Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 45

March 22, 202149 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 22, 2021, 6:05 PM CDT for 49 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 22, 2021, 6:05 PM CDT (23:05 UTC)
Expired
Mar 23, 2021, 12:56 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSan Saba28 min
Mar 22, 6:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLampasas, Mills57 min
Mar 22, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCoryell, Lampasas66 min
Mar 22, 8:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCoryell, McLennan53 min
Mar 22, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Llano58 min
Mar 22, 9:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill, Limestone, McLennan62 min
Mar 22, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Llano, Williamson61 min
Mar 22, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Llano59 min
Mar 22, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBosque, Hill, McLennan60 min
Mar 22, 9:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Ellis, Hunt, Kaufman, Rockwall53 min
Mar 22, 9:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBurnet, Williamson62 min
Mar 22, 10:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Blanco, Comal, Kendall, Kerr55 min
Mar 22, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBlanco, Burnet, Gillespie, Hays, Travis64 min
Mar 22, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHill, Limestone, McLennan, Navarro51 min
Mar 22, 10:26 PM CDTTornado WarningEWXWilliamson27 min
Mar 22, 10:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Fannin, Hopkins, Hunt32 min
Mar 22, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDBell, Milam67 min
Mar 22, 10:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXWilliamson41 min
Mar 22, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Freestone, Henderson, Navarro70 min
Mar 22, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr, Medina61 min
Mar 22, 11:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMilam, Robertson67 min
Mar 23, 12:08 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDAnderson, Henderson52 min
Mar 23, 12:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Comal, Hays, Kendall and 1 more55 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-03-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-03-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 222 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
820 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
272 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

548 
WWUS20 KWNS 222302
SEL5  
SPC WW 222302
TXZ000-230500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 45
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
605 PM CDT Mon Mar 22 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Central and North Texas

* Effective this Monday night from 605 PM until Midnight CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A modest instability and strong shear environment will
support isolated strong to severe thunderstorms across central into
north-central Texas this evening. Some supercells will be possible
particularly across central Texas, while a line of organizing storms
may otherwise develop toward the I-35 corridor/north-central Texas
including the Metroplex vicinity. Severe hail/wind will be the
primary hazards, but a tornado risk cannot be entirely ruled as a
low-level jet increases after sunset.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Fort
Worth TX to 60 miles southwest of Temple TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 44...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
23030.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 22, 12:01 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Childress, Collingsworth, Cottle and 20 more2 hr
Mar 22, 2:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Clay, Cottle and 18 more4 hr
Mar 22, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Coke, Coleman, Comanche, Concho, Crockett and 14 more2 hr
Mar 22, 4:24 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBailey, Cochran, Crosby, Garza, Hale, Hockley and 5 more66 min
Mar 22, 5:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 41 more65 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.