Tornadoes · United States · Iowa · 2021
EF1 tornado, North Branch to Herndon, Iowa, December 15, 2021
From North Branch to Herndon, this EF1 tornado ran 11.4 miles across Guthrie County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 5:10 PM CST and reaching 70 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- December 15, 2021
- Touchdown
- 5:10 PM CST (23:10 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:18 PM CST (23:18 UTC)
- On the ground
- 8 minutes
- Path length
- 11.4 miles (18.4 km)
- Path width
- 70 yards (64 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $100,000
- County
- Guthrie County
- Touchdown point
- 41.621, -94.691
- Lift-off point
- 41.768, -94.589
- Record number
- 2112151710-01
What the Weather Service recorded
December 15, 2021 was an unprecedented and historic event for the state of Iowa and the central US. It featured the first-ever December derecho observed anywhere in the United States and the first Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center in December for Iowa. Unofficially, it set the new single-day Iowa records for the most tornadoes and the most EF-2/F-2 or stronger tornadoes since 1950. Finally, it will break the all-time December record high temperature for Iowa. ||Tornadoes: There were 63 confirmed tornadoes that occurred in Iowa, 21 of which were rated EF-2. Sixty three is unofficially the most tornadoes in Iowa in a single day with the previous being 35 tornadoes on August 31, 2014. Further, 21 EF-2 tornadoes is unofficially the most EF-2/F-2 or stronger tornadoes in a single day with the previous being 16 tornadoes on June 7, 1984. Prior to this event, a total of 5 tornadoes had occurred in Iowa in December since 1950 with all of them in southeastern Iowa. | |Thunderstorm Wind: Numerous straight line wind gusts were also associated with these thunderstorms, some in excess of 80 mph. During the event, nearly the entire state of Iowa was under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point. Audubon reported the highest gust in Iowa at 88 mph. This storm also met the criteria for a ���derecho'', which makes it the first derecho on record in the month of December anywhere in the United States. Finally, we had an unofficial gust of 108 mph recorded by a mesonet station near Sheffield, Iowa associated with one of the tornadic circulations. ||Environmental Wind: After the line of storms had passed, numerous strong, non-thunderstorm wind gusts over 70 mph occurred overnight. The top three non-thunderstorm wind gusts were 83 mph in Decatur City, 81 mph in Marshalltown, and 80 mph in Johnston. The Des Moines International Airport recorded a 74 mph non-thunderstorm wind gust, which is the highest non-thunderstorm wind gust at this location since 1970.| |Temperatures: In addition to the severe weather and strong non-thunderstorm winds, the temperatures were remarkable and record setting. Numerous record daily highs were broken by many degrees. In addition and preliminarily, the all-time December record high temperature for Iowa of 74 degrees that was set in Thurman, IA on December 6, 1939 was broken with four sites reaching 75 degrees (Oskaloosa, Muscatine, Iowa City, and Ottumwa).||For detailed environmental analysis, including soundings, please view the various local NWS office event review pages: NWS Des Moines, NWS Sioux Falls, NWS Omaha, NWS Wichita, NWS Pueblo, NWS Twin Cities, NWS Quad Cities, NWS Hastings, NWS La Crosse, NWS Green Bay, or NWS Milwaukee.
Tornado developed in west central Guthrie county and moved quickly northeast through rural portions of the county. Two farm buildings were destroyed along State Highway 44 with additional outbuilding and house damage to the northeast with most ratings of EF1. The tornado dissipated northeast of the hamlet of Wichita.
This tornado developed in west central Guthrie county to the west southwest of Wichita. The tornado moved northeast producing EF0 and EF1 damage to trees and outbuildings in rural portions of northwest Guthrie County. The storm passed along the southeast edge of Bayard taking a roof off a house and demolishing a garage on another house. This damage was rated EF2. The tornado exited the county shortly thereafter into Greene County.
The tornado touched down north of Guthrie Center and promptly destroyed an outbuilding along State Highway 25. The tornado continued northeast through wooded areas west of Springbrook State Park with some tree and minor house damage. The tornado then emerged into more open cropland producing damage to a hog confinement and snapping large utility poles along 120th Street west of Quail Road. The circulation passed west of Bagley and tipped over a semi on State Highway 141 and continued northeast before moving out of the county into Greene County.
