Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2021

EF2 tornado, Monterey to Bancroft, Nebraska, December 15, 2021

From Monterey to Bancroft, this EF2 tornado ran 11.2 miles across Cuming County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 3:44 PM CST and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
3:44 PM CST (21:44 UTC)
Lifted
3:54 PM CST (21:54 UTC)
On the ground
10 minutes
Path length
11.2 miles (18.1 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cuming County
Touchdown point
41.910, -96.750
Lift-off point
42.070, -96.690
Record number
2112151544-01

The damage survey

28 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 120 mph.

  • Multiple well constructed large farm buildings destroyed.
  • Damage to large barn roof, trees snapped, siding removed
  • 5 poles were broken just down the road. Was bolted down but open to south and older building.
  • 5 large wooden transmission poles broken

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A low pressure system brought strong (both thunderstorm, and non-thunderstorm) winds, tornadoes, dust, snow, and record temperatures into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. The event was determined to be a derecho meeting the criteria of wind damage extending more than 250 miles, including wind gusts of at least 58 mph and numerous gusts of at least 75 mph.

A tornado developed in a field near 3rd road south of C road and quickly moved northeast to cause roof damage to large animal barns where a substantial amount of roofing tin were removed. The tornado proceeded across open fields before severely impacting a farm near 4th and E road. The farm place had a small shed blown approximately 100 yards. A second brand new larger shed was completely destroyed and a very large shed with equipment inside was also completely destroyed. There was minor roof and siding damage to the home and to another large shed, as well as some fences. The tornado proceeded northeast to another hog farm where it removed large sections of roof from two large barns. The debris were deposited well into a field downstream. The track was then intermittent for 1.5 miles as there were few if any available damage indicators in ag fields before it caused additional damage to 5 power poles and another animal barn where much of the barn was removed and blown into the nearby trees. The tornado appeared to dissipate at that point.

A brief tornado developed in a field and then travelled north northeast where it snapped 5 wooden power poles and then caused tree damage in a grove of trees.

An intermittent path of damage across open fields but also managed to snap off power poles in multiple locations, and also caused damage to a shed.

A brief tornado snapped trees and caused minor roof damage to a home before destroying a 40 by 60 foot shed and moving a farm gravity wagon approximately 100 yards while continuing to damage trees. Witnesses noted that this was a brief tornado but they did see the funnel cloud at the site of the damage.

This tornado impacted several farms and residences along its 11 mile track with at least 5 points suggesting EF2 damage with maximum winds of approximately 120 mph. This tornado also had one of the wider paths in this region on December 15 where at one point the tree pattern suggested 200 yard width. The tornado destroyed several barns, including some well-built large structures. It also caused substantial power line damage, snapping several power poles in multiple locations.

Tornado segment 1 of 2. This tornado began southwest of Bancroft, uprooting several large pine trees, collapsing a windmill, and tearing shingles of the roof of a home. The tornado continued northeast, passing just northwest of Bancroft and entered Thurston County northwest of Rosalie.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

19 minutes of warning. NWS OAX issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:25 UTC, 19 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:23 UTC and running to 22:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC08:20 UTCHigh Wind WatchOAX
18:00 UTC04:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningOAX
19:23 UTC22:18 UTCTornado WatchOAX
21:09 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:25 UTC22:00 UTCTornado WarningOAX
21:41 UTC22:25 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:45 UTC21:58 UTCTornado WarningOAX
04:00 UTC08:00 UTCWind AdvisoryOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

9.7 hours before the tornado, 80 km from the path. December 15, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -103670, lifted condensation level 2165 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103670 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2165 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

