Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 22, 2021, 6:05 PM CDT for 49 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 22, 2021, 6:05 PM CDT (23:05 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 23, 2021, 12:56 AM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | San Saba | 28 min |
| Mar 22, 6:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Lampasas, Mills | 57 min |
| Mar 22, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Coryell, Lampasas | 66 min |
| Mar 22, 8:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Coryell, McLennan | 53 min |
| Mar 22, 8:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Burnet, Llano | 58 min |
| Mar 22, 9:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hill, Limestone, McLennan | 62 min |
| Mar 22, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Burnet, Llano, Williamson | 61 min |
| Mar 22, 9:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Llano | 59 min |
| Mar 22, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill, McLennan | 60 min |
| Mar 22, 9:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Ellis, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall | 53 min |
| Mar 22, 9:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Burnet, Williamson | 62 min |
| Mar 22, 10:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Blanco, Comal, Kendall, Kerr | 55 min |
| Mar 22, 10:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Hays, Travis | 64 min |
| Mar 22, 10:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro | 51 min |
| Mar 22, 10:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | EWX | Williamson | 27 min |
| Mar 22, 10:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Fannin, Hopkins, Hunt | 32 min |
| Mar 22, 10:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Bell, Milam | 67 min |
| Mar 22, 10:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Williamson | 41 min |
| Mar 22, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson, Freestone, Henderson, Navarro | 70 min |
| Mar 22, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina | 61 min |
| Mar 22, 11:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Milam, Robertson | 67 min |
| Mar 23, 12:08 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Anderson, Henderson | 52 min |
| Mar 23, 12:35 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall and 1 more | 55 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 820 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 222 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 272 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
548 WWUS20 KWNS 222302 SEL5 SPC WW 222302 TXZ000-230500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 45 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 605 PM CDT Mon Mar 22 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and North Texas * Effective this Monday night from 605 PM until Midnight CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A modest instability and strong shear environment will support isolated strong to severe thunderstorms across central into north-central Texas this evening. Some supercells will be possible particularly across central Texas, while a line of organizing storms may otherwise develop toward the I-35 corridor/north-central Texas including the Metroplex vicinity. Severe hail/wind will be the primary hazards, but a tornado risk cannot be entirely ruled as a low-level jet increases after sunset. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Fort Worth TX to 60 miles southwest of Temple TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 44... AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector 23030. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 12:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 22, 2:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Clay, Cottle and 18 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 22, 2:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho, Crockett and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 22, 4:24 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Cochran, Crosby, Garza, Hale, Hockley and 5 more | 66 min |
| Mar 22, 5:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 41 more | 65 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.