Strong southwest winds affected the Kodiak Island Zone (includes northeast AKPen).
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.
Strong southwest winds affected the Kodiak Island Zone (includes northeast AKPen).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 26, 4:44 PM AKST, 2 hours 38 minutes earlier.
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Anchorage AK 444 PM AKST Fri Feb 26 2021 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... Weak low pressure moving into Southcentral is creating a wintry mix of weather. Most locations are seeing snow, though freezing drizzle is present on the Kenai Peninsula and was present in Anchorage this morning. So far, it has remained cold enough in Anchorage to remain snow since then. The center of this low affecting Southcentral is still located back in Southwest AK, also providing a wintry mix of precipitation there. Temperatures are warm enough in Southwest AK for more of a rain/snow mix there. All of this is being supported by an upper level trough and 500MB closed low over the Bering Sea. It is embedded in a zonal pattern moving across our forecast area. However, this trough is beginning to dig south and the pattern is becoming more amplified. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... Synoptically models are in good agreement to start the short term. They do begin to diverge in placement of features over the weekend, notably with an upper level low moving along the north gulf coast. The surface low associated with this seems to be handled better, but some minor disagreement exists there as well. On a more local scale, models are having difficulty handling light precipitation moving into Southcentral AK. So, adjustments to the forecast have been necessary today. && .AVIATION... PANC...MVFR conditions will be present through the TAF period. Low pressure in the area will make for intermittent periods of snow, reducing visibility to MVFR at times with low-level cloud cover remaining in place. Additionally, turnagain arm winds are expected to develop this evening. There remain some questions as to whether or not they will work their way into the airfield. For now, it looks like they will stay aloft, so low-level wind shear was added into the TAF. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today through Monday afternoon)... Active weather will continue across Southcentral through mid- week. A weak warm front combined with an upper ridge is tracking across the region. The freezing line is currently located just north of Anchor Point. It is difficult to determine how far north this will get. Kenai forecast soundings show a saturated isothermal layer between the surface and approximately 900 mb before cooling aloft. This supports the continued potential for freezing drizzle and as such a Winter Weather Advisory has been issued through Saturday afternoon. While much of the precipitation is expected to fall as all snow, a slight temperature deviation at or slightly above the surface could lead to more freezing drizzle or even brief freezing rain. In any case, travel between the Seward/Sterling Highway junction and Clam Gulch may be difficult at times. Farther north, temperatures will peak near freezing in Anchorage and the Matanuska Valley. Light snow will persist through Saturday with the heaviest occurring overnight tonight into early Saturday morning. Gusty southwesterly winds are likely near Turnagain Arm and the Anchorage Hillside. Depending on how far north the front gets, winds may briefly turn into town, however as of now it is expected that they remain confined to the coast. Higher snow totals are likely across the Susitna Valley and thus the Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect there through Saturday evening. The northern Copper River Basin will also see similar accumulations, mainly in the Paxson area and the Advisory remains there as well through the same time period. Snow showers will continue over much of the region through Sunday, though localized downsloping may occur. Several additional inches are possible in the Copper River Basin. A low tracking into the Gulf will increase northwesterly outflow winds though the day, particularly in the Whittier area. This will lead to blowing snow continuing after the snow has ended. Travel through Isabel Pass may be difficult. Much cooler temperatures will result as well. An upper ridge will lead to a brief lull on Monday morning before a similar system enters the Gulf by the afternoon. