Alert archive / Michigan / Wind Chill Advisories in 2018
Wind Chill Advisory 2, NWS Gaylord, MI
NWS Gaylord, MI issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 4, 2018, 3:40 PM EST for 18 counties in Michigan. It took effect at Jan 4, 2018, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 41 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 4, 2018, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 4, 2018, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 6, 2018, 12:00 PM EST
- In force
- 41 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Gaylord, MI
Counties Alcona County, MI, Alpena County, MI, Antrim County, MI, Arenac County, MI, Cheboygan County, MI, Crawford County, MI, Emmet County, MI, Gladwin County, MI, Iosco County, MI, Kalkaska County, MI, Missaukee County, MI, Montmorency County, MI, Ogemaw County, MI, Oscoda County, MI, Otsego County, MI, Presque Isle County, MI, Roscommon County, MI, Wexford County, MI
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 33 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Alpena, MI (KAPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 553 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 26 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 74 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
657 WWUS43 KAPX 042040 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 340 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042-050500- /O.NEW.KAPX.WC.W.0001.180105T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 340 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 20 below zero to 35 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ008-015-050500- /O.NEW.KAPX.WC.W.0001.180105T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 340 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 20 below zero to 40 below zero. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ016-017-019-021-022-027-028-032>034-050500- /O.NEW.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.180105T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford- Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Cadillac, Lake City, and Houghton Lake 340 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 25 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to noon EST Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-050500- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T2200Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, and Manistee 340 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Plan on difficult travel conditions due to low visibilities. Where snow showers persist...additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are expected tonight and another 2 to 3 inches on Friday. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. Cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
8 follow-up statements
911 WWUS43 KAPX 050309 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1009 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042-051115- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 1009 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 20 below zero to 35 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ008-015-051115- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1009 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 40 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 20 below zero to 40 below zero. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-051115- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T2200Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, and Manistee 1009 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Plan on difficult travel conditions. Additional snow accumulations of 4 to 7 inches are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 PM EST Friday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. Cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ MIZ016-017-019-021-022-027-028-032>034-051115- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford- Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Cadillac, Lake City, and Houghton Lake 1009 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 25 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST Friday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
009 WWUS43 KAPX 050730 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 230 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042-051700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 230 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 20 below zero to 35 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ008-015-051700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 230 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 20 below zero to 40 below zero. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ032-051700- /O.NEW.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.180105T0730Z-180106T1000Z/ /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Wexford- Including the city of Cadillac 230 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow and significant reductions to visibility to increase later today and into tonight. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including the afternoon commute. Additional snow accumulations will be up to 2 inches today and then again tonight. Very cold wind chills of 15 to 25 below zero this morning. * WHERE...Wexford County. * WHEN...For the WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY, until 5 AM EST Saturday. For the WIND CHILL ADVISORY, until noon EST today. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...These wind chills will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-051700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1000Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, and Manistee 230 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow and significant reductions to visibility continue. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including the morning and afternoon commutes. Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches through today, and then another 2 to 4 inches tonight. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 25 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ MIZ016-017-019-021-022-027-028-033-034-051700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford- Missaukee-Roscommon- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, and Houghton Lake 230 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 15 below zero to 30 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
582 WWUS43 KAPX 051649 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1149 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 MIZ018-023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042-060100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180105T1700Z/ /O.EXB.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Presque Isle-Montmorency-Alpena-Oscoda-Alcona-Ogemaw-Iosco- Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Rogers City, Atlanta, Alpena, Mio, Harrisville, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 1149 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 20 below zero this afternoon and 20 below to 30 below zero tonight. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ MIZ032-060100- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1000Z/ /O.EXT.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Wexford- Including the city of Cadillac 1149 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 5 below to 15 below zero this afternoon and 10 below to 20 below zero tonight. * WHERE...Wexford County. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow showers will move back into the region later this afternoon into tonight with some lighter accumulations expected. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ MIZ008-015-060100- /O.EXT.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1149 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below to 20 below zero this afternoon and 25 below to 35 below zero tonight. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ016-017-019-021-022-027-028-033-034-060100- /O.EXT.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Kalkaska-Crawford- Missaukee-Roscommon- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Kalkaska, Grayling, Lake City, and Houghton Lake 1149 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 20 below zero this afternoon and 20 below zero to 30 below zero tonight. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-060100- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1000Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, and Manistee 1149 AM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute. In addition, periodic low visibilities will persist through tonight. Where snow showers persist, expect snow accumulations of 2 to 3 inches through the day today and another 2 to 3 inches tonight. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause some blowing and drifting snow. Cold wind chills as low as 15 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
