Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2021

EF0 tornado, Bookwater to Table Rock, Nebraska, December 15, 2021

From Bookwater to Table Rock, this EF0 tornado ran 2.2 miles across Pawnee County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 4:06 PM CST and reaching 20 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
4:06 PM CST (22:06 UTC)
Lifted
4:08 PM CST (22:08 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.2 miles (3.5 km)
Path width
20 yards (18 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Pawnee County
Touchdown point
40.020, -96.100
Lift-off point
40.030, -96.060
Record number
2112151606-01

The damage survey

8 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Roof of large out building peeled off. Wrap around porch detached from house. Couldn’t get to house due to downed power lines. Several wooden power poles snapped at bases
  • Siding torn from Methodist church. Leaning wood over utility poles. Top of half pine tree snapped off. Convergent flow, doesn’t appear to be tornado
  • Portion of center pivot turned over
  • 40x60 metal outbuilding destroyed. Appears to wind entered one or more doors and lifted roof. Corner post not cemented. No apparent sill strapping. Large farm equipment remained in place. Some evidence of convergent flow. Radar appears to show descending RIJ.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A low pressure system brought strong (both thunderstorm, and non-thunderstorm) winds, tornadoes, dust, snow, and record temperatures into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. The event was determined to be a derecho meeting the criteria of wind damage extending more than 250 miles, including wind gusts of at least 58 mph and numerous gusts of at least 75 mph.

Brief swirl southwest of outbuilding destroyed. Debris strewn in narrow bath to the northeast.

A brief tornado destroyed half of a large outbuilding.

A brief tornado destroyed several outbuildings and removed a wrap-around porch from a house.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:23 UTC and running to 23:19 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC08:20 UTCHigh Wind WatchOAX
18:00 UTC03:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningOAX
18:00 UTC00:25 UTCRed Flag WarningOAX
18:00 UTC20:21 UTCFire Weather WatchOAX
19:23 UTC23:19 UTCTornado WatchOAX
20:54 UTC22:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:35 UTC22:31 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
22:11 UTC22:27 UTCTornado WarningOAX
23:08 UTC03:00 UTCBlowing Dust AdvisoryOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Topeka, KS (KTOP), 12:00Z

10.1 hours before the tornado, 120 km from the path. December 15, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -481, lifted condensation level 1036 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 466 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 51 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-481 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1036 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
466 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
477 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Topeka, KS (KTOP), 00:00Z

1.9 hours after it, 120 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -89580, lifted condensation level 2425 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -149 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 99 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89580 J/kg
Surface CAPE
43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2425 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
99 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-149 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Falls City/Brenn (FNB), 42 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:15 UTC190° 27 kt39995.9
20:20 UTC180° 24 kt37995.9
20:25 UTC190° 22 kt33995.9
20:30 UTC180° 26 kt40996.3
20:35 UTC180° 26 kt40995.6
20:40 UTC180° 22 kt28995.3
20:45 UTC170° 23 kt35994.9
20:50 UTC180° 22 kt30994.9
20:53 UTC7558180° 22 kt41994.9
20:55 UTC180° 22 kt39994.9
21:00 UTC180° 27 kt46994.9
21:05 UTC180° 23 kt40994.6
21:10 UTC170° 27 kt42993.9
21:15 UTC170° 27 kt40993.2
21:20 UTC170° 23 kt29992.9
21:25 UTC170° 24 kt34992.2
21:35 UTC170° 31 kt50991.2
21:40 UTC170° 28 kt42991.2
21:50 UTC160° 29 kt39990.9
21:53 UTC7357170° 27 kt44991.2
21:55 UTC170° 24 kt35991.2
22:00 UTC170° 28 kt37990.9
22:05 UTC170° 23 kt32991.5
22:10 UTC170° 26 kt36991.2
22:15 UTC170° 27 kt35991.2
22:20 UTC180° 30 kt42991.2
22:25 UTC180° 29 kt41991.2

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Topeka radar (KTWX), 115 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:05 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
19:53 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 621 Nne Falls CityRichardson, NECORRECTS PREVIOUS NON-TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 NNE FALLS CITY. 62 MPH NON T-STORM GUST.
19:53 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMG1 Nne Falls CityRichardson, NE62 MPH NON T-STORM GUST.
21:57 UTCTSTM WND GST 813 Ese LewistonPawnee, NE
22:05 UTCTORNADO6 Sw Pawnee CityPawnee, NEBRIEF SWIRL SOUTHWEST OF OUTBUILDING DESTROYED. DEBRIS STREWN IN NARROW BATH TO THE NORTHEAST.
22:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw Du BoisPawnee, NEDELAYED REPORT: SHED BLOWN OVER AND CRUSHED A COW.
22:06 UTCTORNADO3 Wsw Du BoisPawnee, NEHALF OF LARGE OUTBUILDING DESTROYED.
22:07 UTCTORNADO3 E Pawnee CityPawnee, NEA BRIEF TORNADO DESTROYED SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS AND REMOVED A WRAP-AROUND PORCH FROM A HOUSE.
22:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGPawnee CityPawnee, NELOTS OF STRUCTURE DAMAGE, ROOF DAMAGE, CARPORTS DAMAGED.
22:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGAuburnNemaha, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
22:26 UTCTSTM WND GST 564 Nw StellaNemaha, NEMESONET STATION UP941 4.1 NW STELLA (UPR).
22:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGAuburnNemaha, NELARGE DIAMETER TREES DOWN.
23:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGSterlingJohnson, NELARGE TREES UPROOTED, ROOFS BLOWN OFF OUTBUILDINGS AND LOTS OF DUST BLOWING UP FROM KANSAS.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340
December 155:34 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA2.770$20,000

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.