Alert archive / Michigan / Kalkaska County
Weather alerts in Kalkaska County, Michigan, 2018
71 weather alerts in 2018, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Kalkaska County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2018. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 71
- Warnings
- 18
- Watches
- 7
- Advisories
- 27
- Busiest month
- August13 alerts
- Busiest day
- August 28, 20189 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
Kalkaska County, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 0 | 0 | ||||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 9 | 8 | 11% | 3 | 67% | 44 min |
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2018
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Gaylord, MI: tornado warnings | 3 | 1 | 67% | 5 | 20% | 1 min |
| NWS Gaylord, MI: severe thunderstorm warnings | 45 | 30 | 33% | 70 | 79% | 22 min |
| NWS Gaylord, MI: flash flood warnings | 4 | 0 | 100% | 0 |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 3:34 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 4 days |
| Jan 3, 3:49 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | APX | 32 hr |
| Jan 4, 3:40 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | APX | 44 hr |
| Jan 21, 1:40 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 46 hr |
| Jan 29, 8:37 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 10 hr |
| Feb 1, 3:46 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 27 hr |
| Feb 2, 2:35 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 42 hr |
| Feb 22, 3:17 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 20 hr |
| Feb 24, 3:36 PM EST | Wind Advisory | APX | 27 hr |
| Mar 7, 1:47 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 34 hr |
| Mar 30, 2:58 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | APX | 32 hr |
| Apr 2, 3:17 AM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | APX | 12 hr |
| Apr 2, 3:43 PM EDT | Winter Storm Warning | APX | 46 hr |
| Apr 5, 3:56 PM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 24 hr |
| Apr 12, 4:05 AM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | APX | 48 hr |
| Apr 13, 4:32 PM EDT | Winter Storm Warning | APX | 71 hr |
| Apr 15, 12:14 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Apr 16, 3:41 AM EDT | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 25 hr |
| Apr 30, 11:18 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | APX | 9 hr |
| Apr 30, 3:08 PM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 29 hr |
| May 10, 3:36 AM EDT | Freeze Warning | APX | 29 hr |
| May 11, 3:30 PM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 17 hr |
| May 12, 10:23 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 21 hr |
| May 18, 5:44 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 15 hr |
| May 20, 3:13 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | APX | 28 hr |
| May 26, 3:56 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 64 min |
| Jun 11, 4:13 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 16 hr |
| Jun 29, 3:57 PM EDT | Excessive Heat Warning | APX | 36 hr |
| Jul 1, 3:28 AM EDT | Heat Advisory | APX | 17 hr |
| Jul 1, 6:05 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 1, 6:35 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jul 1, 7:37 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 53 min |
| Jul 1, 8:19 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 56 min |
| Jul 1, 9:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 57 min |
| Jul 1, 9:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Jul 4, 5:28 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 62 min |
| Jul 6, 3:49 AM EDT | Red Flag Warning | APX | 16 hr |
| Jul 30, 7:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 22 min |
| Jul 30, 8:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 19 min |
| Aug 1, 2:35 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 3 hr |
| Aug 5, 2:06 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 84 min |
| Aug 27, 2:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 37 min |
| Aug 27, 11:34 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 116 min |
| Aug 28, 1:01 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 59 min |
| Aug 28, 1:58 AM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 47 min |
| Aug 28, 12:13 PM EDT | Flood Watch | APX | 18 hr |
| Aug 28, 6:23 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Aug 28, 7:10 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 50 min |
| Aug 28, 7:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 34 min |
| Aug 28, 7:32 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | APX | 58 min |
| Aug 28, 7:51 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | APX | 39 min |
| Aug 28, 8:20 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Sep 2, 8:27 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 63 min |
| Sep 21, 4:31 AM EDT | Wind Advisory | APX | 17 hr |
| Oct 3, 10:22 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 113 min |
| Nov 8, 3:57 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 39 hr |
| Nov 12, 9:02 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | APX | 118 min |
| Nov 13, 2:51 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 31 hr |
| Nov 21, 7:55 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | APX | 3 hr |
| Nov 24, 3:49 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | APX | 24 hr |
| Nov 25, 4:08 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 33 hr |
| Nov 27, 3:20 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 6 hr |
| Nov 27, 3:13 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 18 hr |
| Dec 16, 5:39 AM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | APX | 5 hr |
| Dec 20, 11:04 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | APX | 6 hr |
| Dec 21, 4:30 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | APX | 30 min |
| Dec 21, 4:33 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | APX | 12 hr |
| Dec 21, 5:26 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 4 hr |
| Dec 30, 12:42 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | APX | 36 hr |
| Dec 31, 10:23 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | APX | 14 hr |
| Dec 31, 12:50 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 9 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 2 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 8 |
| Special Weather Statement | 11 |
| Flooding | |
| Flood Watch | 1 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 3 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 3 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 16 |
| Heat | |
| Excessive Heat Warning | 1 |
| Heat Advisory | 1 |
| Cold | |
| Freeze Warning | 1 |
| Frost Advisory | 3 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 2 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 3 |
| Fire | |
| Red Flag Warning | 4 |
| Fire Weather Watch | 1 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 1 |
| Freezing Fog Advisory | 1 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.