169 WWUS43 KAPX 052044 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 344 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 MIZ008-015-061100- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 344 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills tonight range from 20 below zero to 35 below zero. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-061000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1000Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, and Manistee 344 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the evening commute. In addition, expect greatly reduce visibilities at times. Where snow showers persist...additional snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches are expected tonight. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 30 mph will cause areas of blowing and drifting snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-032>036-041-042-061100- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Wexford-Missaukee- Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 344 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills tonight will range from 15 below zero to 30 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
692 WWUS43 KAPX 060232 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 932 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 MIZ008-015-061045- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 932 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 5 below zero to 35 below zero. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ020-025-026-031-061000- /O.CON.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1000Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, Traverse City, and Manistee 932 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Lake effect snow occurring. Plan on slippery road conditions. In addition, some reductions to visibility are expected. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected...with localized higher amounts possible. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie, Grand Traverse and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until 5 AM EST Saturday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 25 mph will cause patchy blowing and drifting snow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-032>036-041-042-061045- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Wexford-Missaukee- Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 932 PM EST Fri Jan 5 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST SATURDAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 30 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST Saturday. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
319 WWUS43 KAPX 060855 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 355 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 MIZ026-061000- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1000Z/ Grand Traverse- Including the city of Traverse City 355 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... The snow has finally started to diminish, while also pressing west of the area. Therefore, the winter weather advisory has been cancelled. $$ MIZ008-015-061700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 355 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 35 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 15 below zero to 35 below zero. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ020-025-031-061700- /O.EXT.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Manistee 355 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Periods of lake effect snow and significantly reduced visibility will continue this morning. Plan on slippery road conditions. Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches are expected. * WHERE...Leelanau, Benzie and Manistee Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Winter Weather Advisory for lake effect snow means lake effect snow is forecast that will make travel difficult in some areas. Use caution when traveling. $$ MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-032>036-041-042-061700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Wexford-Missaukee- Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 355 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Dangerously cold wind chills expected. Dangerously cold wind chills as low as 30 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 10 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 15 below zero to 30 below zero. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
558 WWUS43 KAPX 061556 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1056 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 MIZ020-025-031-061700- /O.CAN.KAPX.WW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Leelanau-Benzie-Manistee- Including the cities of Northport, Frankfort, and Manistee 1056 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... $$ MIZ008-015-061700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1056 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Cold wind chills as low as 25 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 25 below zero through the rest of the morning hours. * WHERE...Chippewa and Mackinac Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Warning means the combination of very cold air and the wind will create dangerously low wind chill values. Frost bite can occur quickly and even hypothermia or death if precautions are not taken. $$ MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-032>036-041-042-061700- /O.CON.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Wexford-Missaukee- Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 1056 AM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... * WHAT...Very cold wind chills expected. Cold wind chills as low as 20 below zero will cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin. Expect wind chills to range from 10 below zero to 20 below zero through the rest of the morning hours. * WHERE...Portions of Northern Lower Michigan. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and gloves. $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
606 WWUS43 KAPX 061701 WSWAPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1201 PM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 MIZ008-015-061815- /O.EXP.KAPX.WC.W.0001.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Chippewa-Mackinac- Including the cities of Sault Ste. Marie and St. Ignace 1201 PM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WIND CHILL WARNING HAS EXPIRED... $$ MIZ016>019-021>024-027>030-032>036-041-042-061815- /O.EXP.KAPX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-180106T1700Z/ Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Antrim-Otsego-Montmorency- Alpena-Kalkaska-Crawford-Oscoda-Alcona-Wexford-Missaukee- Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco-Gladwin-Arenac- Including the cities of Petoskey, Cheboygan, Rogers City, Charlevoix, Mancelona, Gaylord, Atlanta, Alpena, Kalkaska, Grayling, Mio, Harrisville, Cadillac, Lake City, Houghton Lake, West Branch, Tawas City, Gladwin, and Standish 1201 PM EST Sat Jan 6 2018 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... $$ http://www.weather.gov/apx
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Gaylord, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 4, 3:27 PM EST, 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 4, 3:27 PM EST, 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
327 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
.NEAR TERM...(Tonight through Friday)
Issued at 326 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
...Lingering lake snows and very cold temps/wind chills...
