Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2021
EF1 tornado, Ceresco to Ithaca, Nebraska, December 15, 2021
From Ceresco to Ithaca, this EF1 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Saunders County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 3:46 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- December 15, 2021
- Touchdown
- 3:46 PM CST (21:46 UTC)
- Lifted
- 3:47 PM CST (21:47 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.7 miles (1.2 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Saunders County
- Touchdown point
- 41.180, -96.550
- Lift-off point
- 41.190, -96.540
- Record number
- 2112151546-01
The damage survey
32 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 112 mph.
- Convergent tree damage pattern
- Grain bin dented, empty. But it was slightly moved off its foundation.
- Several pines snapped near trunk. pointed same direction.
- Roof panels on east side blown off.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A low pressure system brought strong (both thunderstorm, and non-thunderstorm) winds, tornadoes, dust, snow, and record temperatures into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. The event was determined to be a derecho meeting the criteria of wind damage extending more than 250 miles, including wind gusts of at least 58 mph and numerous gusts of at least 75 mph.
A tornado developed just north of the Jack Sinn Memorial Wildlife Management area, producing damage to farm buildings and then moving off toward the northeast, and eventually the north northeast as observed by a storm chaser. The tornado caused damage to several barns and outbuildings along the track, including complete destruction of barns near Road 11 and Road F. The tornado also overturned several pivot irrigation systems and snapped wooden power poles at multiple locations, including numerous poles along Highway 92 which prompted a multi-day closure of the highway. The tornado also impacted the University of Nebraska Farm where a video was taken of the small fast-moving tornado and several buildings sustained damage. The tornado ended 1 mile northwest of Yutan where a farm outbuilding was blown for a significant distance and trees were damage. Significant downburst winds on the east flank of the tornado circulation were evident on radar and damage to pivot irrigation systems and other structures throughout the duration of the tornado.
A short track EF-1 tornado began just west of CR 13 and traveled over a farmstead. This tornado caused substantial damage to several outbuildings and a grain bin. A cattle feeder that was secured to the ground via 3-foot-deep concrete posts was lifted and thrown 250 feet. The tornado was short lived with only tree damage observed at the end of the track.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
1 minute of warning. NWS OAX issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:45 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:23 UTC and running to 22:18 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00 UTC | 08:20 UTC | High Wind Watch | OAX |
| 18:00 UTC | 20:21 UTC | Fire Weather Watch | OAX |
| 18:00 UTC | 03:00 UTC | High Wind Warning | OAX |
| 18:00 UTC | 00:25 UTC | Red Flag Warning | OAX |
| 19:23 UTC | 22:18 UTC | Tornado Watch | OAX |
| 20:26 UTC | 21:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX |
| 20:54 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX |
| 21:09 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX |
| 21:45 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | OAX |
| 03:00 UTC | 06:00 UTC | Wind Advisory | OAX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z
9.8 hours before the tornado, 21 km from the path. December 15, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -103670 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2165 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 346 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 384 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.2 K/km
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z
2.2 hours after it, 21 km from the path. December 16, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 4 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 69 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1685 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 103 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -450 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -705 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.4 K/km
The surface observations
Wahoo (AHQ), 7 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:55 UTC | 71.6 | 56 | 180° 27 kt | 34 | 992.9 | |
| 20:15 UTC | 72.5 | 55.6 | 190° 28 kt | 38 | 991.9 | |
| 20:40 UTC | 72.7 | 55.4 | 180° 29 kt | 38 | 990.5 | |
| 20:55 UTC | 71.8 | 55 | 170° 29 kt | 37 | 989.2 | |
| 21:15 UTC | 71 | 55.4 | 160° 28 kt | 37 | 987.8 | |
| 21:35 UTC | 70.3 | 55.8 | 160° 25 kt | 33 | 987.1 | |
| 21:55 UTC | 200° 31 kt | 989.2 | ||||
| 22:15 UTC | 55.6 | 52.7 | 200° 17 kt | 24 | 989.2 | |
| 22:35 UTC | 56.5 | 50 | 200° 14 kt | 23 | 988.8 | HZ |
| 22:55 UTC | 57 | 48.6 | 210° 14 kt | 22 | 988.8 | HZ |
| 23:15 UTC | 57.2 | 48 | 200° 11 kt | 16 | 988.1 | HZ |
| 23:35 UTC | 55.8 | 48.4 | 190° 9 kt | 987.8 | HZ |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:48 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:23 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 63 | 4 Se Fort Calhoun | Washington, NE | |
| 21:15 UTC | TSTM WND GST 84 | 2 Ne David City | Butler, NE | FROM PERSONAL WEATHER STATION. |
| 21:15 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 47 | 4 N Milford | Seward, NE | MESONET STATION EW0651 MILFORD. |
