Tornadoes · United States · Iowa · 2021
Unrated tornado, Dow City to Kenwood, Iowa, December 15, 2021
From Dow City to Kenwood, this Unrated tornado ran 4.4 miles across Crawford County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 4:48 PM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unratedthis tornado
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- Unrated
- Date
- December 15, 2021
- Touchdown
- 4:48 PM CST (22:48 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:51 PM CST (22:51 UTC)
- On the ground
- 3 minutes
- Path length
- 4.4 miles (7.1 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Crawford County
- Touchdown point
- 41.955, -95.575
- Lift-off point
- 42.007, -95.527
- Record number
- 2112151648-01
What the Weather Service recorded
December 15, 2021 was an unprecedented and historic event for the state of Iowa and the central US. It featured the first-ever December derecho observed anywhere in the United States and the first Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center in December for Iowa. Unofficially, it set the new single-day Iowa records for the most tornadoes and the most EF-2/F-2 or stronger tornadoes since 1950. Finally, it will break the all-time December record high temperature for Iowa. ||Tornadoes: There were 63 confirmed tornadoes that occurred in Iowa, 21 of which were rated EF-2. Sixty three is unofficially the most tornadoes in Iowa in a single day with the previous being 35 tornadoes on August 31, 2014. Further, 21 EF-2 tornadoes is unofficially the most EF-2/F-2 or stronger tornadoes in a single day with the previous being 16 tornadoes on June 7, 1984. Prior to this event, a total of 5 tornadoes had occurred in Iowa in December since 1950 with all of them in southeastern Iowa. | |Thunderstorm Wind: Numerous straight line wind gusts were also associated with these thunderstorms, some in excess of 80 mph. During the event, nearly the entire state of Iowa was under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point. Audubon reported the highest gust in Iowa at 88 mph. This storm also met the criteria for a ���derecho'', which makes it the first derecho on record in the month of December anywhere in the United States. Finally, we had an unofficial gust of 108 mph recorded by a mesonet station near Sheffield, Iowa associated with one of the tornadic circulations. ||Environmental Wind: After the line of storms had passed, numerous strong, non-thunderstorm wind gusts over 70 mph occurred overnight. The top three non-thunderstorm wind gusts were 83 mph in Decatur City, 81 mph in Marshalltown, and 80 mph in Johnston. The Des Moines International Airport recorded a 74 mph non-thunderstorm wind gust, which is the highest non-thunderstorm wind gust at this location since 1970.| |Temperatures: In addition to the severe weather and strong non-thunderstorm winds, the temperatures were remarkable and record setting. Numerous record daily highs were broken by many degrees. In addition and preliminarily, the all-time December record high temperature for Iowa of 74 degrees that was set in Thurman, IA on December 6, 1939 was broken with four sites reaching 75 degrees (Oskaloosa, Muscatine, Iowa City, and Ottumwa).||For detailed environmental analysis, including soundings, please view the various local NWS office event review pages: NWS Des Moines, NWS Sioux Falls, NWS Omaha, NWS Wichita, NWS Pueblo, NWS Twin Cities, NWS Quad Cities, NWS Hastings, NWS La Crosse, NWS Green Bay, or NWS Milwaukee.
First tornado in the Des Moines forecast area for this record breaking event. This tornado remained in rural Crawford county with no reported damage. Tornado was determined by Correlation Coefficient depression on WSR-88D radar from KOAX.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
4 minutes of warning. NWS DMX issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:44 UTC, 4 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:20 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:26 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 UTC | 06:00 UTC | High Wind Warning | DMX |
| 18:00 UTC | 10:09 UTC | High Wind Watch | DMX |
| 19:26 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | DMX |
| 22:16 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX |
| 22:44 UTC | 23:20 UTC | Tornado Warning | DMX |
| 23:10 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | DMX |
| 23:15 UTC | 23:25 UTC | Tornado Warning | DMX |
| 23:22 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z
10.8 hours before the tornado, 100 km from the path. December 15, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -103670 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2165 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 346 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 384 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.2 K/km
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z
1.2 hours after it, 100 km from the path. December 16, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1685 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 103 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -450 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -705 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.4 K/km
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 100 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:48 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:19 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hornick | Woodbury, IA | OVERTURNED PROPANE TANKS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 22:22 UTC | TSTM WND GST 58 | 2 W Missouri Valley | Harrison, IA | MESONET STATION UP118 2.2 W MISSOURI VALLEY (UPR). |
| 22:22 UTC | TSTM WND GST 83 | Missouri Valley | Harrison, IA | |
| 22:32 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Sw Neola | Pottawattamie, IA | FROM VIDEO AND TDS. TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR AT LEAST 2 MINUTES. DAMAGE REPORTED IN NEOLA. |
| 22:34 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 W Anthon | Woodbury, IA | CATTLE BARN AND GARAGE DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 22:34 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Ne Logan | Harrison, IA | DELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED; ROOF BLOWN OFF. |
| 22:41 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Tennant | Shelby, IA | LARGE TREE FELL ON HOME. |
| 22:43 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Nw Battle Creek | Ida, IA | MACHINE SHED DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 22:48 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 6 Nw Ida Grove | Ida, IA | MACHINE SHED DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 22:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sse Holstein | Ida, IA | TREES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 22:50 UTC | TSTM WND GST 67 | 3 Ene Avoca | Pottawattamie, IA | MESONET STATION RAVI4 AVOCA (I-80). |
