Alert archive / Illinois / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 489

September 7, 202140 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 7, 2021, 1:12 PM CDT for 40 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Indiana. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 7, 2021, 1:12 PM CDT (18:12 UTC)
Expired
Sep 7, 2021, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Boone County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Cook County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Knox County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McHenry County, IL, McLean County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Will County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN

The radar

The Chicago radar (KLOT), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 1:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake, McHenry55 min
Sep 7, 1:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTDeKalb, Kane, Lee, Ogle67 min
Sep 7, 1:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTCook49 min
Sep 7, 2:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTGrundy, Kendall, LaSalle72 min
Sep 7, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTLake30 min
Sep 7, 2:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatLOTGrundy, Kendall, LaSalle46 min
Sep 7, 2:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTGrundy, Kankakee, Kendall, LaSalle, Will63 min
Sep 7, 3:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTWill26 min
Sep 7, 3:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTCook, Kankakee, Will62 min
Sep 7, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMarshall, Woodford37 min
Sep 7, 3:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatLOTJasper, Porter62 min
Sep 7, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Iroquois, Kankakee, LaSalle, Livingston54 min
Sep 7, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean, Woodford38 min
Sep 7, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean47 min
Sep 7, 4:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMcLean47 min
Sep 7, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTFord, Iroquois, Livingston61 min
Sep 7, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, DeWitt, McLean, Piatt36 min
Sep 7, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTGrundy, Kankakee, Livingston, Will44 min
Sep 7, 6:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign, Vermilion51 min
Sep 7, 7:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLOTIroquois56 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 6.2 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-09-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-09-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 93 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1964 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

139 
WWUS20 KWNS 071808
SEL9  
SPC WW 071808
ILZ000-INZ000-LMZ000-080200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 489
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM CDT Tue Sep 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northern Illinois
  Northwest Indiana
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms currently developing from northern
Illinois into eastern Iowa will spread across the watch area this
afternoon and early evening.  Damaging winds and hail will be
possible with the strongest cells.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 85 miles east of
Marseilles IL to 45 miles west northwest of Peoria IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 488...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26035.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 7, 12:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bureau, Carroll, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage and 9 more65 min
Sep 7, 3:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois, Kankakee, Kendall and 11 more91 min
Sep 7, 5:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Vermilion95 min
Sep 7, 1:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte and 6 more117 min
Sep 7, 2:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCass, Elkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte and 7 more7 hr
Sep 7, 4:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElkhart, Fulton, Kosciusko, LaGrange, LaPorte, Marshall and 5 more83 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Indiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.