Tornado developed east southeast of Bagley and did no damage until near the county line where an aging power pole was snapped. The tornado path was also visible in high resolution satellite imagery. The tornado moved into Greene County.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
17 minutes of warning. NWS DMX issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:53 UTC, 17 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:26 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:26 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 UTC | 06:00 UTC | High Wind Warning | DMX |
| 18:00 UTC | 10:09 UTC | High Wind Watch | DMX |
| 19:26 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | DMX |
| 22:13 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX |
| 22:53 UTC | 23:26 UTC | Tornado Warning | DMX |
| 23:10 UTC | 00:19 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DMX |
| 23:14 UTC | 23:35 UTC | Tornado Warning | DMX |
| 23:18 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | DMX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z
11.2 hours before the tornado, 150 km from the path. December 15, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -103670 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2165 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 346 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 384 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.2 K/km
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z
0.8 hours after it, 150 km from the path. December 16, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1685 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 103 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -450 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -705 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.4 K/km
The surface observations
Audubon (ADU), 23 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:15 UTC | 71.6 | 57.2 | 180° 18 kt | 33 | 993.2 | |
| 21:35 UTC | 71.6 | 57.2 | 180° 21 kt | 33 | 992.6 | |
| 21:55 UTC | 69.8 | 57.2 | 170° 23 kt | 31 | 991.5 | |
| 22:15 UTC | 69.8 | 57.2 | 170° 16 kt | 33 | 991.2 | |
| 22:35 UTC | 69.8 | 57.2 | 160° 22 kt | 30 | 989.8 | |
| 22:55 UTC | 69.8 | 57.2 | 160° 21 kt | 34 | 988.1 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 76 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:12 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:50 UTC | TSTM WND GST 67 | 3 Ene Avoca | Pottawattamie, IA | MESONET STATION RAVI4 AVOCA (I-80). |
| 22:55 UTC | TSTM WND GST 72 | Harlan | Shelby, IA | |
| 22:55 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 72 | 5 S Harlan | Shelby, IA | AWOS STATION KHNR HARLAN AIRPORT. |
| 23:01 UTC | TORNADO | 3 Ssw Brayton | Cass, IA | STORM CHASER REPORTED FLIPPED SEMIS ON I-80 AND POWER FLASHES ASSOCIATED WITH A TORNADO. |
| 23:02 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Nw Atlantic | Cass, IA | STORM CHASER REPORTED TORNADO ON THE WEST SIDE OF ATLANTIC. |
| 23:04 UTC | TORNADO | Exira | Audubon, IA | CORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM EXIRA. DAMAGE TO MULTIPLE TO BARN BUILDINGS NEAR EXIRA. DELAYED REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA PHOTOS. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR. |
| 23:07 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Se Audubon | Audubon, IA | DELAYED REPORT. PICTURES CAME IN VIA EMAIL EAST OF HAMLIN, IA. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR AND OTHER REPORTS IN AUDUBON COUNTY. |
| 23:11 UTC | TSTM WND GST 88 | Audubon | Audubon, IA | PWS RECORDED WIND GUST OF 88 MPH. |
| 23:12 UTC | TSTM WND GST 76 | Adair | Adair, IA | PWS RECORDED A 76 MPH WIND GUST. |
| 23:15 UTC | TSTM WND GST 80 | 2 S Adair | Adair, IA | EM REPORTS 80+ MPH WINDS, ZERO VISIBILITY SOUTH OF ADAIR. |
| 23:17 UTC | TSTM WND GST 65 | 8 W Guthrie Center | Guthrie, IA | EM REPORTS 1/2 INCH HAIL AND ESTIMATED 65 MPH WIND, HWY 44 AND FRONTIER ROAD IN GUTHRIE CO. |
| 23:22 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 E Oakland | Pottawattamie, IA | TREE ON ROADWAY. US-6 38 MM. |
| 23:23 UTC | HAIL 1 | Coon Rapids | Carroll, IA | |
| 23:25 UTC | TSTM WND GST 73 | 4 Ne Guthrie Center | Guthrie, IA | |
| 23:27 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Coon Rapids | Carroll, IA | |
| 23:27 UTC | TSTM WND GST 73 | 4 S Scranton | Greene, IA | PWS RECORDED WIND GUST OF 73 MPH. |
| 23:31 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Ralston | Carroll, IA | WIND ESTIMATES OF AT LEAST 70 MPH FROM RALSTON FIRE DEPT. SOME SPORADIC DAMAGE BEGINNING TO OCCUR. |
| 23:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Yale | Guthrie, IA | REPORT OF AN OUTBUILDING DESTROYED. |
| 23:34 UTC | TORNADO | 2 W Jefferson | Greene, IA | PUBLIC RELAYED POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE WEST OF JEFFERSON, INCLUDING LARGE PORTION OF GARAGE DAMAGED/MISSING. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 23:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 S Glidden | Carroll, IA | OUTBUILDING DESTROYED AT 240TH ST. AND TIMBER AVE. SIZE OF BUILDING UNKNOWN. |
| 23:39 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Grand Junction | Greene, IA | PUBLIC RELAYED SIDING MISSING ON HOUSE ON SE SIDE OF GRAND JUNCTION. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 23:39 UTC | TSTM WND GST 62 | Linden | Dallas, IA | PWS RECORDED 62 MPH WIND GUSTS. |
| 23:41 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Wnw Jefferson | Greene, IA | DAMAGE TO POWER POLES ALONG HIGHWAY 30 WEST OF JEFFERSON. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. DELAYED REPORT AND TIME/LOCATION ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| 23:41 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Minburn | Dallas, IA | 60-70 MPH WIND GUST REPORTS FROM AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS IN MINBURN. |
| 23:41 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Perry | Dallas, IA | 60 TO 70 MPH WIND GUST REPORTS FROM AMATEUR RADIO OPERATORS IN PERRY. |
| 23:45 UTC | TSTM WND GST 74 | 3 Ese Dawson | Dallas, IA | DIALED INTO PERRY AWOS. |
| 23:45 UTC | TSTM WND GST 75 | 3 Sw Minburn | Dallas, IA | 3 SW MINBURN EST 75 MPH. |
