mph south of Grand Meadow (Mower County). A state of emergency was declared in Fillmore County. The Governor of Minnesota authorized emergency assistance for the following counties: Dodge, Fillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted and Wabasha.

This was the second tornado of the night in Fillmore County. This narrow EF0 tornado moved across the eastern and northern parts of Preston. Houses, sheds, cars and trees were damaged along the path. The roofs of the fire department and city hall were both damaged.

This was the third tornado of the night in Fillmore County. This EF1 tornado developed northeast of Preston and moved northeast for about 2 miles before dissipating. Farm outbuildings and trees were damaged along the path.

This was the fourth tornado of the night in Fillmore County. This EF1 tornado formed just south of the tiny town of Arendahl and was only on the ground for one minute as it moved rapidly northeast. The damage was limited to a large grove of trees northeast of Arendahl.

This was the fifth tornado of the night in Fillmore County. This EF1 tornado formed south of Rushford and moved to the northeast before dissipating. The tornado destroyed some farm outbuildings and damaged trees along its path.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

23 minutes of warning. NWS ARX issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:38 UTC, 23 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 02:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 23:30 UTC and running to 03:17 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
09:48 UTC15:00 UTCDense Fog AdvisoryARX
21:00 UTC20:46 UTCHigh Wind WatchARX
23:30 UTC03:17 UTCTornado WatchARX
00:00 UTC12:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningARX
00:37 UTC01:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningARX
01:24 UTC02:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningARX
01:38 UTC02:15 UTCTornado WarningARX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 00:54 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

2.0 hours before the tornado, 177 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 633 joules per kilogram, CIN -55, lifted condensation level 770 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 443 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 75 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
633 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
770 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
443 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
470 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.7
0-3 km lapse rate
3.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

10.0 hours after it, 177 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -112159, lifted condensation level 704 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -46 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 56 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-112159 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
1.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 57 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:03 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:28 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se Le RoyMower, MNBARN DESTROYED IN LE ROY. REPORT VIA KTTC TWITTER. TIME ESTIMATED.
01:33 UTCTSTM WND GST 833 S Grand MeadowMower, MN
01:34 UTCTSTM WND DMGGrand MeadowMower, MNROOF COMPLETELY BLOWN OFF ONE SIDE OF A LARGE BUILDING. TWITTER REPORT. TIME ESTIMATED.
01:36 UTCTSTM WND DMGStewartvilleOlmsted, MNREPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES
01:36 UTCTSTM WND DMGStewartvilleOlmsted, MNREPORTS OF POWER OUTAGES.
01:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGRacineMower, MNTREES UPROOTED AND LARGE BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN. REPORT VIA TWITTER.
01:44 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 S HarmonyFillmore, MN
01:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S PrestonFillmore, MNDAMAGE SOUTH OF PRESTON ALONG COUNTY ROAD 22. TREES TWISTED, APPROXIMATELY 50X80 SHED LIFTED AND CATTLE BARNS DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED.
01:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 78Rochester AirportOlmsted, MN
01:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 84HarmonyFillmore, MN
01:46 UTCTSTM WND GST 47PrestonFillmore, MN
01:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se DouglasOlmsted, MN
01:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGSpring ValleyFillmore, MNREPORTS OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES
01:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGSpring ValleyFillmore, MNREPORTS OF WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES.
01:53 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw RochesterOlmsted, MNREPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED; ROOF BLOWN OFF.
01:54 UTCTSTM WND GST 60RochesterOlmsted, MN
01:56 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 574 Ese DouglasOlmsted, MNMESONET STATION AU801 ROCHESTER.
01:58 UTCTSTM WND GST 84MabelFillmore, MN
01:59 UTCTSTM WND DMGEyotaOlmsted, MNPOSSIBLE TORNADO - CAR MOVED BY STRONG WINDS
01:59 UTCTSTM WND DMGEyotaOlmsted, MNPOSSIBLE TORNADO - CAR MOVED BY STRONG WINDS.
02:00 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 473 Ssw HammondOlmsted, MNMESONET STATION EW7548 ROCHESTER.
02:00 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 742 Sse EyotaOlmsted, MNMESONET STATION MN011 JCT CR 7 I-90 MILE POST 226.
02:02 UTCTSTM WND GST 52St. CharlesWinona, MN
02:05 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Ese LewistonWinona, MNSIGNIFICANT HOUSE DAMAGE.
02:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGPlainviewWabasha, MNLARGE POLE SHED SUSTAINED EXTENSIVE DAMAGE. VIA KIMT TWITTER. TIME ESTIMATED.
02:08 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD6 N NodineWinona, MNFUNNEL CLOUD VISUAL NEAR THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
02:09 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Se LewistonWinona, MNBUILDINGS DAMAGED ALONG COUNTY HIGHWAY 25. TIME ESTIMATED.
02:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGLewistonWinona, MNPOWER OUTAGES REPORTED
02:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGLewistonWinona, MNPOWER OUTAGES REPORTED.
02:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGPetersonFillmore, MNMATURE, LARGE PINE TREE DOWN REPORT VIA MEDIA ON TWITTER.
02:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 85PlainviewWabasha, MN
02:14 UTCTSTM WND DMGStocktonWinona, MNFARM OUTBUILDINGS DESTROYED NEAR STOCKTON. KTTC TWITTER. TIME ESTIMATED.
02:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Wsw WilsonWinona, MNPOWER POLE BROKEN.
02:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Ssw WinonaWinona, MNSEMI TRUCK BLOWN OVER AT INTERSTATE 90 MILE MARKER 252
02:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Ssw WinonaWinona, MNSEMI TRUCK BLOWN OVER AT INTERSTATE 90 MILE MARKER 252.
02:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 572 Sse KelloggWabasha, MNMESONET STATION MN069 1 SSE KELLOGG.
02:21 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 N NodineWinona, MNPOWER OUTAGES REPORTED.
02:25 UTCHAIL 0.75DakotaWinona, MN
02:26 UTCTSTM WND DMGWinonaWinona, MNPOWER OUTAGES IN NUMEROUS COMMUNITIES
02:26 UTCTSTM WND DMGWinonaWinona, MNPOWER OUTAGES IN NUMEROUS COMMUNITIES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.