Tornadoes · United States · Iowa · 2021

Unrated tornado, Blanden to Rolfe, Iowa, December 15, 2021

From Blanden to Rolfe, this Unrated tornado ran 1.0 miles across Pocahontas County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 5:43 PM CST and reaching 40 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
5:43 PM CST (23:43 UTC)
Lifted
5:44 PM CST (23:44 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
1.0 miles (1.7 km)
Path width
40 yards (37 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Pocahontas County
Touchdown point
42.580, -94.578
Lift-off point
42.592, -94.566
Record number
2112151743-01

What the Weather Service recorded

December 15, 2021 was an unprecedented and historic event for the state of Iowa and the central US. It featured the first-ever December derecho observed anywhere in the United States and the first Moderate Risk of severe thunderstorms issued by the NWS Storm Prediction Center in December for Iowa. Unofficially, it set the new single-day Iowa records for the most tornadoes and the most EF-2/F-2 or stronger tornadoes since 1950. Finally, it will break the all-time December record high temperature for Iowa. ||Tornadoes: There were 63 confirmed tornadoes that occurred in Iowa, 21 of which were rated EF-2. Sixty three is unofficially the most tornadoes in Iowa in a single day with the previous being 35 tornadoes on August 31, 2014. Further, 21 EF-2 tornadoes is unofficially the most EF-2/F-2 or stronger tornadoes in a single day with the previous being 16 tornadoes on June 7, 1984. Prior to this event, a total of 5 tornadoes had occurred in Iowa in December since 1950 with all of them in southeastern Iowa. | |Thunderstorm Wind: Numerous straight line wind gusts were also associated with these thunderstorms, some in excess of 80 mph. During the event, nearly the entire state of Iowa was under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning at some point. Audubon reported the highest gust in Iowa at 88 mph. This storm also met the criteria for a ���derecho'', which makes it the first derecho on record in the month of December anywhere in the United States. Finally, we had an unofficial gust of 108 mph recorded by a mesonet station near Sheffield, Iowa associated with one of the tornadic circulations. ||Environmental Wind: After the line of storms had passed, numerous strong, non-thunderstorm wind gusts over 70 mph occurred overnight. The top three non-thunderstorm wind gusts were 83 mph in Decatur City, 81 mph in Marshalltown, and 80 mph in Johnston. The Des Moines International Airport recorded a 74 mph non-thunderstorm wind gust, which is the highest non-thunderstorm wind gust at this location since 1970.| |Temperatures: In addition to the severe weather and strong non-thunderstorm winds, the temperatures were remarkable and record setting. Numerous record daily highs were broken by many degrees. In addition and preliminarily, the all-time December record high temperature for Iowa of 74 degrees that was set in Thurman, IA on December 6, 1939 was broken with four sites reaching 75 degrees (Oskaloosa, Muscatine, Iowa City, and Ottumwa).||For detailed environmental analysis, including soundings, please view the various local NWS office event review pages: NWS Des Moines, NWS Sioux Falls, NWS Omaha, NWS Wichita, NWS Pueblo, NWS Twin Cities, NWS Quad Cities, NWS Hastings, NWS La Crosse, NWS Green Bay, or NWS Milwaukee.

This tornado was discovered using high resolution satellite imagery combined with radar data. There was no damaged observed with this tornado, hence the EFU rating.

This tornado moved through both Pocahontas and Humboldt Counties. Tornado path found via high resolution satellite imagery and radar data. No damage was reported, hence the EFU rating. The tornado passed just west and north of Gilmore City, entering into Humboldt County north of Gilmore City.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

7 minutes of warning. NWS DMX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:36 UTC, 7 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:26 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:00 UTC06:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningDMX
19:26 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WatchDMX
23:19 UTC00:22 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX
23:36 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningDMX
23:45 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningDMX
23:58 UTC00:30 UTCTornado WarningDMX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

11.7 hours before the tornado, 205 km from the path. December 15, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -103670, lifted condensation level 2165 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 346 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 42 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103670 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2165 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
346 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
384 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

