Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2021
Tornado Watch 251
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 10, 2021, 2:30 PM MDT for 5 counties in Montana; 13 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 10, 2021, 2:30 PM MDT (20:30 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 10, 2021, 8:55 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 4 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Daniels County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Williams County, ND
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 173 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 80%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland | 16 min |
| Jun 10, 3:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan | 61 min |
| Jun 10, 3:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan | 59 min |
| Jun 10, 3:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Richland | 34 min |
| Jun 10, 3:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 54 min |
| Jun 10, 4:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Richland, Roosevelt | 33 min |
| Jun 10, 4:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Sheridan | 67 min |
| Jun 10, 4:38 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux | 45 min |
| Jun 10, 4:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McKenzie, Williams | 60 min |
| Jun 10, 4:55 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 20 min |
| Jun 10, 5:06 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 24 min |
| Jun 10, 5:16 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 29 min |
| Jun 10, 5:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 30 min |
| Jun 10, 5:35 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 25 min |
| Jun 10, 5:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 61 min |
| Jun 10, 5:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 25 min |
| Jun 10, 6:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McKenzie, Williams | 65 min |
| Jun 10, 6:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Golden Valley, McKenzie | 58 min |
| Jun 10, 6:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 65 min |
| Jun 10, 6:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke, Divide, Williams | 43 min |
| Jun 10, 6:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 26 min |
| Jun 10, 7:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 33 min |
| Jun 10, 7:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 53 min |
| Jun 10, 7:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke, Divide, Mountrail, Williams | 52 min |
| Jun 10, 7:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 40 min |
| Jun 10, 7:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McKenzie, Williams | 45 min |
| Jun 10, 7:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 26 min |
| Jun 10, 8:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley | 32 min |
| Jun 10, 8:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Richland | 67 min |
| Jun 10, 8:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Divide, McKenzie, Williams | 62 min |
| Jun 10, 8:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 33 min |
| Jun 10, 8:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Williams | 26 min |
| Jun 10, 8:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Burke, Mountrail | 52 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 929 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -480 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 774 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 651 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 663 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted.
508
WWUS20 KWNS 102026
SEL1
SPC WW 102026
MTZ000-NDZ000-110300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Montana
Western North Dakota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
900 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms including supercells will likely
rapid develop through mid/late afternoon from east-central/northeast
Montana into western South Dakota. Of greatest concern as far as
intense supercells and a tornado risk will be those storms occurring
near a west-east warm front across the region, where low-level
moisture/shear will be maximized. A strong tornado is possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles north northwest of Wolf
Point MT to 70 miles east southeast of Williston ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22020.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 6:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Jun 9, 8:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more | 86 min |
| Jun 9, 10:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Fergus, Petroleum, Phillips | 84 min |
| Jun 10, 1:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Fergus, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips and 4 more | 88 min |
| Jun 10, 1:56 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Daniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley, Wibaux | 94 min |
| Jun 10, 2:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter | 114 min |
| Jun 10, 2:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Dawson, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley and 7 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 10, 4:36 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux | 114 min |
| Jun 10, 4:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Garfield, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips, Treasure and 2 more | 87 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2021Tornado Watches in Montana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.