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Friday Afternoon through Monday)... An upper level shortwave over the eastern Bering Sea is supporting a low and frontal system moving onshore tonight this will bring snow to the Kuskokwim Delta with 2 to 4 inches of snowfall. While farther south over Bristol Bay where temperatures are above freezing a mix of rain and snow will prevail when little if any snow accumulations. This front will move towards the interior by Saturday morning rain and snow ending, some patchy fog is possible across the Bristol Bay area from Dillingham to King Salmon Saturday morning. As the cold front pushes south and east on Saturday cold air and northerly winds will move across the area with temperatures dropping from north to south through the day. Cold and dry for Sunday as northerly flow dominates. Sunday night and Monday a strong frontal system crossing the Bering Sea will bring increasing south to southeast flow with warmer air pushing temperatures near freezing along coastal areas. This will result in snow across the region with several inches expected beginning Sunday night and continuing through Monday. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3: Friday Afternoon through Monday)... A shortwave trough and frontal system will move across the eastern Bering tonight and move inland. Behind the cold front, cold air advection will bring snow showers to the AKPEN and eastern Aleutians Saturday through Sunday morning. This cold air will also produce gusty winds across the AKPEN and eastern Aleutians with Gales and pockets of storm force winds south of the AKPEN Saturday night and Sunday. Farther west a low continues to spin north of Shemya. This will produce some high end small crafts across the northwest Bering this evening with heavy freezing spray near and west of St Matthew Island. Saturday evening a strong front will move across the western Aleutians into the Bering with high end storm force winds and hurricane force gusts. The parent low to this front will bring hurricane force winds across the western Aleutians Sunday through Sunday night these will spread towards Adak and the central Aleutians Monday with storm force winds and hurricane force gusts. This strong front on Sunday and Monday will create hazardous heavy freezing spray for a good portion of northern and eastern Bering Sea extending as far south as the Pribilofs Island and southeast towards Bristol Bay and south of the AKPEN. && .MARINE (Days 3 through 5: Monday through Wednesday)... Bering: A well developed low and front tracks across the Bering into Southwest Alaska for Tue. Model confidence is good, but decreases near the end of the period. Widespread storm force winds and waves with areas of hurricane force gusts with the wind wrapped low and front as it moves east, diminishing from the west Tue. Widespread gale force winds take over through Wed. Waves to 47 feet over the Aleutians and Bering, subsiding in the Eastern Bering by Wed. Gulf of Alaska: A low and front move across the Gulf for Tue. A second front is hot on the heels through Wed. Confidence is good through the forecast. Widespread high end gale force winds and waves move across the Gulf for Mon and Tue. Gusty outflow winds spread into the Gulf from Kachemak Bay and the Barren Islands, down the lower Shelikof Strait and along coastal Alaska Peninsula for Wed. Waves build to 22 feet move across the Gulf through Wed. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Tuesday through Friday)... The long term forecast period overall looks quieter as an Arctic trough moves through much of the Mainland for next week. Overall, a cold pattern is expected for this time frame as rounds of Siberian/Arctic air move across the northern Bering and Bering Strait across the Alaska Mainland. The pattern is expected to be more progressive as well meaning that this cold air will be pushed through the gaps and passes of the Alaska/Aleutian Range and down the Alaska Peninsula to the eastern Aleutians. This doesn't look to be the typical setup for the Southcentral gaps and passes to really blow strongly but winds will still be on the uptick for next week. The coldest days as of now appear to be Tuesday and Wednesday when temperatures will be well below normal across Southwest and Southcentral Alaska. A weak upper level ridge will nudge its way into Southwest Alaska Thursday which may bring snow to the Southwest areas of Alaska. However, another round of cold, Arctic/Siberian air is lurking behind this ridge that will push this ridge off to the south and not make much progress into Southcentral Thursday and Friday. At most, some light snow may occur for Kodiak and the eastern Kenai Peninsula late week though temperatures will still remain below normal. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...Winter Weather Advisory 121 141 145. High Wind Watch 191. MARINE...Storm Warning 130 131 138 176-178 411 413. Gale Warning 120 129 132 137 150 155 160 165 173-175 351 352 412. Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 130 131 139 150 160 165 180 185 411 412 414. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BJB SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AP SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RC MARINE/LONG TERM...MV
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong southwest winds effected Kodiak Island for about 33 hours.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alaska in 2021Every state in 2021This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, February 2021
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 972063.