0.3 hours after it, 205 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -66, lifted condensation level 1685 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -450 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 103 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66 J/kg
Surface CAPE
69 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1685 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
103 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-450 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-705 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Fort Dodge (FOD), 30 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:40 UTC180° 15 kt993.6
21:45 UTC180° 16 kt22993.2
21:50 UTC180° 21 kt26993.2
21:55 UTC180° 24 kt30992.6
21:56 UTC7057190° 25 kt30992.6
22:00 UTC180° 22 kt992.2
22:05 UTC180° 18 kt22991.9
22:10 UTC170° 21 kt991.9
22:15 UTC170° 16 kt21991.5
22:20 UTC180° 18 kt26991.9
22:25 UTC170° 19 kt991.5
22:30 UTC170° 16 kt991.5
22:35 UTC170° 15 kt21991.5
22:40 UTC170° 17 kt991.5
22:45 UTC170° 19 kt991.2
22:50 UTC170° 18 kt24990.9
22:55 UTC170° 16 kt21990.9
22:56 UTC6957180° 18 kt26990.5
23:00 UTC170° 18 kt990.5
23:05 UTC160° 16 kt990.2
23:10 UTC160° 15 kt989.8
23:15 UTC160° 14 kt989.5
23:20 UTC160° 15 kt989.2
23:25 UTC160° 19 kt989.2
23:30 UTC160° 16 kt988.5
23:35 UTC150° 19 kt24988.5
23:40 UTC150° 17 kt22
23:45 UTC160° 20 kt24
23:50 UTC140° 14 kt-RA
23:55 UTC160° 14 kt987.8RA
23:56 UTC6757160° 15 kt25987.8TSRA
00:00 UTC 64991.9+RA SQ
00:02 UTC62.653.6190° 36 kt64990.5+TSRA SQ
00:05 UTC 27 kt990.5+RA SQ
00:10 UTC 21 kt990.5RA
00:11 UTC55.448.2220° 21 kt46990.2-TSRA
00:15 UTC 23 kt990.2-RA
00:20 UTC210° 19 kt990.2-RA
00:25 UTC210° 21 kt990.5
00:30 UTC200° 18 kt990.2
00:35 UTC200° 22 kt990.2
00:40 UTC53.646.4210° 21 kt28990.5
00:40 UTC210° 20 kt990.5
00:45 UTC200° 17 kt22990.2-RA
00:50 UTC190° 19 kt24989.8-RA
00:55 UTC 22 kt989.5-RA
00:56 UTC5246190° 20 kt27989.2-RA
01:00 UTC190° 18 kt988.8-RA
01:05 UTC190° 16 kt988.5HZ
01:10 UTC190° 16 kt988.1HZ
01:15 UTC190° 15 kt988.1HZ
01:20 UTC190° 16 kt988.1HZ
01:25 UTC180° 13 kt988.1HZ
01:30 UTC180° 13 kt987.8HZ
01:35 UTC170° 11 kt987.8HZ

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 118 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:41 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 514 Wsw LakesideBuena Vista, IATIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
23:42 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ne AyrshirePalo Alto, IAEXTENSIVE BUILDING DAMAGE TO THE NORTHEAST OF AYRSHIR.
23:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGKnierimCalhoun, IAMACHINE SHED DAMAGED 1 MILE NORTH OF SOMERS AND STOP SIGNS/HIGHWAY SIGNS BLOWN OVER HWY 20 AT KNIERIM.
23:49 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw HarcourtWebster, IAEMERGENCY MANAGER RELAYED BUILDING/DEBRIS BLOWN ONTO HIGHWAY 175. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
23:51 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nw HarcourtWebster, IAPOWERLINES AND POLES, OUTBUILDING AND TREE DAMAGE STARTING NEAR HARCOURT AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST TOWARDS DUNCOMBE IN WEBSTER COUNTY.
00:00 UTCTORNADOBradgateHumboldt, IAPUBLIC REPORTED TORNADO ON THE GROUND. NO ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AT THIS TIME.
00:02 UTCTSTM WND GST 733 Nnw Fort DodgeWebster, IA
00:12 UTCTORNADO6 S AlgonaKossuth, IATORNADO CONFIRMED, APPROX 6 MILES SOUTH OF ALGONA.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGAlgonaKossuth, IA14 INCH DIAMETER TREE ON HOUSE.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 622 W AlgonaKossuth, IA
00:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 672 Wnw AlgonaKossuth, IA
00:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 702 W AlgonaKossuth, IANICKEL SIZED HAIL AT ALGONA AIRPORT, STRONG WINDS GUSTS 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IowaEvery tornado in Iowa since 1950Warnings in force in Iowa nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.