Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 4, 2021, 2:37 PM MDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2021, 2:37 PM MDT (20:37 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2021, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 55 counties
Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Colfax County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Mora County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Beaver County, OK, Cimarron County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dallam County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 155 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 3:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Cimarron, Texas | 91 min |
| Jul 4, 3:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hartley, Moore, Oldham, Potter | 65 min |
| Jul 4, 3:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Harding, Union | 47 min |
| Jul 4, 3:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Mora | 62 min |
| Jul 4, 4:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Harding, Union | 36 min |
| Jul 4, 4:39 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Dallam, Hartley | 3 hr |
| Jul 4, 4:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Dallam, Hartley, Moore, Sherman | 91 min |
| Jul 4, 4:57 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Custer, Pueblo | 2 hr |
| Jul 4, 4:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley | 46 min |
| Jul 4, 5:11 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Otero | 36 min |
| Jul 4, 5:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Texas | 85 min |
| Jul 4, 5:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Otero | 22 min |
| Jul 4, 5:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Kiowa | 33 min |
| Jul 4, 5:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Huerfano, Las Animas | 31 min |
| Jul 4, 5:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 29 min |
| Jul 4, 5:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Union | 49 min |
| Jul 4, 5:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 48 min |
| Jul 4, 5:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Dallam | 91 min |
| Jul 4, 6:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hartley, Oldham | 84 min |
| Jul 4, 6:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | De Baca, Guadalupe | 45 min |
| Jul 4, 6:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 42 min |
| Jul 4, 6:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa | 41 min |
| Jul 4, 6:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Cimarron | 89 min |
| Jul 4, 6:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Cimarron, Texas | 93 min |
| Jul 4, 6:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Deaf Smith, Oldham | 83 min |
| Jul 4, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Curry, Quay | 65 min |
| Jul 4, 7:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Prowers | 38 min |
| Jul 4, 7:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 17 min |
| Jul 4, 7:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Union | 30 min |
| Jul 4, 7:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Las Animas | 21 min |
| Jul 4, 7:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Curry, Quay, Roosevelt | 61 min |
| Jul 4, 8:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Prowers | 30 min |
| Jul 4, 8:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Cimarron | 50 min |
| Jul 4, 8:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hartley, Moore, Sherman | 60 min |
| Jul 4, 8:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa, Prowers | 37 min |
| Jul 4, 8:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 51 min |
| Jul 4, 8:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Bent, Prowers | 25 min |
| Jul 4, 8:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa, Prowers | 35 min |
| Jul 4, 8:35 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Quay, San Miguel | 55 min |
| Jul 4, 8:36 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Prowers | 2 hr |
| Jul 4, 8:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 33 min |
| Jul 4, 8:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Bent, Prowers | 31 min |
| Jul 4, 8:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Curry, De Baca, Quay, Roosevelt | 54 min |
| Jul 4, 9:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Las Animas | 35 min |
| Jul 4, 9:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Curry, De Baca, Roosevelt | 25 min |
| Jul 4, 9:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Bent, Prowers | 38 min |
| Jul 4, 9:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hartley, Oldham | 65 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 997 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -55 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 825 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 133 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 3.3
The text
As transmitted.
077
WWUS20 KWNS 042035
SEL3
SPC WW 042035
COZ000-NMZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-050400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 333
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
335 PM CDT Sun Jul 4 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Colorado
Northeast/east-central New Mexico
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 335 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of strong to severe thunderstorm
development are expected late this afternoon through early evening,
initially including southeast Colorado/northeast New Mexico into the
Texas/Oklahoma Panhandles. Large hail will initially be the primary
hazard. By evening, multiple clusters/bands of storms should develop
and generally move southward with an increasing potential for
damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 110
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles northwest of La
Junta CO to 50 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
35020.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 1:36 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Huerfano, Las Animas | 114 min |
| Jul 4, 3:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Cheyenne | 7 hr |
| Jul 4, 2:16 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Finney, Ford, Gove, Grant, Gray, Haskell and 13 more | 89 min |
| Jul 4, 5:56 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Grant, Greeley, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny, Logan and 8 more | 94 min |
| Jul 4, 5:29 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Curry | 91 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.