Alert archive / Virginia / Fluvanna County

Weather alerts in Fluvanna County, Virginia, 2015

95 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Fluvanna County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
95
Warnings
14
Watches
11
Advisories
17
Busiest month
June34 alerts
Busiest day
June 20, 20158 alerts

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

Fluvanna County, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Tornado warnings00
Severe thunderstorm warnings9811%6100%7 min
Flash flood warnings00

Each office's whole area, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings21481%967%11 min
NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings1137732%20887%23 min
NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings330%7100%44 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 7, 3:29 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryAKQ30 hr
Jan 11, 3:22 PM ESTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAKQ18 hr
Jan 26, 4:26 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ30 hr
Feb 14, 3:09 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryAKQ55 hr
Feb 14, 3:38 AM ESTWind AdvisoryAKQ36 hr
Feb 14, 7:24 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ51 min
Feb 15, 4:40 PM ESTWinter Storm WatchAKQ11 hr
Feb 15, 9:52 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningAKQ38 hr
Feb 16, 4:30 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Feb 18, 3:44 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryAKQ59 hr
Feb 20, 4:10 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchAKQ11 hr
Feb 20, 2:49 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ33 hr
Feb 22, 8:17 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ103 min
Feb 25, 4:30 AM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ32 hr
Feb 28, 3:17 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQ31 hr
Mar 2, 3:13 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ6 hr
Mar 4, 2:33 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningAKQ31 hr
Mar 5, 11:55 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC6 hr
Mar 6, 1:37 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningAKQ19 hr
Apr 10, 2:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC54 min
Apr 20, 11:01 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningAKQ17 hr
Apr 20, 1:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Apr 20, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Apr 22, 12:32 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC118 min
Apr 30, 2:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ32 min
May 5, 7:28 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ62 min
May 6, 3:21 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Jun 1, 2:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ48 min
Jun 8, 7:43 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ62 min
Jun 14, 2:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC84 min
Jun 16, 12:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 18, 12:42 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ33 min
Jun 18, 2:28 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 20, 1:36 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC114 min
Jun 20, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC10 hr
Jun 20, 5:41 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ49 min
Jun 20, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ42 min
Jun 20, 6:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ42 min
Jun 20, 6:24 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC96 min
Jun 20, 7:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ45 min
Jun 20, 7:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ29 min
Jun 22, 5:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ32 min
Jun 23, 1:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 23, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr
Jun 23, 5:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Jun 23, 7:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jun 25, 3:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC93 min
Jun 25, 4:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC9 hr
Jun 25, 5:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ30 min
Jun 25, 7:51 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ24 min
Jun 25, 7:53 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC97 min
Jun 25, 7:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRNK47 min
Jun 25, 8:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ39 min
Jun 25, 8:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ50 min
Jun 25, 8:46 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQ3 hr
Jun 25, 9:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ46 min
Jun 25, 10:11 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC64 min
Jun 27, 6:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 30, 1:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Jun 30, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC6 hr
Jun 30, 4:15 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jun 30, 10:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ53 min
Jul 6, 1:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 10, 4:13 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 10, 5:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ57 min
Jul 13, 9:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC3 hr
Jul 14, 6:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Jul 14, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr
Jul 14, 8:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ33 min
Jul 14, 9:26 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC94 min
Jul 14, 9:54 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ36 min
Jul 18, 3:05 PM EDTHeat AdvisoryAKQ29 hr
Jul 27, 9:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ34 min
Jul 28, 4:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ35 min
Jul 28, 4:57 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ33 min
Jul 28, 5:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ29 min
Jul 28, 5:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ64 min
Jul 28, 6:16 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAKQ3 hr
Jul 30, 6:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ29 min
Jul 30, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQ49 min
Aug 11, 1:30 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC3 hr
Aug 11, 7:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ34 min
Aug 11, 8:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ40 min
Sep 2, 3:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC85 min
Sep 4, 4:12 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ33 min
Sep 4, 5:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ44 min
Sep 4, 5:56 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ34 min
Sep 10, 7:27 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ48 min
Sep 30, 11:59 PM EDTFlood WatchAKQ51 hr
Oct 17, 3:41 AM EDTFreeze WatchAKQ30 hr
Oct 17, 3:08 PM EDTFrost AdvisoryAKQ18 hr
Oct 18, 10:06 AM EDTFreeze WarningAKQ23 hr
Dec 9, 2:25 AM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ9 hr
Dec 22, 8:47 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementAKQ58 min
Dec 29, 11:19 PM ESTDense Fog AdvisoryAKQ10 hr

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.