Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2021

EF2 tornado, Avoca, Nebraska, December 15, 2021

This EF2 tornado ran 3.3 miles across Cass County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 3:55 PM CST and reaching 20 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
3:55 PM CST (21:55 UTC)
Lifted
3:59 PM CST (21:59 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
3.3 miles (5.3 km)
Path width
20 yards (18 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cass County
Touchdown point
40.636, -96.159
Lift-off point
40.660, -96.130
Record number
2112151555-01

The damage survey

17 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 113 mph.

  • Western edge of downed wood power poles
  • Numerous pine trees destroyed. Tree fell on house. Damaged roof. Minor roof damage to other outbuildings
  • 5 downed poles. Snapped, broken off at base. Eastern edge of downed power poles and power lines
  • Collapse and roof uplift of several farm outbuildings per Otoe EMA. Lines up well with narrow damage track further north & east

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A low pressure system brought strong (both thunderstorm, and non-thunderstorm) winds, tornadoes, dust, snow, and record temperatures into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. The event was determined to be a derecho meeting the criteria of wind damage extending more than 250 miles, including wind gusts of at least 58 mph and numerous gusts of at least 75 mph.

A very narrow tornado was witnessed and caused substantial damage to vehicles and farm equipment while destroying a large shed near its onset and proceeded to cause minor damage for approximately 3 miles to the northeast before dissipating.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:23 UTC and running to 23:19 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC08:20 UTCHigh Wind WatchOAX
18:00 UTC00:25 UTCRed Flag WarningOAX
18:00 UTC03:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningOAX
18:00 UTC20:21 UTCFire Weather WatchOAX
19:23 UTC23:19 UTCTornado WatchOAX
20:54 UTC22:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:35 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
22:01 UTC22:10 UTCTornado WarningOAX
23:08 UTC03:00 UTCBlowing Dust AdvisoryOAX
03:00 UTC06:00 UTCWind AdvisoryOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

9.9 hours before the tornado, 77 km from the path. December 15, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -103670, lifted condensation level 2165 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103670 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2165 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

2.1 hours after it, 77 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -66, lifted condensation level 1685 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -450 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 103 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Surface CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
103 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-705 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Nebraska City (AFK), 24 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:55 UTC73.856.7200° 33 kt47995.6
20:15 UTC7356.7190° 32 kt40994.6
20:35 UTC73.856.8190° 36 kt47993.2
20:55 UTC7357.2190° 34 kt42992.2
21:15 UTC71.856.8190° 25 kt43991.2
21:35 UTC71.656.8190° 32 kt40990.2
21:55 UTC71.656.5170° 33 kt46989.2
22:15 UTC5547240° 42 kt992.2VCTS
22:35 UTC5249220° 28 kt39991.2-TSRA
22:55 UTC54.349.3210° 18 kt30991.5HZ
23:15 UTC57.447220° 20 kt31990.9HZ
23:35 UTC6041210° 24 kt31990.5HZ

