Alert archive / Virginia / Wind Advisories in 2015

Wind Advisory 4, NWS Wakefield, VA

February 14, 201524 counties in Virginia; Camden County, Currituck County, North Carolina; 4 counties in Maryland

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this wind advisory at Feb 14, 2015, 3:38 AM EST for 24 counties in Virginia; Camden County, Currituck County, North Carolina; 4 counties in Maryland. It took effect at Feb 14, 2015, 8:00 PM EST. It was in force for 20 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 14, 2015, 3:38 AM EST (08:38 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 14, 2015, 8:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 15, 2015, 4:00 PM EST
In force
20 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
All 30 counties

Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Camden County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Accomack County, VA, Caroline County, VA, Charles City County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Hopewell, VA, City of Petersburg, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Cumberland County, VA, Fluvanna County, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Goochland County, VA, James City County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, New Kent County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Powhatan County, VA, Prince George County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Surry County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-02-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-02-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -24 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1662 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

226 
WWUS71 KAKQ 140838
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
338 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015


MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-141645-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.HW.W.0001.150215T0300Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
338 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. TREE DAMAGE
  AND POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NCZ017-102-VAZ064-073>078-084>086-091-094-095-097-098-141645-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.150215T0300Z-150215T2100Z/
INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-CAROLINE-KING AND QUEEN-
ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-
MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COROLLA...TAPPAHANNOCK...POQUOSON...
NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON
338 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA.

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED TREE
  DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
738 
WWUS71 KAKQ 141639
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1139 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-150045-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.HW.W.0001.150215T0100Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
1139 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE HIGH WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. TREE DAMAGE 
  AND POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NCZ017-102-VAZ064-073>078-084>086-091-094-095-097-098-150045-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.150215T0100Z-150215T2100Z/
INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-CAROLINE-KING AND QUEEN-
ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-
MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COROLLA...TAPPAHANNOCK...POQUOSON...
NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON
1139 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN 
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. 

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$
926 
WWUS71 KAKQ 142032
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
332 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-150445-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0001.150215T0100Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
332 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. TREE DAMAGE 
  AND POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NCZ016-VAZ048-049-061>063-069>072-081>083-089-090-093-096-150445-
/O.EXA.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.150215T0100Z-150215T2100Z/
CAMDEN-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-POWHATAN-
CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-
NEW KENT-SURRY-JAMES CITY-ISLE OF WIGHT-SUFFOLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...GOOCHLAND...ASHLAND...
COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...
WILLIAMSBURG
332 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST
SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN 
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. 

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

NCZ017-102-VAZ064-073>078-084>086-091-094-095-097-098-150445-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.150215T0100Z-150215T2100Z/
INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-CAROLINE-KING AND QUEEN-
ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-GLOUCESTER-
MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-YORK-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-
CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COROLLA...TAPPAHANNOCK...POQUOSON...
NEWPORT NEWS...HAMPTON
332 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN 
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. 

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$
726 
WWUS71 KAKQ 150103
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
803 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-150915-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
803 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. TREE DAMAGE 
  AND POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NCZ016-017-102-VAZ048-049-061>064-069>078-081>086-089>091-093>098-
150915-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-
CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-
HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-
GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-
NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-
VIRGINIA BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COROLLA...LOUISA...GOOCHLAND...
ASHLAND...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...TAPPAHANNOCK...
PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...NEWPORT NEWS...
HAMPTON
803 PM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN 
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. 

* TIMING: THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$
508 
WWUS71 KAKQ 151202
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
702 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-152015-
/O.CON.KAKQ.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
702 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: LOWER EASTERN SHORE.

* TIMING: THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE STRONG WINDS WILL LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. TREE DAMAGE 
  AND POWER OUTAGES CAN BE EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

NCZ016-017-102-VAZ048-049-061>064-069>078-081>086-089>091-093>098-
152015-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-
CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-
HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-
NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-PRINCE GEORGE-CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-
GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-SURRY-JAMES CITY-YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-
NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-
VIRGINIA BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COROLLA...LOUISA...GOOCHLAND...
ASHLAND...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...TAPPAHANNOCK...
PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...NEWPORT NEWS...
HAMPTON
702 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN 
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. 

