Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2021

EF1 tornado, Ceresco to Ithaca, Nebraska, December 15, 2021

From Ceresco to Ithaca, this EF1 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Saunders County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 3:46 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
3:46 PM CST (21:46 UTC)
Lifted
3:47 PM CST (21:47 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.7 miles (1.2 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Saunders County
Touchdown point
41.180, -96.550
Lift-off point
41.190, -96.540
Record number
2112151546-01

The damage survey

32 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 112 mph.

  • Convergent tree damage pattern
  • Grain bin dented, empty. But it was slightly moved off its foundation.
  • Several pines snapped near trunk. pointed same direction.
  • Roof panels on east side blown off.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A low pressure system brought strong (both thunderstorm, and non-thunderstorm) winds, tornadoes, dust, snow, and record temperatures into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. The event was determined to be a derecho meeting the criteria of wind damage extending more than 250 miles, including wind gusts of at least 58 mph and numerous gusts of at least 75 mph.

A tornado developed just north of the Jack Sinn Memorial Wildlife Management area, producing damage to farm buildings and then moving off toward the northeast, and eventually the north northeast as observed by a storm chaser. The tornado caused damage to several barns and outbuildings along the track, including complete destruction of barns near Road 11 and Road F. The tornado also overturned several pivot irrigation systems and snapped wooden power poles at multiple locations, including numerous poles along Highway 92 which prompted a multi-day closure of the highway. The tornado also impacted the University of Nebraska Farm where a video was taken of the small fast-moving tornado and several buildings sustained damage. The tornado ended 1 mile northwest of Yutan where a farm outbuilding was blown for a significant distance and trees were damage. Significant downburst winds on the east flank of the tornado circulation were evident on radar and damage to pivot irrigation systems and other structures throughout the duration of the tornado.

A short track EF-1 tornado began just west of CR 13 and traveled over a farmstead. This tornado caused substantial damage to several outbuildings and a grain bin. A cattle feeder that was secured to the ground via 3-foot-deep concrete posts was lifted and thrown 250 feet. The tornado was short lived with only tree damage observed at the end of the track.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

1 minute of warning. NWS OAX issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:45 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:23 UTC and running to 22:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC08:20 UTCHigh Wind WatchOAX
18:00 UTC20:21 UTCFire Weather WatchOAX
18:00 UTC03:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningOAX
18:00 UTC00:25 UTCRed Flag WarningOAX
19:23 UTC22:18 UTCTornado WatchOAX
20:26 UTC21:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
20:54 UTC22:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:09 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:45 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningOAX
03:00 UTC06:00 UTCWind AdvisoryOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

9.8 hours before the tornado, 21 km from the path. December 15, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -103670, lifted condensation level 2165 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103670 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2165 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

2.2 hours after it, 21 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -66, lifted condensation level 1685 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -450 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 103 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Surface CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
103 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-705 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Wahoo (AHQ), 7 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:55 UTC71.656180° 27 kt34992.9
20:15 UTC72.555.6190° 28 kt38991.9
20:40 UTC72.755.4180° 29 kt38990.5
20:55 UTC71.855170° 29 kt37989.2
21:15 UTC7155.4160° 28 kt37987.8
21:35 UTC70.355.8160° 25 kt33987.1
21:55 UTC200° 31 kt989.2
22:15 UTC55.652.7200° 17 kt24989.2
22:35 UTC56.550200° 14 kt23988.8HZ
22:55 UTC5748.6210° 14 kt22988.8HZ
23:15 UTC57.248200° 11 kt16988.1HZ
23:35 UTC55.848.4190° 9 kt987.8HZ

