Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333

July 4, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2021, 2:37 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 4, 2021, 2:37 PM MDT (20:37 UTC)
Expired
Jul 4, 2021, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 55 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 155 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron, Texas91 min
Jul 4, 3:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley, Moore, Oldham, Potter65 min
Jul 4, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Union47 min
Jul 4, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora62 min
Jul 4, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Union36 min
Jul 4, 4:39 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningAMADallam, Hartley3 hr
Jul 4, 4:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam, Hartley, Moore, Sherman91 min
Jul 4, 4:57 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatPUBCuster, Pueblo2 hr
Jul 4, 4:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley46 min
Jul 4, 5:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Otero36 min
Jul 4, 5:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMATexas85 min
Jul 4, 5:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Otero22 min
Jul 4, 5:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Kiowa33 min
Jul 4, 5:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas31 min
Jul 4, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca29 min
Jul 4, 5:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion49 min
Jul 4, 5:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca48 min
Jul 4, 5:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADallam91 min
Jul 4, 6:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley, Oldham84 min
Jul 4, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe45 min
Jul 4, 6:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca42 min
Jul 4, 6:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa41 min
Jul 4, 6:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron89 min
Jul 4, 6:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron, Texas93 min
Jul 4, 6:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Oldham83 min
Jul 4, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay65 min
Jul 4, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBProwers38 min
Jul 4, 7:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca17 min
Jul 4, 7:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion30 min
Jul 4, 7:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas21 min
Jul 4, 7:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay, Roosevelt61 min
Jul 4, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBProwers30 min
Jul 4, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACimarron50 min
Jul 4, 8:00 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley, Moore, Sherman60 min
Jul 4, 8:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers37 min
Jul 4, 8:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca51 min
Jul 4, 8:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Prowers25 min
Jul 4, 8:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers35 min
Jul 4, 8:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQQuay, San Miguel55 min
Jul 4, 8:36 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBProwers2 hr
Jul 4, 8:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca33 min
Jul 4, 8:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Bent, Prowers31 min
Jul 4, 8:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves, Curry, De Baca, Quay, Roosevelt54 min
Jul 4, 9:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca, Las Animas35 min
Jul 4, 9:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves, Curry, De Baca, Roosevelt25 min
Jul 4, 9:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Prowers38 min
Jul 4, 9:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHartley, Oldham65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 997 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
997 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
825 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

077 
WWUS20 KWNS 042035
SEL3  
SPC WW 042035
COZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-050400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 333
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southeast Colorado
  Northeast/east-central New Mexico
  Oklahoma Panhandle
  Texas Panhandle and South Plains

* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe thunderstorm
development are expected late this afternoon through early evening,
initially including southeast Colorado/northeast New Mexico into the
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. Large hail will initially be the primary
hazard. By evening, multiple clusters/bands of storms should develop
and generally move southward with an increasing potential for
damaging winds.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of La
Junta CO to 50 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
35020.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 4, 1:36 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHuerfano, Las Animas114 min
Jul 4, 3:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne7 hr
Jul 4, 2:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray, Haskell and 13 more89 min
Jul 4, 5:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGrant, Greeley, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny, Logan and 8 more94 min
Jul 4, 5:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCurry91 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.