* TIMING: THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$
894 
WWUS71 KAKQ 151708
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1208 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

MDZ021>025-VAZ099-100-152100-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.HW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
1208 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE
HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA AND THE MARYLAND AND
  VIRGINIA EASTERN SHORE.

* TIMING: THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED. WINDS
THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

&&

$$

NCZ016-017-102-VAZ048-049-061>064-069>074-081>086-089>091-093>098-
151815-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
CAMDEN-INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-
CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-HANOVER-CAROLINE-POWHATAN-CHESTERFIELD-
HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-PRINCE GEORGE-
CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-SURRY-
JAMES CITY-YORK-ISLE OF WIGHT-NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-
NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-SUFFOLK-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COROLLA...LOUISA...GOOCHLAND...
ASHLAND...COLONIAL HEIGHTS...RICHMOND...TAPPAHANNOCK...
PETERSBURG...HOPEWELL...WILLIAMSBURG...POQUOSON...NEWPORT NEWS...
HAMPTON
1208 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WAKEFIELD HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 



$$

VAZ075>078-152100-
/O.CON.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
1208 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHERN NECK AND MIDDLE PENINSULA IN EASTERN 
  VIRGINIA...HAMPTON ROADS...COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA. 

* TIMING: THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

* WIND: NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS: THE GUSTY WINDS MAY LEAD TO DIFFICULT TRAVEL 
  CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. SCATTERED 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
31 TO 39 MPH OR GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 45 TO 57 MPH. WINDS OF
THESE MAGNITUDES MAY CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE WITHOUT EXTRA
PRECAUTIONS. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD USE
CAUTION UNTIL THE WINDS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

BROWN
887 
WWUS71 KAKQ 152126
NPWAKQ

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
426 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015


MDZ021>025-VAZ075>078-099-100-152230-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-150215T2100Z/
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-ACCOMACK-
NORTHAMPTON VA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CAMBRIDGE...SALISBURY...CRISFIELD...
PRINCESS ANNE...SNOW HILL...OCEAN CITY...CHINCOTEAGUE...
WALLOPS ISLAND...MELFA...EASTVILLE
426 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2015

...WIND ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Feb 14, 1:03 AM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 1:03 AM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
103 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD TONIGHT WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE BY SATURDAY
MORNING. A VERY STRONG ARCTIC COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT STRONG GUSTY WINDS...PLUMMETING
TEMPERATURES...AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS BEHIND THE FRONT SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS TO THE REGION
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
UPDATE...MAIN UPDATE THIS EVENING WAS TO LOWER TEMPERATURES BY
ROUGHLY 10 DEGREES DUE TO CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS RESULTING IN
EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...COLD HIGH PRESSURE WAS PASSING OVER THE MID
ATLANTIC THIS AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR CALMER WINDS BUT HOLDING
AFTERNOON HIGHS DOWN AROUND 30. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND DEWPOINTS
GENERALLY AROUND ZERO...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL RAPIDLY WITH
SUNSET. AREAS COULD HIT THEIR OVERNIGHT LOWS BY MIDNIGHT AND THEN
HOLD STEADY AS SOME THIN HIGH CLOUDS CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
INTO DAYBREAK SUNDAY. LOWS TONIGHT GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER
TEENS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
THE SHORT TERM FORECAST WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED BY VERY WINDY
CONDITIONS SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY...WIND CHILLS AT OR BELOW ZERO AND
A BRIEF SHORT OF SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY EVENING.

THE NEXT STRONG NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE DIGS OVER THE GREAT
LAKES SAT. THE ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL DROP INTO THE NRN MID
ATLANTIC REGION LATE SAT WITH THE TRAILING COLD FRONT SET TO
CROSS THE REGION LATE SAT AFTERNOON INTO SAT EVENING. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...SLY WINDS WILL INCREASE SATURDAY SUPPORTING REBOUNDING
AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 40S. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND THE
SOUTH BREEZE WILL MAKE IT FEEL A BIT COOLER THOUGH. THE UPPER
TROUGH AND BEST LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A POTENT S/W WILL MOVE INTO
THE REGION BTWN 21-00Z EARLY SAT EVENING. PRECIP WILL BEGIN AS RAIN
SHOWERS...BUT QUICKLY CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS DUE TO STRONG
DYNAMICS ALOFT AND A MUCH STRONGER PUSH OF COLD ARCTIC AIR INTO
THE REGION. FOR NOW...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT (ONE INCH
OR LESS).

