Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 519
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 10, 2021, 9:24 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 10, 2021, 9:24 PM CDT (02:24 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 39 counties
Benton County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Madison County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Washington County, AR, Cherokee County, KS, Labette County, KS, Barry County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 9:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Creek, Okfuskee | 24 min |
| Oct 10, 9:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, McIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa | 54 min |
| Oct 10, 10:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 59 min |
| Oct 10, 10:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Okmulgee, Tulsa, Wagoner | 25 min |
| Oct 10, 10:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington | 36 min |
| Oct 10, 10:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner | 56 min |
| Oct 10, 10:21 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Pittsburg | 39 min |
| Oct 10, 10:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Tulsa, Wagoner | 46 min |
| Oct 10, 10:41 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee | 34 min |
| Oct 10, 10:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Wagoner | 32 min |
| Oct 10, 10:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 67 min |
| Oct 10, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Delaware, McIntosh, Mayes, Muskogee, Rogers and 1 more | 64 min |
| Oct 10, 10:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg | 47 min |
| Oct 10, 11:05 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Mayes, Rogers, Wagoner | 40 min |
| Oct 10, 11:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 42 min |
| Oct 10, 11:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa | 50 min |
| Oct 11, 12:07 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee | 38 min |
| Oct 11, 12:09 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Benton | 39 min |
| Oct 11, 12:18 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald | 27 min |
| Oct 11, 12:25 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | McDonald | 35 min |
| Oct 11, 12:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | McDonald, Newton | 47 min |
| Oct 11, 1:16 AM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Newton | 29 min |
| Oct 11, 1:31 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Jasper, Newton | 22 min |
| Oct 11, 1:37 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Pawnee | 33 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2067 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 95 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 192 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
253
WWUS20 KWNS 110222
SEL9
SPC WW 110222
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-110700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 519
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
920 PM CDT Sun Oct 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
northwest Arkansas
southeast Kansas
southwest Missouri
eastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 920 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Squall line with bowing segments and embedded mesovortices
will continue to pose a risk for damaging wind and isolated
tornadoes as it continues through eastern Oklahoma and toward the
Ozarks area tonight.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of Joplin MO to 35
miles west southwest of De Queen AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 517...WW 518...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.
...DialSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 10:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Little River, Polk, Sevier | 59 min |
| Oct 10, 11:07 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Logan, Miller and 6 more | 5 hr |
| Oct 10, 11:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Crawford, Polk, Scott, Sebastian, Sevier and 1 more | 118 min |
| Oct 11, 12:58 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Little River, Logan, Miller and 5 more | 92 min |
| Oct 11, 1:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more | 64 min |
| Oct 10, 7:19 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Allen, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Crawford, Elk and 5 more | 86 min |
| Oct 11, 5:00 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cedar, Christian, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Hickory and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 11, 9:06 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Audrain, Callaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Jefferson, Lincoln and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Oct 10, 8:11 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Johnston, Love and 1 more | 64 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2021Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.