Alert archive / New York / Sullivan County
Weather alerts in Sullivan County, New York, 2015
105 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Sullivan County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 105
- Warnings
- 14
- Watches
- 18
- Advisories
- 27
- Busiest month
- February21 alerts
- Busiest day
- May 27, 20157 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Sullivan County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 7 | 3 | 57% | 5 | 80% | 25 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Binghamton, NY: tornado warnings | 4 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| NWS Binghamton, NY: severe thunderstorm warnings | 62 | 40 | 35% | 108 | 81% | 23 min |
| NWS Binghamton, NY: flash flood warnings | 26 | 10 | 62% | 41 | 78% | 97 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2:28 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 36 hr |
| Jan 6, 3:55 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 54 hr |
| Jan 11, 4:42 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 35 hr |
| Jan 16, 10:24 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 111 min |
| Jan 18, 7:58 AM EST | Freezing Rain Advisory | BGM | 5 hr |
| Jan 23, 2:49 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 33 hr |
| Jan 24, 7:33 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 4 hr |
| Jan 25, 3:45 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | BGM | 24 hr |
| Jan 26, 3:36 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | BGM | 21 hr |
| Jan 26, 3:36 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 35 hr |
| Jan 30, 3:35 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 31 hr |
| Jan 30, 8:08 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 82 min |
| Jan 31, 3:44 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | BGM | 11 hr |
| Jan 31, 3:02 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | BGM | 47 hr |
| Feb 1, 9:52 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 2, 4:00 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 2, 2:17 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 18 hr |
| Feb 5, 3:20 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 19 hr |
| Feb 6, 3:13 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | BGM | 37 hr |
| Feb 7, 3:40 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | BGM | 52 hr |
| Feb 11, 4:04 AM EST | Wind Chill Watch | BGM | 23 hr |
| Feb 12, 2:34 AM EST | Wind Chill Warning | BGM | 34 hr |
| Feb 13, 2:39 AM EST | Wind Chill Watch | BGM | 24 hr |
| Feb 13, 9:52 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 33 hr |
| Feb 14, 2:56 AM EST | Wind Chill Warning | BGM | 55 hr |
| Feb 18, 4:17 AM EST | Wind Chill Watch | BGM | 23 hr |
| Feb 18, 4:17 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 39 hr |
| Feb 18, 10:04 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 86 min |
| Feb 18, 10:59 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 61 min |
| Feb 19, 3:11 AM EST | Wind Chill Warning | BGM | 31 hr |
| Feb 20, 10:02 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 21 hr |
| Feb 20, 2:29 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | BGM | 12 hr |
| Feb 20, 2:29 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 37 hr |
| Feb 22, 2:11 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | BGM | 44 hr |
| Feb 28, 2:03 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 37 hr |
| Mar 2, 2:45 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 40 hr |
| Mar 3, 7:01 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Mar 10, 11:56 PM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | BGM | 8 hr |
| Mar 13, 3:16 PM EDT | Freezing Rain Advisory | BGM | 20 hr |
| Mar 19, 3:43 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 38 hr |
| Apr 4, 3:13 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | BGM | 12 hr |
| Apr 20, 10:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| May 13, 2:50 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | BGM | 29 hr |
| May 19, 7:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 62 min |
| May 19, 7:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 19, 8:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 19 min |
| May 21, 3:41 AM EDT | Freeze Watch | BGM | 24 hr |
| May 22, 3:32 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | BGM | 29 hr |
| May 27, 12:21 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| May 27, 12:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| May 27, 2:59 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 27, 3:04 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 41 min |
| May 27, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 64 min |
| May 27, 3:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 61 min |
| May 27, 4:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| May 28, 11:16 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| May 28, 11:30 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 60 min |
| May 31, 12:56 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | BGM | 13 hr |
| Jun 8, 1:39 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 8, 2:58 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 92 min |
| Jun 8, 6:39 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 96 min |
| Jun 8, 7:12 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 93 min |
| Jun 9, 12:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 114 min |
| Jun 12, 3:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 41 min |
| Jun 12, 3:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 52 min |
| Jun 12, 6:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 83 min |
| Jun 12, 7:25 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jun 12, 9:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jun 12, 10:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 63 min |
| Jun 14, 3:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | BGM | 13 hr |
| Jun 14, 11:21 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 84 min |
| Jun 21, 4:22 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 53 min |
| Jun 23, 8:39 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jun 23, 2:46 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 89 min |
| Jun 30, 12:31 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 1:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 30, 7:38 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
| Jun 30, 11:50 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 70 min |
| Jul 1, 12:42 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | BGM | 5 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:05 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 25 min |
| Jul 5, 4:00 AM EDT | Dense Fog Advisory | BGM | 5 hr |
| Jul 9, 3:49 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | BGM | 16 hr |
| Jul 19, 3:18 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jul 19, 5:44 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 61 min |
| Jul 19, 5:48 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 57 min |
| Jul 21, 12:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 67 min |
| Jul 26, 3:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 26, 4:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 27 min |
| Jul 26, 4:20 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 25 min |
| Jul 26, 4:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 23 min |
| Jul 26, 5:06 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 39 min |
| Jul 26, 5:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 40 min |
| Jul 26, 6:03 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 57 min |
| Aug 3, 3:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 32 min |
| Aug 3, 4:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 39 min |
| Aug 3, 4:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM | 22 min |
| Aug 21, 12:47 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 88 min |
| Aug 21, 2:01 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 74 min |
| Sep 29, 3:54 AM EDT | Flood Watch | BGM | 32 hr |
| Oct 10, 11:06 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | BGM | 10 hr |
| Nov 26, 8:19 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 116 min |
| Dec 6, 5:00 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | BGM | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 3:06 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | BGM | 5 hr |
| Dec 27, 2:43 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | BGM | 48 hr |
| Dec 30, 5:10 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | BGM | 6 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 7 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 4 |
| Tornado Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 21 |
| Special Weather Statement | 25 |
| Flooding | |
| Flash Flood Watch | 4 |
| Flood Watch | 1 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 3 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 4 |
| Freezing Rain Advisory | 2 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 11 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Wind Chill Warning | 3 |
| Freeze Watch | 1 |
| Wind Chill Watch | 3 |
| Frost Advisory | 2 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 7 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 4 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.