Tornadoes · United States · Iowa · 2021

EF1 tornado, Aureola to Rudd, Iowa, December 15, 2021

From Aureola to Rudd, this EF1 tornado ran 6.7 miles across Floyd County on December 15, 2021, touching down at 6:59 PM CST and reaching 80 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $490,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 15, 2021
Touchdown
6:59 PM CST (00:59 UTC)
Lifted
7:04 PM CST (01:04 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
6.7 miles (10.8 km)
Path width
80 yards (73 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$490,000
County
Floyd County
Touchdown point
42.985, -92.853
Lift-off point
43.067, -92.783
Record number
2112151859-01

The damage survey

37 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ARX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Satellite signatures show substantial tree damage on the east side of this farmstead. Tough to gauge the full extent, but given the lack of foliage and fast storm motion, likely saw EF1 damage here.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An intense storm system moved across the Upper Midwest on December 15th and produced a rare severe weather outbreak across northeast Iowa. Eight tornadoes occurred across parts of Floyd, Chickasaw and Howard Counties. Four of these tornadoes were rated EF1 with one moving through Rudd (Floyd County) where the roof was removed from the library and several homes and a church were heavily damaged. The other tornadoes largely moved through rural areas damaging trees, power lines and farm buildings. In addition to the tornadoes, damaging winds occurred that blew over a semi in Floyd (Floyd County) and damaged numerous homes across the region. The Governor of Iowa declared a state of disaster emergency for Allamakee, Chickasaw, Fayette, Floyd, Howard, Mitchell and Winneshiek Counties. A federal disaster was declared for Floyd, Howard and Mitchell Counties.

This tornado formed in Butler County before crossing into southern Floyd County south of Marble Rock. The tornado remained on the ground for about 3 minutes in Floyd County as it moved across rural areas before dissipating south of Marble Rock. An NWS survey team determined this tornado to have an EF1 rating with damage limited to trees.

This tornado formed just north of Marble Rock and moved rapidly to the northeast before dissipating west of Charles City. An NWS survey team determined this tornado to have an EF1 rating. The tornado caused damage to homes, farm buildings and metal grain bins along with taking down power poles, power lines and trees.

The third tornado of the night in Floyd County formed just to the southwest of Rudd, moved northeast directly through the town and dissipated along Business U.S. Highway 18 on the north edge of town. Extensive damage occurred in the town with numerous homes sustaining damage with some roofs completely blown off. The roof of the library was removed with damage sustained to almost all the books in the building. A church on the north side of town also sustained heavy damage as did the towns water treatment plant. Water and power were not expected to be restored for several days. Classes for the Rudd-Rockford-Marble Rock school district were canceled for December 16th but the building in Rockford was open to the public for showers, warmth and served breakfast and lunch to those in need.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

15 minutes of warning. NWS ARX issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:44 UTC, 15 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:16 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 23:30 UTC and running to 02:34 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
21:00 UTC20:46 UTCHigh Wind WatchARX
23:30 UTC02:34 UTCTornado WatchARX
00:00 UTC12:00 UTCHigh Wind WarningARX
00:37 UTC01:31 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningARX
00:44 UTC01:16 UTCTornado WarningARX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

1.0 hours before the tornado, 212 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 633 joules per kilogram, CIN -55, lifted condensation level 770 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 443 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 75 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
633 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
770 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
443 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
470 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
5.7
0-3 km lapse rate
3.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

11.0 hours after it, 212 km from the path. December 16, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -112159, lifted condensation level 704 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -46 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 56 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-112159 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
704 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
1.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Charles City (CCY), 17 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:15 UTC66.259160° 18 kt993.6
23:35 UTC66.259160° 21 kt28993.2
23:55 UTC66.259170° 18 kt25993.2
00:15 UTC66.259160° 22 kt28992.6
00:35 UTC66.259160° 24 kt31991.2
00:55 UTC66.259150° 23 kt32989.5
01:15 UTC57.250230° 31 kt48993.2HZ

