Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 250
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 9, 2021, 6:42 PM MDT for 7 counties in Montana. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 9, 2021, 6:42 PM MDT (00:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 10, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Blaine County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Hill County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 174 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 35 min |
| Jun 9, 6:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips | 64 min |
| Jun 9, 7:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips | 54 min |
| Jun 9, 7:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Fergus | 37 min |
| Jun 9, 8:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Judith Basin | 32 min |
| Jun 9, 8:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine, Fergus | 33 min |
| Jun 9, 8:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 61 min |
| Jun 9, 9:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Hill | 26 min |
| Jun 9, 9:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine, Fergus | 21 min |
| Jun 9, 9:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 45 min |
| Jun 9, 9:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Petroleum, Phillips | 58 min |
| Jun 9, 9:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 40 min |
| Jun 9, 10:25 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Petroleum, Phillips | 65 min |
| Jun 9, 10:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips | 67 min |
| Jun 9, 10:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine | 42 min |
| Jun 9, 11:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -195 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1287 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 408 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted.
166 WWUS20 KWNS 100039 SEL0 SPC WW 100039 MTZ000-100600- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 250 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 640 PM MDT Wed Jun 9 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of central Montana * Effective this Wednesday night from 640 PM until Midnight MDT. * Primary threats include... Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Isolated storms including supercells will pose a risk for mainly large to very large hail and downburst winds this evening. A brief tornado or two also cannot be ruled out. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of Havre MT to 20 miles southwest of Lewistown MT. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 24035. ...Dial
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 8:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more | 86 min |
| Jun 9, 10:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Fergus, Petroleum, Phillips | 84 min |
| Jun 10, 1:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Fergus, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips and 4 more | 88 min |
| Jun 10, 1:56 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Daniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley, Wibaux | 94 min |
| Jun 10, 2:30 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Daniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux | 6 hr |
| Jun 10, 2:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter | 114 min |
| Jun 10, 2:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Dawson, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley and 7 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 10, 4:36 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux | 114 min |
| Jun 10, 4:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Garfield, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips, Treasure and 2 more | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.