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:21 UTCTSTM WND GST 673 Ese LincolnLancaster, NEFROM A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION.
21:29 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 935 Wnw LincolnLancaster, NEASOS STATION KLNK LINCOLN AIRPORT.
21:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 934 Nw LincolnLancaster, NE
21:32 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw HickmanLancaster, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
21:37 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ene DaveyLancaster, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. NO DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AT THE RESIDENCE.
21:38 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 571 Ene LincolnLancaster, NEMESONET STATION FW4554 LINCOLN.
21:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N LincolnLancaster, NEREPORT OF ROOF BLOWN OFF APARTMENT BUILDING.
21:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGDentonLancaster, NEALMOST 20' TREE BLOWN OVER AND PATIO FURNITURE TOSSED AROUND NEAR DENTON.
21:41 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E CerescoSaunders, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
21:41 UTCTORNADO4 E CerescoSaunders, NEA TORNADO DEVELOPED JUST NORTH OF THE JACK SINN MEMORIAL WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA, PRODUCING DAMAGE TO FARM BUILDINGS AND THEN MOVING OFF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST, AND EVENTUALLY THE NORTH NORTHEAST AS OBSERVED BY A STORM CH
21:44 UTCTSTM WND GST 92BennetLancaster, NE
21:44 UTCTORNADO4 E CerescoSaunders, NEGENERAL TRACK BEGINNING NEAR CO RD 14 & CO RD A AND TRACK ENDED NEAR CO RD 11 & CO RD E.
21:46 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sw DouglasOtoe, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED; ROOF BLOWN OFF.
21:49 UTCTSTM WND GST 90EagleCass, NE
21:55 UTCTORNADO2 Wsw AvocaOtoe, NEA VERY NARROW TORNADO, APPROXIMATELY 20 YARDS WIDE, WAS WITNESSED AND CAUSED SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND FARM EQUIPMENT WHILE DESTROYING A LARGE SHED NEAR ITS ONSET AND PROCEEDED TO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE FOR APPROXIM
21:56 UTCTSTM WND GST 703 Wnw OtoeOtoe, NE
21:56 UTCTSTM WND GST 703 W OtoeOtoe, NE
21:57 UTCTSTM WND GST 813 Ese LewistonPawnee, NE
22:01 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ene LincolnLancaster, NEREPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
22:01 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Ssw UnionOtoe, NEBARN AND GRAIN BINS DESTROYED. TREES SNAPPED. ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES ACROSS OTHER PARTS OF OTOE COUNTY AS WELL.
22:05 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 483 Nw Nebraska CityOtoe, NEMESONET STATION NB047 NEBRASKA CITY 3NW.
22:05 UTCTORNADO3 Ne NehawkaCass, NEROOF REMOVED FROM HOUSE. ROOF OVER GARAGE UPLIFTED AND DISPLACED. HOUSE MOVED SLIGHTLY ON FOUNDATION. SEVERAL LARGE PINES & OAK TREES SNAPPED.
22:05 UTCTORNADO4 S UnionOtoe, NEA BRIEF EF-1 TORNADO SNAPPED POWER POLES. SWIRLING WAS NOTED IN CORN FIELDS NORTH AND SOUTH OF COUNTY ROAD C.
22:05 UTCTORNADO4 S UnionOtoe, NEA BRIEF EF-1 TORNADO SNAPPED POWER POLES. SWIRLING WAS NOTED IN CORN FIELDS NORTH AND SOUTH OF COUNTY ROAD C.
22:06 UTCTORNADO2 Sse MurrayCass, NEA BRIEF EF-1 TORNADO CAUSED DAMAGE TO POWER POLES AND TOTAL DESTRUCTION OF A FARM OUTBUILDING NEAR HIGHWAY 75 AND BAXTER LOOP.
22:06 UTCTORNADO3 Ne NehawkaCass, NECORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 3 NE NEHAWKA. TORNADO TRACK COMBINED WITH PREVIOUSLY SEPARATE TRACK THAT STARTED 2 SSE OF MURRAY, OR 3 SW OF BEAVER LAKE. TORNADO REMOVED ROOF FROM HOUSE. ROOF OVER GARAGE UPLIFTED A
22:07 UTCTORNADO3 E Pawnee CityPawnee, NEA BRIEF TORNADO DESTROYED SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS AND REMOVED A WRAP-AROUND PORCH FROM A HOUSE.
22:08 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ene MurrayCass, NEROOF BLOWN AWAY AT BEAVER LAKE.
22:09 UTCTORNADO3 E MurrayCass, NETHREE WITNESSES OBSERVED TORNADO FORM SOUTH SIDE OF LAKE. ROOF TAKEN OFF RESIDENCE. SEVERAL HARDWOOD TREES SNAPPED AND PINE TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED.
22:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGPawnee CityPawnee, NELOTS OF STRUCTURE DAMAGE, ROOF DAMAGE, CARPORTS DAMAGED.
22:10 UTCTORNADO3 E MurrayCass, NECORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 3 E MURRAY. TORNADO TRACK COMBINED WITH PREVIOUSLY SEPARATE TORNADO TRACK THAT BEGAN 4 ENE MURRAY, OR 2 NE BEAVER LAKE. THREE WITNESSES OBSERVED TORNADO FORM SOUTH SIDE OF BEAVER LAK
22:10 UTCTORNADO4 Ene MurrayCass, NETORNADO DEVELOPED IN OPEN FIELD AND TRAVELED NORTH-NORTHEAST. SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE WAS DONE TO A HORSE FARM. EXTENSION OF HOUSE DESTROYED. HORSE TRAILER ROLLED. SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED AN UPROOTED. UNABLE TO SURVEY NOR
22:13 UTCTSTM WND DMGBellevueSarpy, NENUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWN AND HOMES DAMAGED.
22:14 UTCTSTM WND GST 622 S MurrayCass, NEMESONET STATION UP945 2.2 S MURRAY (UPR).
22:14 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 81Offutt AfbSarpy, NEAWOS STATION KOFF OFFUTT AFB.
22:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGAuburnNemaha, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
22:16 UTCTSTM WND DMGBellevueSarpy, NELARGE LIMB CRUSHED CAR. FENCE DOWN.
22:16 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 50SpringfieldSarpy, NEMESONET STATION EW9007 SPRINGFIELD.
22:16 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 523 Sse PlattsmouthCass, NEMESONET STATION FW9521 PLATTSMOUTH.
22:22 UTCTSTM WND GST 81Offutt AfbSarpy, NE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340
December 155:34 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA2.770$20,000

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.