| 21:17 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Schuyler | Colfax, NE | LARGE TREE DOWN IN FRONT YARD. PICTURE RECEIVED VIA TWITTER. REPORT TIME BASED ON RADAR. |
| 21:19 UTC | TSTM WND GST 59 | 3 W Schuyler | Colfax, NE | MESONET STATION UP948 2.5 W SCHUYLER (UPR). |
| 21:21 UTC | TSTM WND GST 67 | 3 Ese Lincoln | Lancaster, NE | FROM A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION. |
| 21:23 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ene Pleasant Dale | Lancaster, NE | FARMSTEAD EXPERIENCED LOSS OF TOP OF WELL-CONSTRUCTED 100 YEAR OLD BARN BOLTED TO FOUNDATION PLATE USING REBAR. METAL OUTBUILDING DESTROYED. LARGE DENT GRAIN SILO. BOAT DOCK DETACHED FROM WOODEN POSTS AND FLUNG ACROSS PO |
| 21:29 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 93 | 5 Wnw Lincoln | Lancaster, NE | ASOS STATION KLNK LINCOLN AIRPORT. |
| 21:30 UTC | TSTM WND GST 93 | 4 Nw Lincoln | Lancaster, NE | |
| 21:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Se Ithaca | Saunders, NE | LOST GARAGE AND A SHED. |
| 21:37 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ene Davey | Lancaster, NE | DELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. NO DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AT THE RESIDENCE. |
| 21:38 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 57 | 1 Ene Lincoln | Lancaster, NE | MESONET STATION FW4554 LINCOLN. |
| 21:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 5 N Lincoln | Lancaster, NE | REPORT OF ROOF BLOWN OFF APARTMENT BUILDING. |
| 21:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Denton | Lancaster, NE | ALMOST 20' TREE BLOWN OVER AND PATIO FURNITURE TOSSED AROUND NEAR DENTON. |
| 21:41 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 E Ceresco | Saunders, NE | DELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN. |
| 21:41 UTC | TORNADO | 4 E Ceresco | Saunders, NE | A TORNADO DEVELOPED JUST NORTH OF THE JACK SINN MEMORIAL WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA, PRODUCING DAMAGE TO FARM BUILDINGS AND THEN MOVING OFF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST, AND EVENTUALLY THE NORTH NORTHEAST AS OBSERVED BY A STORM CH |
| 21:44 UTC | TSTM WND GST 92 | Bennet | Lancaster, NE | |
| 21:44 UTC | TORNADO | 4 E Ceresco | Saunders, NE | GENERAL TRACK BEGINNING NEAR CO RD 14 & CO RD A AND TRACK ENDED NEAR CO RD 11 & CO RD E. |
| 21:46 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Nnw Ithaca | Saunders, NE | A SHORT TRACK EF-1 TORNADO BEGAN JUST WEST OF CR 13 AND TRAVELED OVER A FARMSTEAD. THIS TORNADO CAUSED SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS AND A GRAIN BIN. A CATTLE FEEDER THAT WAS SECURED TO THE GROUND VIA 3 FOOT |
| 21:48 UTC | TSTM WND GST 53 | 1 E Ames | Dodge, NE | MESONET STATION UP105 3.7 N CEDAR BLUFFS (UPR). |
| 21:49 UTC | TSTM WND GST 90 | Eagle | Cass, NE | |
| 21:50 UTC | TSTM WND GST 63 | 4 N Memphis | Saunders, NE | MESONET STATION NB075 MEMPHIS 4N. |
| 21:51 UTC | TSTM WND GST 99 | 3 E Ithaca | Saunders, NE | UNL CSP1 PIVOT NEAR INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD H AND COUNTY ROAD 10. |
| 21:53 UTC | TSTM WND GST 128 | 4 Se Mead | Saunders, NE | Corrects previous tstm wnd gst report from 4 SE Mead for wrong date. Very delayed report (2021). Received from UNL School of Natural Resources. Appears to have occurred in the rear flank downdraft region to the east (rig |
| 21:55 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 66 | 1 Wnw Fremont | Dodge, NE | AWOS STATION KFET FREMONT AIRPORT. |
| 21:55 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Wsw Avoca | Otoe, NE | A VERY NARROW TORNADO, APPROXIMATELY 20 YARDS WIDE, WAS WITNESSED AND CAUSED SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND FARM EQUIPMENT WHILE DESTROYING A LARGE SHED NEAR ITS ONSET AND PROCEEDED TO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE FOR APPROXIM |
| 21:56 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | 3 Wnw Otoe | Otoe, NE | |
| 21:56 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | 3 W Otoe | Otoe, NE | |
| 21:57 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Cedar Bluffs | Saunders, NE | ROOF BLOWN OFF AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN. |
| 21:59 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 N Fremont | Dodge, NE | TRACTOR TRAILER BLOWN OVER ON ITS SIDE. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN FREMONT. |
| 22:00 UTC | TSTM WND GST 66 | 1 Wnw Fremont | Dodge, NE | |
| 22:01 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Ene Lincoln | Lancaster, NE | REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN. |
| 22:03 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 1 Wnw Valley | Douglas, NE | |
| 22:04 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 E Mead | Saunders, NE | POWER LINES DOWN AND THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE ALONG HIGHWAY 92. |
| 22:10 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | Arlington | Washington, NE | |
| 22:12 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Nne Omaha | Douglas, NE | SEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN. |
| 22:13 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Nw Bellevue | Sarpy, NE | DELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. LIMBS DOWN NEAR 30TH AND HARRISON. |
| 22:13 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Bellevue | Sarpy, NE | NUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWN AND HOMES DAMAGED. |
| 22:14 UTC | NON-TSTM WND GST 81 | Offutt Afb | Sarpy, NE | AWOS STATION KOFF OFFUTT AFB. |
| 22:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Nne Boys Town | Douglas, NE | BRANCHES DOWN MORE THAN 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021
