Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 490
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 7, 2021, 3:20 PM EDT for 13 counties in Indiana; 30 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 7, 2021, 3:20 PM EDT (19:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 7, 2021, 10:15 PM EDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 43 counties
Cass County, IN, Elkhart County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, LaGrange County, IN, LaPorte County, IN, Marshall County, IN, Noble County, IN, Pulaski County, IN, Saint Joseph County, IN, Starke County, IN, Steuben County, IN, White County, IN, Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Genesee County, MI, Hillsdale County, MI, Huron County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saginaw County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Van Buren County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 3:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Huron | 66 min |
| Sep 7, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Clinton, Gratiot, Ionia | 64 min |
| Sep 7, 3:30 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Bay, Midland, Saginaw | 75 min |
| Sep 7, 3:53 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Tuscola | 82 min |
| Sep 7, 4:03 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Berrien | 27 min |
| Sep 7, 4:05 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Van Buren | 55 min |
| Sep 7, 4:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Berrien, Cass, Saint Joseph | 48 min |
| Sep 7, 4:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Saginaw | 31 min |
| Sep 7, 4:49 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Allegan, Barry, Kalamazoo | 42 min |
| Sep 7, 5:13 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Barry, Calhoun, Eaton | 47 min |
| Sep 7, 5:24 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Branch, Saint Joseph | 19 min |
| Sep 7, 5:40 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Ingham, Jackson | 50 min |
| Sep 7, 5:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Livingston, Shiawassee | 80 min |
| Sep 7, 6:01 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GRR | Clinton | 29 min |
| Sep 7, 7:36 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Shiawassee | 17 min |
| Sep 7, 7:46 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | IWX | Hillsdale | 29 min |
| Sep 7, 7:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX | Lenawee | 33 min |
| Sep 7, 8:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | DTX | Monroe | 26 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 7.3 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1621 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 150 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 201 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
188
WWUS20 KWNS 071919
SEL0
SPC WW 071919
INZ000-MIZ000-LEZ000-LHZ000-LMZ000-080300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 490
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM EDT Tue Sep 7 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Lake Erie
Lake Huron
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity this
afternoon as they spread eastward across the watch area. Damaging
winds and hail are the main threats, although there is some risk of
a tornado or two as winds aloft strengthen this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest
of Benton Harbor MI to 40 miles north northeast of Mount Clemens MI.
For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 488...WW 489...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...HartSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton, Jasper, Lake, Newton, Porter | 8 hr |
| Sep 7, 2:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | DeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte and 6 more | 117 min |
| Sep 7, 5:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte, Marshall and 5 more | 83 min |
| Sep 7, 6:25 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Cass, Miami, Tippecanoe, Warren and 1 more | 95 min |
| Sep 7, 3:40 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baraga, Gogebic, Houghton, Iron, Ontonagon | 3 hr |
| Sep 7, 8:05 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antrim, Benzie, Cheboygan, Emmet, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska and 1 more | 115 min |
| Sep 7, 10:15 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Antrim, Benzie, Crawford, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Lake and 10 more | 90 min |
| Sep 7, 11:47 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clare, Gladwin, Isabella, Lake, Manistee, Mason and 10 more | 58 min |
| Sep 7, 12:21 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Alcona, Arenac, Bay, Clare, Crawford, Gladwin and 20 more | 6 hr |
| Sep 7, 1:49 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Gratiot, Isabella, Mecosta, Montcalm, Muskegon, Newaygo and 2 more | 86 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.