TEMPS WILL PLUMMET QUICKLY FROM WEST TO EAST SAT EVENING INTO SAT
NIGHT. PRECIP PUSHES OFF THE COAST BY 09Z AND SKIES CLEAR. AS
THE SFC LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OFFSHORE AND STRONG ARCTIC HIGH
PRESSURE (1045+ MB) BUILDS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST...EXPECT VERY
STRONG AND GUSTY NW WINDS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL VA WITH
GUSTS TO 45 MPH ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS. GUSTS COULD REACH 50 MPH
OVER THE EASTERN SHORE AND PORTIONS OF THE BAY. WIND ADVISORIES
WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL VA TO THE COAST AND
EASTERN SHORE. TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE TEENS...PRODUCING
DANGEROUS WIND CHILL VALUES OF 10 BELOW ZERO TO 5 ABOVE AREAWIDE.
HIGHS SUNDAY STRUGGLE THROUGH THE 20S WITH WIND CHILLS REMAINING IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOW TEENS MUCH OF THE DAY.

ANOTHER CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE IS SLOW TO BUILD INTO THE REGION
SUN NIGHT AND MON. LOWS SUN NIGHT AROUND 5 TO 15 DEGREES. HIGHS
MONDAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LONG TERM PERIOD REMAINS CHARACTERIZED BY A CONTINUED ACTIVE
PATTERN WITH WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A POTENTIAL WINTER
STORM TUE/WED FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

BRIEF LULL IN ACTIVE PATTERN MONDAY BROKEN BY PIECE OF SHORTWAVE
ENERGY RIDING FROM THE GREAT PLAINS ACROSS THE MIDWEST MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. FROM THERE, THE PATTERN BEGINS TO GET MORE
INTERESTING ONCE AGAIN. GFS/ECMWF/NAM ALL TAKE SFC LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING OVER WESTERN GULF COAST LATE MONDAY ALONG THE DEEP
SOUTH AND ACROSS THE CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN INTO TUE. MODELS HAVE
TRENDED SLOWER AND COLDER AS SFC LOW PRESSURE IS PROGGED TO TRACK
CLOSER TO THE COAST. OVERALL, CONTINUE TO BELIEVE THAT MODELS ARE
HANDLING SOUTHERN STREAM MOISTURE POORLY, ESPECIALLY IN LIGHT OF
POWERFUL VORTEX CROSSING THE NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE PERIOD, AND
SECOND PIECE OF STRONG ENERGY THAT WILL RE-AMPLIFY THE FLOW IN THE
MID WEEK PERIOD. THUS, HAVE MAINTAINED COASTAL CAROLINA TRACK FOR
SFC LOW, WHICH WOULD PORTEND TO SOME INTERESTING WINTER WX ISSUES
BY THE TIME WE GET INTO TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

