Alert archive / North Carolina / Forsyth County
Weather alerts in Forsyth County, North Carolina, 2019
134 weather alerts in 2019, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Forsyth County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2019. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 134
- Warnings
- 32
- Watches
- 14
- Advisories
- 28
- Busiest month
- August33 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 31, 20198 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Forsyth County in 2019 had a tornado report inside them.
Forsyth County, 2019
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 18 | 15 | 17% | 23 | 87% | 20 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 7 | 3 | 57% | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2019
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Raleigh, NC: tornado warnings | 51 | 12 | 76% | 24 | 71% | 11 min |
| NWS Raleigh, NC: severe thunderstorm warnings | 252 | 192 | 24% | 676 | 81% | 21 min |
| NWS Raleigh, NC: flash flood warnings | 29 | 21 | 28% | 79 | 89% | 75 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 3:53 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | RAH | 12 hr |
| Jan 12, 3:48 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | RAH | 33 hr |
| Jan 12, 10:15 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jan 20, 4:02 AM EST | Wind Advisory | RAH | 14 hr |
| Jan 22, 3:55 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 32 hr |
| Jan 30, 3:41 AM EST | Wind Advisory | RAH | 14 hr |
| Feb 19, 3:46 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 32 hr |
| Feb 23, 12:31 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 4 hr |
| Feb 23, 7:40 PM EST | Wind Advisory | RAH | 26 hr |
| Feb 23, 10:36 PM EST | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | 8 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:57 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:16 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | RAH | 29 hr |
| Apr 2, 11:22 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 4 hr |
| Apr 2, 3:36 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | RAH | 17 hr |
| Apr 7, 3:35 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 7 hr |
| Apr 8, 1:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Apr 8, 2:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Apr 8, 3:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 65 min |
| Apr 8, 4:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Apr 12, 1:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 63 min |
| Apr 13, 10:04 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 7 hr |
| Apr 13, 10:53 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | RAH | 7 hr |
| Apr 14, 11:48 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Apr 14, 2:16 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 8 hr |
| Apr 14, 4:50 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Apr 14, 6:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 67 min |
| Apr 14, 7:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 14, 10:09 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Apr 14, 10:14 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 14, 11:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 54 min |
| Apr 15, 12:42 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | 33 min |
| Apr 15, 1:06 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 39 min |
| Apr 19, 10:06 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| Apr 19, 10:31 AM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Apr 19, 1:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Apr 19, 2:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 49 min |
| Apr 26, 5:31 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | RAH | 4 hr |
| May 4, 5:51 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 84 min |
| May 12, 9:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 43 min |
| May 29, 7:23 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 52 min |
| May 31, 12:07 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| May 31, 1:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 10 hr |
| May 31, 3:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 55 min |
| May 31, 4:24 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 66 min |
| May 31, 4:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 49 min |
| May 31, 4:43 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 62 min |
| May 31, 5:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 54 min |
| May 31, 7:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| May 31, 9:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Jun 1, 10:20 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 55 min |
| Jun 5, 12:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Jun 5, 2:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 5 hr |
| Jun 5, 2:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 53 min |
| Jun 7, 9:31 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | RAH | 45 hr |
| Jun 7, 10:41 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 4 hr |
| Jun 8, 2:46 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 89 min |
| Jun 8, 5:17 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jun 8, 1:44 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jun 12, 9:25 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jun 12, 10:03 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jun 17, 10:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 64 min |
| Jun 17, 10:30 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 7 hr |
| Jun 18, 4:08 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | RAH | 24 hr |
| Jun 18, 3:19 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jun 18, 5:34 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 56 min |
| Jun 18, 7:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 62 min |
| Jun 18, 7:35 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jun 18, 7:53 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jun 20, 12:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 20, 1:23 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 52 min |
| Jun 20, 1:43 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 62 min |
| Jun 20, 1:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 22, 2:56 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 64 min |
| Jun 22, 10:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 39 min |
| Jun 22, 10:57 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 2 hr |
| Jun 24, 5:44 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 24, 9:33 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 57 min |
| Jun 24, 9:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 5:55 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 6:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 67 min |
| Jul 11, 3:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 67 min |
| Jul 15, 6:53 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 90 min |
| Jul 15, 7:00 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 82 min |
| Jul 18, 5:24 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 51 min |
| Jul 18, 5:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 47 min |
| Jul 19, 2:45 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 57 hr |
| Jul 20, 12:37 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 53 min |
| Jul 20, 1:12 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Jul 20, 6:51 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | RAH | 29 hr |
| Jul 22, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 60 min |
| Aug 1, 4:25 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 68 min |
| Aug 1, 8:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 48 min |
| Aug 1, 8:44 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 46 min |
| Aug 10, 1:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Aug 10, 3:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 41 min |
| Aug 13, 12:00 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 105 min |
| Aug 13, 1:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Aug 13, 3:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 53 min |
| Aug 13, 3:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 56 min |
| Aug 13, 4:30 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| Aug 13, 4:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 55 min |
| Aug 16, 7:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 65 min |
| Aug 16, 7:51 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 51 min |
| Aug 17, 2:20 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | 46 min |
| Aug 17, 3:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 53 min |
| Aug 17, 3:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 55 min |
| Aug 17, 3:56 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 75 min |
| Aug 17, 3:57 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 48 min |
| Aug 17, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 40 min |
| Aug 18, 7:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 41 min |
| Aug 19, 4:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 58 min |
| Aug 19, 5:27 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Aug 19, 5:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 47 min |
| Aug 19, 5:42 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 63 min |
| Aug 19, 6:47 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 43 min |
| Aug 19, 7:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 47 min |
| Aug 21, 4:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 80 min |
| Aug 22, 2:02 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Aug 22, 3:21 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 69 min |
| Aug 22, 3:31 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 59 min |
| Aug 23, 3:39 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 66 min |
| Aug 23, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 23, 5:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 9 min |
| Sep 28, 2:22 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 53 min |
| Oct 31, 1:11 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Oct 31, 3:39 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Oct 31, 5:33 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | 57 min |
| Nov 1, 3:16 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | RAH | 30 hr |
| Nov 2, 3:16 PM EDT | Freeze Warning | RAH | 18 hr |
| Nov 3, 2:20 PM EST | Freeze Warning | RAH | 18 hr |
| Nov 19, 4:14 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | RAH | 6 hr |
| Dec 12, 4:05 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | RAH | 30 hr |
| Dec 13, 3:50 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | 3 hr |
| Dec 17, 5:53 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | RAH | 52 min |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 18 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 6 |
| Tornado Watch | 4 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 25 |
| Special Weather Statement | 35 |
| Flooding | |
| Areal Flood Warning | 1 |
| Flash Flood Warning | 7 |
| Flash Flood Watch | 3 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 14 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 1 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 4 |
| Heat | |
| Heat Advisory | 2 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 4 |
| Frost Advisory | 1 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 4 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 3 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20182020
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.