High Impact Weather Potential...advisory-warning wind chill
readings tonight through Friday morning. Persistent accumulating
snow in the Grand Traverse Bay region.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...Impressive plunge of cold air
underway with deep troughing stretching from eastern Canada down
through the east coast of the CONUS and negative 22C to negative
26C H8 air skirting the northern Great Lakes region. Afternoon
surface analysis reveals Canadian high pressure across Manitoba/
Ontario and stretching down through the plains...trying to edge
into the western Great Lakes but meeting resistance by lake
aggregate troughing that spans the U.P. into Lake Huron. Mean
low level flow is largely N/NNW with ongoing lake snow showers
still impacting the Grand Traverse Bay region down through
Manistee and...to a lesser extent...areas along the Huron coast
of Presque Isle/Alpena counties.
Very little to slow change in the pattern anticipated over the
next 24 to 36 hours...as large Canadian high pressure gradually
slides down into the Midwest...opposite deep low pressure running
up the east coast. N/NNW flow lake snows will persist with a bit
more clearer skies/sunshine across interior sections.
As far as snow accumulations go..."extreme" over lake instability
will persist of course with lake induced CAPEs running 800-1000
J/kg. Inversion heights are a little on the lower side to start but
should tick upward tonight as upstream short-wave over western
Ontario slips down through the western Great Lakes. That said...
snow accumulations will continue to be tempered by a very cold
atmosphere/unusable DGZ and lowered snow->water ratios.
Per spotter/CoCoRAHS snowfall reports...snow accumulations within
the most persistent snow bands still seem to be running in the
2-3 inches per 12-hour range. Snowfall rates may increase just a
bit tonight with passage of the wave/increased EQLs/beefier lake
convection. Overall...still anticipate sub-warning snow
accumulations around the Grand Traverse Bay area and parts of NE
lower Michigan through Friday...2-4 inches or so every 12-hours.
Bigger impact is the effect VSBY reductions with many areas
(TVC/PZQ/even APN) reporting VSBYs down to 1/2SM at times.
So...plan to continue the advisory through the day Friday with no
changes.
Very cold temperatures/low wind chills is the other high impact
concern. Low temperature forecast remains very tricky as clear/
partly cloudy skies...cold advection and good radiational cooling
conditions will be offset by lingering stronger boundary layer
flow. On the the other hand...stronger flow/wind will lead to
lower wind chills. So anyway you slice it anticipate "apparent
temperatures" to run -20F to -30F for a good part of the
CWA. Tighter gradient/stronger winds anticipated across eastern
upper and NE lower Michigan where I do have a fair amount of
warning criteria wind chills for later tonight through Friday
morning. So...plan is to issue another set of wind chill advisory
headlines (outside of the winter weather advisories already in
affect) and put eastern upper/NE lower Michigan into a warning.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Friday night through Sunday)
Issued at 326 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
High Impact Weather Potential...Another round of snow Sunday.
Pattern Synopsis/Forecast...Coldest air moves away from the region
with 850mb temperatures rising from around -25C Friday night to the
minus single digits by Sunday night. The warmup occurs on the back
side of the surface high, with a southwest flow/isentropic lift
developing Saturday night into Sunday. A surface low moving across
southern Canada will then drag a front across Michigan Sunday night.
Primary Forecast Concerns...Southwest flow Saturday night with
deltaTs nearing 20C means lake effect snow develops over the Lake
Michigan shoreline. Snow will be enhanced and become more
synoptic- like as isentropic lift/overrunning moves in shortly
thereafter and moisture increases rapidly toward Sunday morning.
Best synoptic lift will be well north and south of Michigan, but
between LES and pre- frontal lift should see QPF values of 0.05"
to 0.25" area-wide. This should translate to snowfall
accumulations of 2 to 5 inches of snow along the Lake Michigan
shoreline and into Eastern Upper MI, with lesser amounts east. The
southwest flow will also bring in "warmer" air for Sunday as high
temperatures should reach the 20s for the first time in a while.
