Alert archive / New York / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 274

June 8, 201527 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania; Bennington County, Vermont

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 8, 2015, 1:39 PM EDT for 27 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania; Bennington County, Vermont. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 8, 2015, 1:39 PM EDT (17:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 8, 2015, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 35 counties

Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA, Bennington County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 1:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Cortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga56 min
Jun 8, 2:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Steuben, Tioga51 min
Jun 8, 6:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMLackawanna, Luzerne3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-06-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2015-06-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 405 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1333 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
405 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
446 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

751 
WWUS20 KWNS 081736
SEL4  
SPC WW 081736
MAZ000-NYZ000-PAZ000-VTZ000-090000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 274
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
140 PM EDT MON JUN 8 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK
  NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
  SOUTHWEST VERMONT

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 140 PM UNTIL
  800 PM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A FAST-MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EASTERN NY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH MORE ISOLATED CELLS
BUILDING NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF PA INTO WATCH AREA.  STRONG LOW/MID
LEVEL WINDS WILL PROMOTE THE RISK OF LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS IN THE
MORE INTENSE CELLS...ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF A TORNADO OR TWO.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
GLENS FALLS NEW YORK TO 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF MONTICELLO NEW
YORK.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 8, 11:41 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango, Cortland, Livingston and 12 more2 hr
Jun 8, 2:58 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Broome, Chemung, Chenango, Delaware, Fulton and 13 more92 min
Jun 8, 7:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Delaware, Dutchess, Greene, Orange, Sullivan and 1 more93 min
Jun 8, 1:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bedford, Berks, Blair, Cambria, Cameron and 31 more119 min
Jun 8, 2:34 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCAdams, Bedford, Blair, Centre, Clinton, Columbia and 19 more5 hr
Jun 8, 3:20 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Berks, Bucks, Carbon, Centre, Chester and 25 more85 min
Jun 8, 4:13 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCBerks, Bucks, Carbon, Chester, Lehigh, Monroe and 2 more4 hr
Jun 8, 4:46 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Berks, Chester, Cumberland, Dauphin, Franklin and 6 more59 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New York, 2015Tornado Watches in Pennsylvania, 2015Tornado Watches in Vermont, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.