124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 15 | 1:27 PM CST | EF0 | Kearney, NE | 11.0 | 150 | $700,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:29 PM CST | EF0 | Franklin, NE | 13.4 | 100 | $700,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:33 PM CST | EF0 | Kearney, NE | 7.1 | 120 | $350,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:44 PM CST | EF1 | Webster, NE | 14.8 | 180 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 1:53 PM CST | EF1 | Adams, NE | 8.6 | 150 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:03 PM CST | EF0 | Adams, NE | 7.2 | 60 | $302,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:11 PM CST | EF1 | Hamilton, NE | 12.9 | 400 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:26 PM CST | EF1 | Hamilton, NE | 12.0 | 400 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 2:35 PM CST | EF1 | Polk, NE | 7.5 | 350 | $400,000 | ||
| December 15 | 3:03 PM CST | EF1 | Platte, NE | 0.8 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 3:04 PM CST | EF2 | Platte, NE | 2.7 | 50 | 2 | ||
| December 15 | 3:11 PM CST | EF2 | Saline, NE | 23.7 | 70 | |||
| December 15 | 3:27 PM CST | EF1 | Colfax, NE | 1.5 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 3:31 PM CST | EF2 | Cuming, NE | 6.3 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:37 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 4.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:37 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:41 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 3:41 PM CST | EF1 | Saunders, NE | 16.6 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 3:44 PM CST | EF2 | Cuming, NE | 11.2 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 3:51 PM CST | EF1 | Cuming, NE | 11.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 3:55 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 3.3 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:05 PM CST | EF1 | Otoe, NE | 0.1 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 4:05 PM CST | EF1 | Pawnee, NE | 0.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:06 PM CST | EF0 | Pawnee, NE | 2.2 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:06 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 3.6 | 150 | |||
| December 15 | 4:07 PM CST | EF1 | Pawnee, NE | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 4:09 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, NE | 2.6 | 200 | |||
| December 15 | 4:14 PM CST | EF1 | Mills, IA | 10.0 | 100 | |||
| December 15 | 4:15 PM CST | Unrated | Woodbury, IA | 0.8 | 20 | |||
| December 15 | 4:16 PM CST | EF0 | Pottawattamie, IA | 0.9 | 30 | |||
| December 15 | 4:20 PM CST | EF1 | Woodbury, IA | 4.6 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:24 PM CST | EF2 | Pottawattamie, IA | 2.3 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:25 PM CST | EF2 | Woodbury, IA | 8.4 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:31 PM CST | EF1 | Mills, IA | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:31 PM CST | EF2 | Pottawattamie, IA | 6.7 | 75 | |||
| December 15 | 4:34 PM CST | EF1 | Pottawattamie, IA | 9.6 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:35 PM CST | EF1 | Woodbury, IA | 4.3 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:39 PM CST | EF1 | Plymouth, IA | 3.7 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:42 PM CST | EF1 | Ida, IA | 13.0 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:48 PM CST | Unrated | Crawford, IA | 4.4 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 4:49 PM CST | EF2 | Cass, IA | 27.1 | 100 | $350,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:58 PM CST | EF0 | Ida, IA | 2.9 | 50 | $75,000 | ||
| December 15 | 4:59 PM CST | EF1 | Cherokee, IA | 11.2 | 250 | $1.0 million | ||
| December 15 | 5:00 PM CST | Unrated | Cherokee, IA | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| December 15 | 5:00 PM CST | EF1 | Cass, IA | 11.4 | 80 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:01 PM CST | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 6.4 | 75 | $200,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:05 PM CST | EF1 | Cherokee, IA | 3.8 | 75 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:07 PM CST | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 6.9 | 150 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:08 PM CST | EF1 | O'Brien, IA | 3.9 | 100 | $50,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:10 PM CST | EF1 | Guthrie, IA | 11.4 | 70 | $100,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:13 PM CST | EF2 | Sac, IA | 17.6 | 100 | $150,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:14 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 19.7 | 100 | $450,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:18 PM CST | EF2 | Buena Vista, IA | 4.8 | 100 | $250,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:19 PM CST | EF1 | Carroll, IA | 9.7 | 80 | $80,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:21 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 30.0 | 300 | $470,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:27 PM CST | EF2 | Guthrie, IA | 23.4 | 150 | $801,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:29 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 5.5 | 100 | $1.2 million | ||
| December 15 | 5:32 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 5.8 | 100 | $500,000 | ||
| December 15 | 5:34 PM CST | Unrated | Calhoun, IA | 1.3 | 40 | |||
| December 15 | 5:34 PM CST | EF2 | Greene, IA | 2.7 | 70 | $20,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.