Tornadoes · United States · Iowa · 2021

EF1 tornado, Tabor, Iowa, December 15, 2021

This EF1 tornado ran 10.0 miles across Mills County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 4:14 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
4:14 PM CST (22:14 UTC)
Lifted
4:23 PM CST (22:23 UTC)
On the ground
9 minutes
Path length
10.0 miles (16.0 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Mills County
Touchdown point
40.920, -95.750
Lift-off point
40.920, -95.750
Record number
2112151614-01

The damage survey

59 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 122 mph.

  • Large transmission lines down
  • Right next to lake Moved a lot of water Golf ball sized hail Homeowner had visual of tornado
  • 60-70 foot oak trees uploaded.
  • Partial loss of grain storage on top of barn. 12 ft door dented. Collapse of 3 car garage.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A low pressure system brought strong (both thunderstorm, and non-thunderstorm) winds, tornadoes, dust, snow, and record temperatures into eastern Nebraska and western Iowa. The event was determined to be a derecho meeting the criteria of wind damage.

The tornado began in the hills and rough terrain near Pease Rd and Quigg Ave, and traveled quickly northeast along the 10 mile track, lasting approximately 9 minutes. The first few miles of the tornado track were intermittent, with occasional evidence of a narrow track of damage and some substantial damage to outbuildings and trees. The damage became much more consistent as the tornado approached US Highway 275 where it damaged several outbuildings, including destruction of a well-constructed metal buildings with wooden frame. Security camera footage at this location supported the likelihood of this being caused by a tornado due to sudden directional and vertical shifts in wind which the removal of the roof and walls was completed in only 1 to 2 seconds. The tornado track continued northeast where it caused substantial tree damage, destroyed two sheds, caused minor damage to homes and snapped numerous power poles. Even at this location where the damage footprint was relatively wide, the individual tornado vortices were small, with a significant swath of wind along its eastern flank. The tornado continued north with gradually decreasing damage intensity and sporadic nature of damage.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

13 minutes of warning. NWS OAX issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:01 UTC, 13 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:23 UTC and running to 23:19 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC08:20 UTCHigh Wind WatchOAX
18:00 UTC00:25 UTCRed Flag WarningOAX
18:00 UTC03:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningOAX
18:00 UTC20:21 UTCFire Weather WatchOAX
19:23 UTC23:19 UTCTornado WatchOAX
21:35 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:55 UTC22:55 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
22:01 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningOAX
22:12 UTC22:45 UTCTornado WarningOAX
22:30 UTC22:42 UTCTornado WarningOAX
03:00 UTC06:00 UTCWind AdvisoryOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

10.2 hours before the tornado, 68 km from the path. December 15, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -103670, lifted condensation level 2165 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103670 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2165 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