&&
.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Thursday)
Issued at 326 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
Big change in the latest thinking for mid-week. While the early
period clippers are still expected to move through the region, they
are now progged to arrive earlier. As a result, the expected
dampening of the height rises trying to build mid-week are less
likely to happen, which will bring a much warmer airmass into the
region than previously expected. This will also serve to diminish
the lake effect potential. With high pressure sliding through the
Ohio Valley, quiet weather and near normal temps could persist
through most of next week. A system moving out of the plains may
arrive late in the week, bringing the next chance for widespread
snow.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 140 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
Lake snow showers will continue through Friday...most persistent
at TVC/MBL/APN where a mix of MVFR and IFR conditions will be
found. Lower snow->water ratios given the very cold airmass will
translate into lowered snow accumulations...but effect VSBY
reductions with smaller flake sizes.
PLN stays out of the clouds/snow showers through midday Friday
with northerly flow.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 326 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018
Gustier N/NW winds will persist across northern Michigan tonight
through Friday...particularly on the Lake Huron side. This will
lead to small craft advisory winds and/or waves through at least
Friday and likely into Saturday for some areas.
&&
.APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...WIND CHILL ADVISORY from 7 PM this evening to noon EST Friday
for MIZ016-017-019-021-022-027-028-032>034.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY until 5 PM EST Friday for MIZ020-025-026-
031.
WIND CHILL WARNING from 7 PM this evening to noon EST Friday for
MIZ008-015-018-023-024-029-030-035-036-041-042.
LH...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Saturday for LHZ347>349.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Saturday for LMZ323-342-
344>346.
LS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY until 5 AM EST Saturday for LSZ321.
&&
NEAR TERM...BA
SHORT TERM...KF
LONG TERM...AM
AVIATION...BA
MARINE...BAHazardous weather outlook, Jan 4, 12:04 PM EST, 3 hours 36 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1204 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 LHZ345>349-LMZ323-341-342-344>346-LSZ321-322-MIZ008-015>036-041- 042-051715- Straits of Mackinac within 5 nm of Mackinac Bridge including Mackinac Island-St Ignace to False Detour Channel- 5NM East of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Light MI including Bois Blanc Island- Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Pt MI Including Thunder Bay National Marine Sanctuary-Sturgeon Pt to Alabaster MI- Grand Traverse Bay south of a line Grand Traverse Light to Norwood MI-Seul Choix Point to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge- Norwood MI to 5NM West of Mackinac Bridge including Little Traverse Bay-Sleeping Bear Point to Grand Traverse Light MI- Point Betsie to Sleeping Bear Point MI- Manistee to Point Betsie MI- Whitefish Bay (U.S. Portion)/Whitefish Point to Point Iroquois MI- St. Marys River Point Iroquois to E. Potagannissing Bay-Chippewa- Mackinac-Emmet-Cheboygan-Presque Isle-Charlevoix-Leelanau-Antrim- Otsego-Montmorency-Alpena-Benzie-Grand Traverse-Kalkaska-Crawford- Oscoda-Alcona-Manistee-Wexford-Missaukee-Roscommon-Ogemaw-Iosco- Gladwin-Arenac- 1204 PM EST Thu Jan 4 2018 This hazardous weather outlook is for northern Lower Michigan... eastern Upper Michigan...and adjacent nearshore waters of Lake Michigan...Lake Huron and Lake Superior. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Accumulating lake effect snow will impact the Grand Traverse region through tonight. Dangerously low wind chills will persist through tonight. Please refer to the latest winter weather headlines for further details. With the persistent cold weather, ice jams are possible on area rivers. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Periods of accumulating lake effect snow and well below zero wind chills will continue across northern Michigan through Saturday morning. Please refer to the latest winter weather headlines for further details. Persistent cold weather could cause ice jam flooding on area rivers. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report snowfall amounts to the National Weather Service. Reports may be made one of three ways: Online: weather.gov/gaylord Facebook: facebook.com/nwsgaylord Twitter: twitter.com/nwsgaylord
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jan 4, 11:09 AM EST, 4 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1109 AM EST THU JAN 4 2018
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0800 AM SNOW 5 S BENZONIA 44.54N 86.11W
01/04/2018 M4.4 INCH BENZIE MI COCORAHS
COCORAHS STATION MI-BZ-1, 5 S BENZONIA. THE
DURATION OF THE SNOW EVENT WAS 24 HOURS.
&&The office that day
Everything else NWS Gaylord, MI issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 3:40 PM EST | Wind Chill Warning | APX | Alcona, Alpena, Arenac, Gladwin, Iosco, Montmorency and 3 more | 44 hr |
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in Michigan, 2018Every wind chill advisory in 2018
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.