PREVIOUS TIMING HAS BEEN LARGELY PRESERVED FOR TUE/TUE NIGHT AND
WED. LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS MON NIGHT...AND WILL BRING A CHC
FOR PRECIP (SNOW SHRAS) AFTER 06Z/TUE AS OVERRUNNING MOISTURE
PUSHES IN FROM THE SW. OVERALL, THE MODELS ARE IN REMARKABLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH FEATURES, AND MADE ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENT TO THE
LEFT WITH THE SFC LOW TRACK VICE OUR OFFICIAL FORECAST AND WPC
TRACK. WENT WITH A MIXED GUIDANCE OPTION WEIGHTED TOWARDS THE
SLOWER ECMWF TIMING GIVEN THE AMPLIFIED OVERALL PATTERN BY LATER
TUE ACRS THE CONUS. THUS...THE POTENTIAL FOR A WINTER STORM EXISTS
FOR AT LEAST THE NRN/NW 1/2 OF THE CWA. AS COLD AS THE ANTECEDENT
AIRMASS WILL BE TUE MORNING...P-TYPE TUE MORNING WOULD BE MAINLY
SNOW (OR IP/ZR) OVER MOST OF THE REGION...GRADUALLY TRANSITIONING
TO ALL RAIN ACRS SE PORTIONS OF THE CWA...WHILE SNOW OR MIXED
PRECIP PERSISTS OVER NW PORTIONS (ESPECIALLY THE PIEDMONT)...WITH
A CHANGE BACK TO ALL SNOW BEFORE TAPERING PCPN OFF WED MORNING.
FOR NOW HAVE KEPT THINGS SIMPLE AND GENLY GONE WITH RAIN OR SNOW
AS P-TYPES AND WILL FINE TUNE THIS AS EVENT GETS CLOSER AND IF A
GREATER POTENTIAL FOR ZR DEVELOPS. WHILE THE POSITION OF THE SFC
HIGH SLIDING OFF THE MID ATL COAST IS NOT TYPICALLY FAVORABLE TO
LOCK COLD AIR IN PLACE FOR THE AKQ CWA...A LOT OF WARMING WILL BE
NECESSARY TO CHANGE P-TYPE TO ALL RAIN FOR NW SECTIONS OF THE CWA
GIVEN HOW COLD THINGS ARE INITIALLY. FOR NOW...HAVE GONE WITH
MAINLY SNOW THROUGHOUT THE EVENT INTO MIDDAY WED ACRS AREAS NW OF
RICHMOND... MAINLY RAIN AFTER THE INITIAL FROZEN PRECIP ACRS FAR
SE ZONES. AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE...AREAS IN BETWEEN INCLUDING
METRO RICHMOND WILL BE THE MOST CHALLENGING...AND FOR NOW HAVE
GONE WITH A CLIMO-TYPE SOLUTION WITH RAIN/SNOW LINE REACHING METRO
RICHMOND LATE TUE AFTN/EVENING THEN TRANSITIONING BACK TO MAINLY
SNOW LATER TUE NIGHT/WED MORNING. PLENTY OF TIME TO HASH OUT
DETAILS AS THIS POTENTIAL STORM IS STILL 4 DAYS OUT. HIGHS TUE IN
THE MID 30S W AND NW TO THE UPPER 40S/AROUND 50 F FAR SE. MORE
UNCERTAINTY WED...GFS WOULD SUGGEST A DRY COLD DAY WHILE THE ECMWF
HAS PRECIP LIKELY ALL DAY. WILL CARRY LIKELY POPS NEAR THE COAST
THROUGH 18Z...WITH CHC POPS FARTHER INLAND. STILL COLD WITH HIGHS
IN THE 30S INLAND TO THE UPPER 40S/AROUND 50 F NE NC COAST.
REMAINING COLD BUT DRYING OUT THU WITH HIGHS AGAIN ONLY IN THE 30S
AFTER LOWS IN THE TEENS TO THE 20S THU MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A WEAK AXIS OF HIGH PRESSURE IS STILL OVER THE AREA TO BEGIN THE
PERIOD...BUT IT WILL QUICKLY ERODE EARLY THIS MORNING AS THE NEXT
SURFACE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO APPROACH THE REGION. HAVE GENERALLY
CLEAR SKY ACROSS THE AREA...ALTHOUGH A SMALL AREA OF MID TO HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS AROUND 15K FT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 6Z
AND 10Z.  HAVE NOT INCLUDED IN THE TAF HOWEVER.

THE VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ABOUT 21Z ON SAT WITH THE
WINDS GRADUALLY INCREASING OUT OF THE SW DURING THE DAY WITH GUST
TO 25 KT POSSIBLE. THE COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE AROUND 00Z FOR
RIC/SBY...BUT ALONG THE FRONT EXPECT TO SEE SOME RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
BECOMING ALL SNOW SHOWERS AS THE COLD AIR RACES INTO THE AREA.
THIS SHOWERS WILL BE SHORT LIVED AND AT THIS POINT...WILL PROBABLY
LEAD TO TEMPORARY VSBY/CEILING RESTRICTIONS. AT THIS TIME HAVE
JUST SHOWN A LOWERING OF THE CEILING...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO LOOK
AT TIMING WITH THE NEXT TAF PACKAGE.

BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW SAT NIGHT THROUGH
SUN. EXPECT WINDS TO GUST TO 30 TO 40 KT SAT NIGHT INTO MIDDAY
SUN...POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 45-50 KT AT KSBY. WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED
INTO SUN NIGHT BUT SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH TO 20-25 KT OR LESS.
POTENTIAL FOR WINTRY PRECIP INCREASES TUE INTO WED WITH A SLOW
MOVING SYSTEM TRACKING NE FROM THE GULF COAST.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA'S HAVE BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE OVER THE ENTIRE AKQ MARINE
AREA...EXCEPT FROM VA/NC BORDER TO CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT(DUE TO
ELEVATED SEAS THAT WILL TAKE AWHILE LONGER TO DROP BELOW 5 FT). AS
WINDS DIMINISH, ICE ACCRETION OVER THE WATERS SHOULD BECOME LESS
OF AN OPERATIONAL ISSUE, AND THUS HAVE ALLOWED FZ SPRAY ADVISORIES
TO COME DOWN OVER THE WATERS FOR TONIGHT.

WINDS DIMINISH AND BACK TO THE SSW LT TNGT AND ERLY SAT...AND CONT
(WHILE INCRSG TO LOW END SCA) INTO SAT AFTN. EXPECT QUICK RAMP UP
TO WINDS ONCE AGAIN LT IN THE WKND. NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED ARCTIC FRONT CROSSES THE WTRS SAT NGT. THE WELL
ADVERTISED CAA SURGE BEHIND THIS SYSTEM STILL PROGGED BY ALL
GUIDANCE TO BE MARKEDLY STRONGER THAN THIS PAST EVENT LAST
EVENING, AIDED BY SIGNIFICANT PRES GRADIENT BETWEEN ~1040MB OVER
THE MIDWEST AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING ~967-970MB SFC PROGGED TO BE
OFF CAPE COD AFTER MIDNIGHT SAT NGT. A 10-12 HR WINDOW OF GALE
FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WATERS...AND THERE REMAINS AN
INCREASING LIKELIHOOD OF STORM FORCE WINDS OVER NORTHERN COASTAL
WATERS SAT NIGHT/SUNDAY MORNING. HAVE RAISED GALE FOR ALL WATERS
LATE SAT AFTN (TO CAPTURE PERIOD OF PREFRONTAL W-SW SCA
SURGE)...AND HAVE HOISTED STORM WARNINGS N OF PARRAMORE ISLAND FOR
SAT NIGHT THROUGH MIDDAY SUNDAY. BUILD SEAS TO 7-12 FT IN THE
COASTAL ZONES, 12-15 FT FROM 20 NM FARTHER OFFSHORE.

OTHERWISE, EXPECT WIDESPREAD 30-40 KT SUSTAINED SPEEDS AFTER
SUNSET SAT NGT...W/ GUSTS IN 40-45 KT RANGE OVER BAY/SND AND 35-40
KT IN RIVERS THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WILL HAVE WAVES ON THE BAY
IN 4 TO 6 FT. WIND SPEEDS SLOW TO DIMINISH SUN...THEN XPCG MORE
BENIGN CONDITIONS EXPECTED MON NGT/TUE AHEAD OF NEXT SYSTEM. GIVEN
HOW COLD AND STRONG NW WNDS WILL BE...FREEZING SPRAY EVEN MORE OF
A CONCERN THAN W/ CURRENT EVENT...AND WILL BE RETAINED FOR LT SAT
NGT THROUGH SUN.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CONTINUE TO COME UP WITH POTENTIAL FOR BLOWOUT TIDES SAT NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. WATER LEVELS TO APPROACH LOW WATER ADVISORY THRESHOLDS
SAT NIGHT ON THE ATLANTIC COAST SIDE AT OCEAN CITY AND
WACHAPREAGUE AND BY SUNDAY AND SUN NGT FOR SITES OVER THE WESTERN
CHES BAY...WHICH MAKES SENSE GIVEN FORECAST WINDS DURING THIS
PERIOD. CURRENTLY GETTING WATER LEVELS ABOUT 1 FT BELOW NORMAL AT
LEWISETTA, AND ABOUT HALF A FOOT BELOW NORMAL AT WINDMILL POINT ON
SUNDAY. STILL A BIT EARLY FOR ANY LOW WATER ADVISORIES, BUT WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR WITH THE NEXT FEW RUNS OF GUIDANCE.

