Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250

June 9, 20217 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 9, 2021, 6:42 PM MDT for 7 counties in Montana. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2021, 6:42 PM MDT (00:42 UTC)
Expired
Jun 10, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Blaine County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Hill County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 174 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine35 min
Jun 9, 6:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips64 min
Jun 9, 7:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips54 min
Jun 9, 7:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Fergus37 min
Jun 9, 8:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Judith Basin32 min
Jun 9, 8:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Fergus33 min
Jun 9, 8:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley61 min
Jun 9, 9:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Hill26 min
Jun 9, 9:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Fergus21 min
Jun 9, 9:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine45 min
Jun 9, 9:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPetroleum, Phillips58 min
Jun 9, 9:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine40 min
Jun 9, 10:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPetroleum, Phillips65 min
Jun 9, 10:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips67 min
Jun 9, 10:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine42 min
Jun 9, 11:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 00:00Z on 2021-06-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 22 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 00:00Z on 2021-06-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
22 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-195 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1287 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
71 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
408 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

166 
WWUS20 KWNS 100039
SEL0  
SPC WW 100039
MTZ000-100600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 250
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 PM MDT Wed Jun 9 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  central Montana

* Effective this Wednesday night from 640 PM until Midnight MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
  Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Isolated storms including supercells will pose a risk for
mainly large to very large hail and downburst winds this evening. A
brief tornado or two also cannot be ruled out.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of
Havre MT to 20 miles southwest of Lewistown MT. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.

...Dial

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 8:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more86 min
Jun 9, 10:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Fergus, Petroleum, Phillips84 min
Jun 10, 1:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Fergus, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips and 4 more88 min
Jun 10, 1:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley, Wibaux94 min
Jun 10, 2:30 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCDaniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux6 hr
Jun 10, 2:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter114 min
Jun 10, 2:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Custer, Dawson, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley and 7 more6 hr
Jun 10, 4:36 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux114 min
Jun 10, 4:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarfield, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips, Treasure and 2 more87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.