2.3 hours after it, 80 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -66, lifted condensation level 1685 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -450 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 103 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Surface CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
103 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-705 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Wayne (LCG), 35 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:55 UTC64.454.5170° 20 kt31990.9
20:15 UTC64.254.7180° 22 kt27990.5
20:35 UTC6555180° 22 kt29989.2
20:55 UTC64.455170° 15 kt21988.5
21:15 UTC64.455.4160° 13 kt18987.1
21:35 UTC6455.4140° 13 kt985.4
21:55 UTC63.756160° 6 kt18985.4VCTSRA
22:15 UTC54.746.8210° 25 kt34986.8-VCTSRA
22:35 UTC55.248.2230° 14 kt985.4-VCTSRA
22:55 UTC53.648.2210° 14 kt19985.4
23:15 UTC52.548.2170° 16 kt984.4
23:35 UTC51.446.6170° 14 kt19984.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 80 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:41 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:17 UTCTSTM WND DMGSchuylerColfax, NELARGE TREE DOWN IN FRONT YARD. PICTURE RECEIVED VIA TWITTER. REPORT TIME BASED ON RADAR.
21:19 UTCTSTM WND GST 593 W SchuylerColfax, NEMESONET STATION UP948 2.5 W SCHUYLER (UPR).
21:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 531 Wnw LeighPlatte, NEMESONET STATION NB069 LEIGH 1W.
21:27 UTCTSTM WND GST 76HowellsColfax, NEWIND GUST TO 76 MPH ALONG WITH PENNY SIZED HAIL.
21:27 UTCTORNADOHowellsColfax, NEAN INTERMITTENT TORNADO TRACKED FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH HOWELLS. THE INITIAL DAMAGE POINT WAS ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF TOWN ALONG WITH MODERATE TREE DAMAGE. THE TORNADO THEN SKIPPED SEVERAL BLOCKS B
21:31 UTCTORNADO3 Nne HowellsCuming, NEA TORNADO DEVELOPED IN A FIELD NEAR 3RD ROAD SOUTH OF C ROAD AND QUICKLY MOVED NORTHEAST TO CAUSE ROOF DAMAGE TO LARGE ANIMAL BARNS WHERE A SUBSTANTIAL AMOUNT OF ROOFING TIN WERE REMOVED. THE TORNADO PROCEEDED ACROSS OPE
21:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGHowellsColfax, NEPARTIAL ROOF BLOWN OFF.
21:37 UTCTORNADO5 Nnw SnyderCuming, NEAN INTERMITTENT PATH OF DAMAGE ACROSS OPEN FIELDS BUT SNAPPED OFF POWER POLES IN MULTIPLE LOCATIONS, AND ALSO CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE TO A SHED.
21:37 UTCTORNADO6 W West PointCuming, NEA BRIEF TORNADO DEVELOPED IN A FIELD AND THEN TRAVELLED NORTH NORTHEAST WHERE IT SNAPPED 5 WOODEN POWER POLES AND THEN CAUSED TREE DAMAGE IN A GROVE OF TREES.
21:40 UTCTORNADOBeemerCuming, NECONFIRMED TORNADO BY FIRE DEPARTMENT.
21:41 UTCTORNADO3 Sse BeemerCuming, NEA BRIEF TORNADO SNAPPED TREES AND CAUSED MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME BEFORE DESTROYING A 40 BY 60 FOOT SHED AND MOVING A FARM GRAVITY WAGON APPROXIMATELY 100 YARDS WHILE CONTINUING TO DAMAGE TREES. WITNESSES NOTED THAT T
21:44 UTCTORNADO3 Ese BeemerCuming, NETHIS TORNADO IMPACTED SEVERAL FARMS AND RESIDENCES ALONG ITS 11 MILE TRACK WITH AT LEAST 5 POINTS SUGGESTING EF2 DAMAGE WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF APPROXIMATELY 120 MPH. THIS TORNADO ALSO HAD ONE OF THE WIDER PATHS IN THIS RE
21:46 UTCTSTM WND DMG7 Ne BeemerCuming, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
21:48 UTCTSTM WND GST 531 E AmesDodge, NEMESONET STATION UP105 3.7 N CEDAR BLUFFS (UPR).
21:53 UTCTORNADO2 Wsw BancroftCuming, NENUMEROUS LARGE PINE TREES UPROOTED. NUMEROUS HARDWOOD TREES LIMBS GREATER THAN 6 INCHES SNAPPED AND BROKEN OFF. WINDMILL COLLAPSED AT BASE. SHINGLES AND NAILED GUTTER TORN FROM HOME. DAMAGE WIDTH 10-20 YARDS. TORNADO DEV
21:55 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 661 Wnw FremontDodge, NEAWOS STATION KFET FREMONT AIRPORT.
21:56 UTCTSTM WND DMGOaklandBurt, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
21:57 UTCTSTM WND DMGCedar BluffsSaunders, NEROOF BLOWN OFF AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN.
21:59 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N FremontDodge, NETRACTOR TRAILER BLOWN OVER ON ITS SIDE. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN FREMONT.
21:59 UTCTSTM WND GST 752 S TekamahBurt, NE
21:59 UTCTORNADO3 Nw RosalieThurston, NEBARN ROOF COLLAPSE AND CAVED WALLS. PANELS FROM METAL OUTBUILDING REMOVED. WIDTH 10-15 YARDS. TORNADO ENTERED COUNTY 1/4 MILE SOUTH OF O AVENUE AND 25TH ROAD INTERSECTION. TORNADO REMAINED INTERMITTENTLY ON THE GROUND FO
22:00 UTCTSTM WND GST 661 Wnw FremontDodge, NE
22:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGHomerDakota, NEELECTRIC POLE BLOWN DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
22:11 UTCTSTM WND DMGOaklandBurt, NEREPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
23:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw FremontDodge, NEREPORT OF SEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWNED AT THE CEMETERY.
23:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw FremontDodge, NEREPORT OF 2 TREES UPROOTED.
23:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sw FremontDodge, NEREPORT OF SEVERAL TREES DOWNED.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340
December 155:34 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA2.770$20,000

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.