| 23:45 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Sw Dana | Greene, IA | DAMAGE TO FARMSTEAD BUILDINGS NORTHEAST OF JEFFERSON NEAR INTERSECTION OF 195TH AND R AVE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| 23:49 UTC | TSTM WND GST 80 | 3 W Dallas Center | Dallas, IA | EM REPORTS 80 MPH WINDS HWY 169 AND HWY 44. |
| 00:17 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | 3 Ese Adel | Dallas, IA | FORMER NWS EMPLOYEE. POWER OUT FOR A SHORT STINT. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IowaEvery tornado in Iowa since 1950Warnings in force in Iowa nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021
124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 15 | 1:27 PM CST | EF0 | Kearney, NE | 11.0 | 150 | $700,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:29 PM CST | EF0 | Franklin, NE | 13.4 | 100 | $700,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:33 PM CST | EF0 | Kearney, NE | 7.1 | 120 | $350,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:44 PM CST | EF1 | Webster, NE | 14.8 | 180 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:53 PM CST | EF1 | Adams, NE | 8.6 | 150 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:03 PM CST | EF0 | Adams, NE | 7.2 | 60 | $302,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:11 PM CST | EF1 | Hamilton, NE | 12.9 | 400 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:26 PM CST | EF1 | Hamilton, NE | 12.0 | 400 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:35 PM CST | EF1 | Polk, NE | 7.5 | 350 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 3:03 PM CST | EF1 | Platte, NE | 0.8 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 3:04 PM CST | EF2 | Platte, NE | 2.7 | 50 | 2 | ||
| December 15 | 3:11 PM CST | EF2 | Saline, NE | 23.7 | 70 | |||
| December 15 | 3:27 PM CST | EF1 | Colfax, NE | 1.5 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 3:31 PM CST | EF2 | Cuming, NE | 6.3 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:37 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 4.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:37 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:41 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:41 PM CST | EF1 | Saunders, NE | 16.6 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:44 PM CST | EF2 | Cuming, NE | 11.2 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 3:46 PM CST | EF1 | Saunders, NE | 0.7 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:51 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 11.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 3:55 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 3.3 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:05 PM CST | EF1 | Otoe, NE | 0.1 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 4:05 PM CST | EF1 | Pawnee, NE | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:06 PM CST | EF0 | Pawnee, NE | 2.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:06 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 3.6 | 150 | |||
| December 15 | 4:07 PM CST | EF1 | Pawnee, NE | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 4:09 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 2.6 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 4:14 PM CST | EF1 | Mills, IA | 10.0 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 4:15 PM CST | Unrated | Woodbury, IA | 0.8 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:16 PM CST | EF0 | Pottawattamie, IA | 0.9 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 4:20 PM CST | EF1 | Woodbury, IA | 4.6 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:24 PM CST | EF2 | Pottawattamie, IA | 2.3 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:25 PM CST | EF2 | Woodbury, IA | 8.4 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:31 PM CST | EF1 | Mills, IA | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:31 PM CST | EF2 | Pottawattamie, IA | 6.7 | 75 | |||
| December 15 | 4:34 PM CST | EF1 | Pottawattamie, IA | 9.6 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:35 PM CST | EF1 | Woodbury, IA | 4.3 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:39 PM CST | EF1 | Plymouth, IA | 3.7 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:42 PM CST | EF1 | Ida, IA | 13.0 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:48 PM CST | Unrated | Crawford, IA | 4.4 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:49 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, IA | 27.1 | 100 | $350,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:58 PM CST | EF0 | Ida, IA | 2.9 | 50 | $75,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:59 PM CST | EF1 | Cherokee, IA | 11.2 | 250 | $1.0 million | ||
| December 15 | 5:00 PM CST | Unrated | Cherokee, IA | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 5:00 PM CST | EF1 | Cass, IA | 11.4 | 80 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:01 PM CST | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 6.4 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:05 PM CST | EF1 | Cherokee, IA | 3.8 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:07 PM CST | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 6.9 | 150 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:08 PM CST | EF1 | O'Brien, IA | 3.9 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:13 PM CST | EF2 | Sac, IA | 17.6 | 100 | $150,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:14 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 19.7 | 100 | $450,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:18 PM CST | EF2 | Buena Vista, IA | 4.8 | 100 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:19 PM CST | EF1 | Carroll, IA | 9.7 | 80 | $80,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:21 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 30.0 | 300 | $470,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:27 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 23.4 | 150 | $801,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:29 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 5.5 | 100 | $1.2 million | ||
| December 15 | 5:32 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 5.8 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:34 PM CST | Unrated | Calhoun, IA | 1.3 | 40 | |||
| December 15 | 5:34 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 2.7 | 70 | $20,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.