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:48 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:23 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 634 Se Fort CalhounWashington, NE
21:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 842 Ne David CityButler, NEFROM PERSONAL WEATHER STATION.
21:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 474 N MilfordSeward, NEMESONET STATION EW0651 MILFORD.
21:17 UTCTSTM WND DMGSchuylerColfax, NELARGE TREE DOWN IN FRONT YARD. PICTURE RECEIVED VIA TWITTER. REPORT TIME BASED ON RADAR.
21:19 UTCTSTM WND GST 593 W SchuylerColfax, NEMESONET STATION UP948 2.5 W SCHUYLER (UPR).
21:21 UTCTSTM WND GST 673 Ese LincolnLancaster, NEFROM A PERSONAL WEATHER STATION.
21:23 UTCTORNADO2 Ene Pleasant DaleLancaster, NEFARMSTEAD EXPERIENCED LOSS OF TOP OF WELL-CONSTRUCTED 100 YEAR OLD BARN BOLTED TO FOUNDATION PLATE USING REBAR. METAL OUTBUILDING DESTROYED. LARGE DENT GRAIN SILO. BOAT DOCK DETACHED FROM WOODEN POSTS AND FLUNG ACROSS PO
21:29 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 935 Wnw LincolnLancaster, NEASOS STATION KLNK LINCOLN AIRPORT.
21:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 934 Nw LincolnLancaster, NE
21:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Se IthacaSaunders, NELOST GARAGE AND A SHED.
21:37 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ene DaveyLancaster, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. SEVERAL LARGE TREES SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. NO DAMAGE TO BUILDINGS AT THE RESIDENCE.
21:38 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 571 Ene LincolnLancaster, NEMESONET STATION FW4554 LINCOLN.
21:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N LincolnLancaster, NEREPORT OF ROOF BLOWN OFF APARTMENT BUILDING.
21:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGDentonLancaster, NEALMOST 20' TREE BLOWN OVER AND PATIO FURNITURE TOSSED AROUND NEAR DENTON.
21:41 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E CerescoSaunders, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. REPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
21:41 UTCTORNADO4 E CerescoSaunders, NEA TORNADO DEVELOPED JUST NORTH OF THE JACK SINN MEMORIAL WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA, PRODUCING DAMAGE TO FARM BUILDINGS AND THEN MOVING OFF TOWARD THE NORTHEAST, AND EVENTUALLY THE NORTH NORTHEAST AS OBSERVED BY A STORM CH
21:44 UTCTSTM WND GST 92BennetLancaster, NE
21:44 UTCTORNADO4 E CerescoSaunders, NEGENERAL TRACK BEGINNING NEAR CO RD 14 & CO RD A AND TRACK ENDED NEAR CO RD 11 & CO RD E.
21:46 UTCTORNADO1 Nnw IthacaSaunders, NEA SHORT TRACK EF-1 TORNADO BEGAN JUST WEST OF CR 13 AND TRAVELED OVER A FARMSTEAD. THIS TORNADO CAUSED SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO SEVERAL OUTBUILDINGS AND A GRAIN BIN. A CATTLE FEEDER THAT WAS SECURED TO THE GROUND VIA 3 FOOT
21:48 UTCTSTM WND GST 531 E AmesDodge, NEMESONET STATION UP105 3.7 N CEDAR BLUFFS (UPR).
21:49 UTCTSTM WND GST 90EagleCass, NE
21:50 UTCTSTM WND GST 634 N MemphisSaunders, NEMESONET STATION NB075 MEMPHIS 4N.
21:51 UTCTSTM WND GST 993 E IthacaSaunders, NEUNL CSP1 PIVOT NEAR INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD H AND COUNTY ROAD 10.
21:53 UTCTSTM WND GST 1284 Se MeadSaunders, NECorrects previous tstm wnd gst report from 4 SE Mead for wrong date. Very delayed report (2021). Received from UNL School of Natural Resources. Appears to have occurred in the rear flank downdraft region to the east (rig
21:55 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 661 Wnw FremontDodge, NEAWOS STATION KFET FREMONT AIRPORT.
21:55 UTCTORNADO2 Wsw AvocaOtoe, NEA VERY NARROW TORNADO, APPROXIMATELY 20 YARDS WIDE, WAS WITNESSED AND CAUSED SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND FARM EQUIPMENT WHILE DESTROYING A LARGE SHED NEAR ITS ONSET AND PROCEEDED TO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE FOR APPROXIM
21:56 UTCTSTM WND GST 703 Wnw OtoeOtoe, NE
21:56 UTCTSTM WND GST 703 W OtoeOtoe, NE
21:57 UTCTSTM WND DMGCedar BluffsSaunders, NEROOF BLOWN OFF AND POWER LINES DOWN IN TOWN.
21:59 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N FremontDodge, NETRACTOR TRAILER BLOWN OVER ON ITS SIDE. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN FREMONT.
22:00 UTCTSTM WND GST 661 Wnw FremontDodge, NE
22:01 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ene LincolnLancaster, NEREPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
22:03 UTCTSTM WND GST 601 Wnw ValleyDouglas, NE
22:04 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 E MeadSaunders, NEPOWER LINES DOWN AND THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE ALONG HIGHWAY 92.
22:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 70ArlingtonWashington, NE
22:12 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nne OmahaDouglas, NESEVERAL LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.
22:13 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nw BellevueSarpy, NEDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. LIMBS DOWN NEAR 30TH AND HARRISON.
22:13 UTCTSTM WND DMGBellevueSarpy, NENUMEROUS LARGE TREES DOWN AND HOMES DAMAGED.
22:14 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 81Offutt AfbSarpy, NEAWOS STATION KOFF OFFUTT AFB.
22:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nne Boys TownDouglas, NEBRANCHES DOWN MORE THAN 6 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340
December 155:34 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA2.770$20,000

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.