| 22:53 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Se Shelby | Pottawattamie, IA | SEMI ROLLED OVER ON I-80W PER TWITTER PHOTO. |
| 22:53 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Woodbine | Harrison, IA | TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED; ROOF BLOWN OFF. |
| 22:55 UTC | TSTM WND GST 81 | 4 Nne Buck Grove | Crawford, IA | AWOS STATION KDNS DENISON AIRPORT. |
| 22:55 UTC | TSTM WND GST 72 | Harlan | Shelby, IA | |
| 22:55 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 72 | 5 S Harlan | Shelby, IA | AWOS STATION KHNR HARLAN AIRPORT. |
| 22:57 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Nnw Galva | Ida, IA | HOUSE DAMAGED WITH ROOF TORN OFF. HOOP BARN DESTROYED AND 100 YEAR OLD MARCHINE SHED DESTOYED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 23:11 UTC | TSTM WND GST 88 | Audubon | Audubon, IA | PWS RECORDED WIND GUST OF 88 MPH. |
| 23:34 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Neola | Pottawattamie, IA | OUT BUILDINGS BLOWN OVER, HOUSES DAMAGED, POWER LINES DOWN, GAS LEAK - TDS NOTED IN THE AREA ON RADAR. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IowaEvery tornado in Iowa since 1950Warnings in force in Iowa nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021
124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 15 | 1:27 PM CST | EF0 | Kearney, NE | 11.0 | 150 | $700,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:29 PM CST | EF0 | Franklin, NE | 13.4 | 100 | $700,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:33 PM CST | EF0 | Kearney, NE | 7.1 | 120 | $350,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:44 PM CST | EF1 | Webster, NE | 14.8 | 180 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:53 PM CST | EF1 | Adams, NE | 8.6 | 150 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:03 PM CST | EF0 | Adams, NE | 7.2 | 60 | $302,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:11 PM CST | EF1 | Hamilton, NE | 12.9 | 400 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:26 PM CST | EF1 | Hamilton, NE | 12.0 | 400 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:35 PM CST | EF1 | Polk, NE | 7.5 | 350 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 3:03 PM CST | EF1 | Platte, NE | 0.8 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 3:04 PM CST | EF2 | Platte, NE | 2.7 | 50 | 2 | ||
| December 15 | 3:11 PM CST | EF2 | Saline, NE | 23.7 | 70 | |||
| December 15 | 3:27 PM CST | EF1 | Colfax, NE | 1.5 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 3:31 PM CST | EF2 | Cuming, NE | 6.3 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:37 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 4.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:37 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:41 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:41 PM CST | EF1 | Saunders, NE | 16.6 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:44 PM CST | EF2 | Cuming, NE | 11.2 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 3:46 PM CST | EF1 | Saunders, NE | 0.7 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:51 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 11.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 3:55 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 3.3 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:05 PM CST | EF1 | Otoe, NE | 0.1 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 4:05 PM CST | EF1 | Pawnee, NE | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:06 PM CST | EF0 | Pawnee, NE | 2.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:06 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 3.6 | 150 | |||
| December 15 | 4:07 PM CST | EF1 | Pawnee, NE | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 4:09 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 2.6 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 4:14 PM CST | EF1 | Mills, IA | 10.0 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 4:15 PM CST | Unrated | Woodbury, IA | 0.8 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:16 PM CST | EF0 | Pottawattamie, IA | 0.9 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 4:20 PM CST | EF1 | Woodbury, IA | 4.6 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:24 PM CST | EF2 | Pottawattamie, IA | 2.3 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:25 PM CST | EF2 | Woodbury, IA | 8.4 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:31 PM CST | EF1 | Mills, IA | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:31 PM CST | EF2 | Pottawattamie, IA | 6.7 | 75 | |||
| December 15 | 4:34 PM CST | EF1 | Pottawattamie, IA | 9.6 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:35 PM CST | EF1 | Woodbury, IA | 4.3 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:39 PM CST | EF1 | Plymouth, IA | 3.7 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:42 PM CST | EF1 | Ida, IA | 13.0 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:49 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, IA | 27.1 | 100 | $350,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:58 PM CST | EF0 | Ida, IA | 2.9 | 50 | $75,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:59 PM CST | EF1 | Cherokee, IA | 11.2 | 250 | $1.0 million | ||
| December 15 | 5:00 PM CST | Unrated | Cherokee, IA | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 5:00 PM CST | EF1 | Cass, IA | 11.4 | 80 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:01 PM CST | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 6.4 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:05 PM CST | EF1 | Cherokee, IA | 3.8 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:07 PM CST | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 6.9 | 150 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:08 PM CST | EF1 | O'Brien, IA | 3.9 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:10 PM CST | EF1 | Guthrie, IA | 11.4 | 70 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:13 PM CST | EF2 | Sac, IA | 17.6 | 100 | $150,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:14 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 19.7 | 100 | $450,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:18 PM CST | EF2 | Buena Vista, IA | 4.8 | 100 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:19 PM CST | EF1 | Carroll, IA | 9.7 | 80 | $80,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:21 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 30.0 | 300 | $470,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:27 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 23.4 | 150 | $801,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:29 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 5.5 | 100 | $1.2 million | ||
| December 15 | 5:32 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 5.8 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:34 PM CST | Unrated | Calhoun, IA | 1.3 | 40 | |||
| December 15 | 5:34 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 2.7 | 70 | $20,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.