&&

.CLIMATE...
COLD TODAY BUT NOWHERE NEAR RECORDS AS THE CLIMATE DATABASE FOR
RICHMOND AND NORFOLK INCLUDES THE GREAT ARCTIC OUTBREAK OF 1899.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT A FEW RECORDS COULD BE CHALLENGED SUNDAY 2/15 AND
MONDAY 2/16:

RECORD LOW MAX TEMPERATURES:

     ...SUN FEB 15TH....MON FEB 16TH...

RIC... 24 IN 1943......24 IN 1987...
ORF... 24 IN 1943......26 IN 1963...
SBY... 20 IN 1943......24 IN 1943...

RECORD LOW MIN TEMPERATURES FOR MON/FEBRUARY 16TH:

RIC...  7 IN 1905
ORF... 12 IN 1905
SBY...  5 IN 1943
ECG... 16 IN 1963

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ633-
     635>638.
     GALE WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ630>632-
     634-654-656-658.
     STORM WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST SUNDAY FOR
     ANZ650-652.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ658.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JAO
NEAR TERM...BMD/JAO
SHORT TERM...MAS/JAO
LONG TERM...LKB/MAM
AVIATION...ESS
MARINE...MAM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
CLIMATE...
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 5:09 PM EST, 10 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
509 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015

NCZ012>016-030>032-VAZ048-049-060>072-079>083-087>089-092-093-096-
142215-
NORTHAMPTON NC-HERTFORD-GATES-PASQUOTANK-CAMDEN-BERTIE-CHOWAN-
PERQUIMANS-FLUVANNA-LOUISA-PRINCE EDWARD-CUMBERLAND-GOOCHLAND-
HANOVER-CAROLINE-MECKLENBURG-LUNENBURG-NOTTOWAY-AMELIA-POWHATAN-
CHESTERFIELD-HENRICO-KING WILLIAM-BRUNSWICK-DINWIDDIE-PRINCE GEORGE-
CHARLES CITY-NEW KENT-GREENSVILLE-SUSSEX-SURRY-SOUTHAMPTON-
ISLE OF WIGHT-SUFFOLK-
509 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL
VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL VIRGINIA...INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
VIRGINIA...SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA
AND THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BLAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY. A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE
WIND CHILL VALUES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS LOW AS ZERO TO 5 BELOW
ZERO ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ021>025-VAZ073>078-084>086-099-100-142215-
DORCHESTER-WICOMICO-SOMERSET-INLAND WORCESTER-MARYLAND BEACHES-
KING AND QUEEN-ESSEX-WESTMORELAND-RICHMOND-NORTHUMBERLAND-LANCASTER-
GLOUCESTER-MIDDLESEX-MATHEWS-ACCOMACK-NORTHAMPTON VA-
509 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE OF
MARYLAND...THE EASTERN SHORE OF VIRGINIA...THE MIDDLE PENINSULA OF
VIRGINIA AND THE NORTHERN NECK OF VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BLAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY. A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE
WIND CHILL VALUES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING FROM ZERO TO 10 BELOW ZERO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ017-102-VAZ090-091-094-095-097-098-142215-
INLAND CURRITUCK-OUTER BANKS CURRITUCK-JAMES CITY-YORK-
NEWPORT NEWS/HAMPTON-NORFOLK/PORTSMOUTH-CHESAPEAKE-VIRGINIA BEACH-
509 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR COASTAL NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA...THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTH
HAMPTON ROADS VIRGINIA AND THE PENINSULA OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BLAST THROUGH THE REGION LATE
SATURDAY. A STRONG NORTHWEST WIND OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY COLD TEMPERATURES TO CREATE
WIND CHILL VALUES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS LOW AS ZERO TO 5 BELOW
ZERO ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA AND NORTHEAST NORTH
CAROLINA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 3:09 AM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryAKQAccomack, Amelia, Brunswick, Caroline, Charles City, Cumberland and 30 more55 hr
Feb 14, 3:38 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningAKQAccomack, Northampton33 hr

Nearby

Wind Advisories in Virginia, 2015Wind Advisories in Maryland, 2015Wind Advisories in North Carolina, 2015Every wind advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.