1.8 hours after it, 68 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -66, lifted condensation level 1685 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -450 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 103 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Surface CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
103 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-705 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Plattsmouth (PMV), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:15 UTC73.656.5190° 35 kt44993.9
20:35 UTC7457170° 24 kt40992.6
20:55 UTC7357.2170° 26 kt43991.9
21:15 UTC7357.2160° 29 kt39990.5
21:35 UTC72.757.2160° 21 kt37989.8
21:55 UTC7257.2160° 23 kt36988.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:15 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:00 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMG6 Ese CoburgMontgomery, IA2-3 POWER POLES SHEARED OFF. TIME UNKNOWN.
20:03 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 603 N HastingsMills, IA
22:14 UTCTORNADO5 Wnw TaborMills, IACORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 5 WNW TABOR. THE TORNADO BEGAN IN THE HILLS AND ROUGH TERRAIN NEAR PEASE RD AND QUIGG AVE, AND TRAVELLED QUICKLY NORTHEAST ALONG THE 10 MILE TRACK, LASTING APPROXIMATELY 9 MINUTES. T
22:16 UTCTORNADO4 Ssw Council BluffsPottawattamie, IASHORT TRACK TORNADO STARTED NEAR THE MISSOURI RIVER AND TRAVEL 0.90 MILES TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST. LARGE BRANCHES WERE BLOWN DOWN BY THE TORNADO.
22:16 UTCTORNADO4 Ssw Council BluffsPottawattamie, IAUPDATE TO PREVIOUS REPORT. SHORT TRACK TORNADO STARTED NEAR THE MISSOURI RIVER AND TRAVEL 0.90 MILES TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST. LARGE BRANCHES WERE BLOWN DOWN BY THE TORNADO IN AN OTHERWISE UNPOPULATED PORTION OF THE MISSOU
22:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 621 Sw Council BluffsPottawattamie, IAMESONET STATION RCBI4 COUNCIL BLUFFS (I-80).
22:21 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ene Council BluffsPottawattamie, IANINE LOADED COAL CARS ROLLED OFF TRACKS.
22:22 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N MalvernMills, IAPOWER LINES ACROSS HIGHWAY 34.
22:22 UTCTSTM WND GST 838 Wsw SidneyFremont, IAMESONET STATION NEAR SIDNEY AT I29/HWY 2.
22:24 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 W McclellandPottawattamie, IAFIRE CHIEF REPORTED POWER LINES AND POLES DOWN FOR ABOUT A 1/4 MILE FROM HOMESTEAD AVE TO L-34 ALONG RAILROAD HIGHWAY.
22:24 UTCTORNADO4 Wsw McclellandPottawattamie, IAA NARROW BUT STRONG TORNADO TRACKED ALONG ROAD L34 THROUGH SHERWOOD COUNTRY ESTATES BEFORE ENDING NEAR JUNIPER ROAD. THE MAXIMUM DAMAGE WAS SUSTAINED TO A HOME IN SHERWOOD COUNTRY ESTATES WHERE THE NARROW TORNADO REMOVED
22:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Wnw McclellandPottawattamie, IAMAJOR HOME DAMAGE IN WESTON.
22:27 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw TreynorPottawattamie, IAPOWERLINES DOWN.
22:29 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 E TreynorPottawattamie, IALARGE TREE ON HOUSE.
22:29 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 W UnderwoodPottawattamie, IAROOF BLOWN OFF A HOUSE ON L-34 WEST OF UNDERWOOD.
22:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 922 Wsw HastingsMills, IADELAYED REPORT. 92 MPH FROM ESE. 2 OTHER WEATHER STATIONS IN THE SAME AREA RECORDED 66 MPH FROM THE SOUTH AND 81 MPH FROM THE SSW.
22:31 UTCTORNADO2 E UnderwoodPottawattamie, IAA NARROW EF-2 TORNADO BEGAN PRODUCING DAMAGE NEAR MAHOGANY ROAD AND 290TH ST AND TRACKED NORTH NORTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHEAST EDGE OF NEOLA AND THEN CAUSED INTERMITTENT DAMAGE NEAR RAILROAD HIGHWAY NORTH OF NEOLA. THE MOST
22:31 UTCTORNADO4 S HendersonMills, IAA SHORT-LIVED TORNADO DEVELOPED ON A FARM WHERE IT QUICKLY DESTROYED A METAL BUILDING STRUCTURE, FLIPPING TWO TRUCKS THAT WERE PARKED INSIDE THE BUILDING. THE ROOF WAS FLIPPED OFF OF THE STRUCTURE AND DEBRIS WAS DISTRIBU
22:32 UTCTORNADO2 Sw NeolaPottawattamie, IAFROM VIDEO AND TDS. TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR AT LEAST 2 MINUTES. DAMAGE REPORTED IN NEOLA.
22:34 UTCTORNADO3 E MacedoniaPottawattamie, IAA TORNADO TRACKED FROM EAST OF MACEDONIA TO EAST OF OAKLAND, CROSSING APPROXIMATELY 9.5 MILES IN APPROXIMATELY 8 MINUTES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF APPROXIMATELY 50 YARDS. THE TORNADO CAUSED INTERMITTENT DAMAGE TO TREES, OU
22:35 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 795 Ene Council BluffsPottawattamie, IAAWOS STATION KCBF COUNCIL BLUFFS AIRPORT.
22:36 UTCTSTM WND GST 795 Ene Council BluffsPottawattamie, IA
22:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ne UnderwoodPottawattamie, IALARGE GARAGE DOORS ON CITY BUILDING BLOWN IN.
22:38 UTCTSTM WND GST 802 Se UnderwoodPottawattamie, IA
22:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Ese CarsonPottawattamie, IAMACHINE SHED DESTROYED.
23:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw TreynorPottawattamie, IAPOWERLINES DOWN.
23:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N MalvernMills, IAPOWER LINES ACROSS HIGHWAY 34.
23:02 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W McclellandPottawattamie, IASEMI ROLLED OVER. I-80W 13 MM NEAR MCCLELLAND, IA.
23:24 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 E Council BluffsPottawattamie, IATREE ON ROAD IA-92 AT 8 MM & EASTERN HILLS DRIVE.
23:34 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nnw Pacific JunctionMills, IASEMI ROLLOVER. I-29N AT 35 MM.
23:34 UTCTSTM WND DMGNeolaPottawattamie, IAOUT BUILDINGS BLOWN OVER, HOUSES DAMAGED, POWER LINES DOWN, GAS LEAK - TDS NOTED IN THE AREA ON RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IowaEvery tornado in Iowa since 1950Warnings in force in Iowa nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340
December 155:34 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA2.770$20,000

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.