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The La Crosse radar (KARX), 158 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:57 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:32 UTCHAIL 12 Wnw CoulterFranklin, IAQUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT HWY 3 AND INTERSTATE 35.
00:38 UTCTSTM WND GST 641 Nw HamptonFranklin, IAPERSONAL WEATHER STATION.
00:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N SwaledaleCerro Gordo, IADELAYED REPORT: HEAVY DAMAGE TO MACHINE SHEDS AND OUT BUILDINGS VIA SOCIAL MEDIA VIDEO.
00:47 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wsw BristowButler, IAONE OUT BUILDING LEVELED AND ANOTHER MISSING THE NORTH WALL. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
00:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw Mason CityCerro Gordo, IAMULTIPLE 3 INCH DIAMETER OR GREATER TREE BRANCHES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
00:53 UTCTSTM WND GST 833 Ne Clear LakeCerro Gordo, IA
00:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGManlyWorth, IADAMAGE TO SHED OR OUTBUILDING EAST OF MANLY. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
01:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E RuddFloyd, IAROOF ON HWY 27 NEAR PARK ENTRANCE.
01:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nne Marble RockFloyd, IANUMEROUS REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE TO HOUSES.
01:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGFloydFloyd, IAOVERTURNED SEMI-TRUCK TRAILER AT TRUCK STOP.
01:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se MitchellMitchell, IAREPORTS OF FLATTENED FARM BUILDINGS.
01:09 UTCHAIL 1Charles CityFloyd, IANICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL REPORTED.
01:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGRuddFloyd, IADAMAGE TO RAILROAD TRACKS.
01:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 552 E Charles CityFloyd, IA
01:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 553 E Charles CityFloyd, IAAWOS STATION KCCY CHARLES CITY AIRPORT.
01:20 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N ElmaHoward, IAREPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED; ROOF BLOWN OFF.
01:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 632 N IoniaChickasaw, IAIOWA DOT SENSOR.
01:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 632 N IoniaChickasaw, IAMESONET STATION RNHI4 2 N IONIA.
01:20 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 632 N IoniaChickasaw, IAMESONET STATION RNHI4 2 N IONIA.
01:28 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw Davis CornersHoward, IATREES UPROOTED, POWER POLES SNAPPED AND METAL BARN ROOF PARTIALLY BLOWN OFF. REPORT VIA TWITTER. TIME ESTIMATED.
01:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Wsw Vernon SpringsHoward, IAMAJOR DAMAGE SUSTAINED BY LARGE OUTBUILDING SOUTHWEST OF CRESCO. ALSO MAJOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AT A NEARBY HOG FARM. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
01:34 UTCTSTM WND GST 61Waterloo Regional AirpoBlack Hawk, IA
01:36 UTCTSTM WND GST 62Waterloo Regional AirpoBlack Hawk, IAWATERLOO MUNICIPAL AIRPORT ASOS RECORDED 54 KT WIND GUST.
02:50 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 782 N HanlontownWorth, IAGROVE OF PINE TREES DOWN AND GRAIN BIN DESTROYED.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IowaEvery tornado in Iowa since 1950Warnings in force in Iowa nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 15, 2021

124 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 151:27 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE11.0150$700,000
December 151:29 PM CSTEF0Franklin, NE13.4100$700,000
December 151:33 PM CSTEF0Kearney, NE7.1120$350,000
December 151:44 PM CSTEF1Webster, NE14.8180$400,000
December 151:53 PM CSTEF1Adams, NE8.6150$400,000
December 152:03 PM CSTEF0Adams, NE7.260$302,000
December 152:11 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.9400$500,000
December 152:26 PM CSTEF1Hamilton, NE12.0400$500,000
December 152:35 PM CSTEF1Polk, NE7.5350$400,000
December 153:03 PM CSTEF1Platte, NE0.830
December 153:04 PM CSTEF2Platte, NE2.7502
December 153:11 PM CSTEF2Saline, NE23.770
December 153:27 PM CSTEF1Colfax, NE1.530
December 153:31 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE6.3100
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE4.850
December 153:37 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE1.850
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE0.450
December 153:41 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE16.6100
December 153:44 PM CSTEF2Cuming, NE11.2200
December 153:46 PM CSTEF1Saunders, NE0.7100
December 153:51 PM CSTEF1Cuming, NE11.220
December 153:55 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.320
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Otoe, NE0.1200
December 154:05 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF0Pawnee, NE2.220
December 154:06 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE3.6150
December 154:07 PM CSTEF1Pawnee, NE0.8100
December 154:09 PM CSTEF2Cass, NE2.6200
December 154:14 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA10.0100
December 154:15 PM CSTUnratedWoodbury, IA0.820
December 154:16 PM CSTEF0Pottawattamie, IA0.930
December 154:20 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.675$250,000
December 154:24 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA2.350
December 154:25 PM CSTEF2Woodbury, IA8.4100$500,000
December 154:31 PM CSTEF1Mills, IA0.650
December 154:31 PM CSTEF2Pottawattamie, IA6.775
December 154:34 PM CSTEF1Pottawattamie, IA9.650
December 154:35 PM CSTEF1Woodbury, IA4.375$200,000
December 154:39 PM CSTEF1Plymouth, IA3.775$50,000
December 154:42 PM CSTEF1Ida, IA13.075$200,000
December 154:48 PM CSTUnratedCrawford, IA4.450
December 154:49 PM CSTEF2Cass, IA27.1100$350,000
December 154:58 PM CSTEF0Ida, IA2.950$75,000
December 154:59 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA11.2250$1.0 million
December 155:00 PM CSTUnratedCherokee, IA1.850
December 155:00 PM CSTEF1Cass, IA11.480$100,000
December 155:01 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.475$200,000
December 155:05 PM CSTEF1Cherokee, IA3.875$250,000
December 155:07 PM CSTEF1Buena Vista, IA6.9150$100,000
December 155:08 PM CSTEF1O'Brien, IA3.9100$50,000
December 155:10 PM CSTEF1Guthrie, IA11.470$100,000
December 155:13 PM CSTEF2Sac, IA17.6100$150,000
December 155:14 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA19.7100$450,000
December 155:18 PM CSTEF2Buena Vista, IA4.8100$250,000
December 155:19 PM CSTEF1Carroll, IA9.780$80,000
December 155:21 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA30.0300$470,000
December 155:27 PM CSTEF2Guthrie, IA23.4150$801,000
December 155:29 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.5100$1.2 million
December 155:32 PM CSTEF2Greene, IA5.8100$500,000
December 155:34 PM CSTUnratedCalhoun, IA1.340

All 125 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.