Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2021

Tornado Watch 251

June 10, 20215 counties in Montana; 13 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 10, 2021, 2:30 PM MDT for 5 counties in Montana; 13 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2021, 2:30 PM MDT (20:30 UTC)
Expired
Jun 10, 2021, 8:55 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
4 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Daniels County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burke County, ND, Divide County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 173 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
80%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

33 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 2:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland16 min
Jun 10, 3:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan61 min
Jun 10, 3:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan59 min
Jun 10, 3:41 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWRichland34 min
Jun 10, 3:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie54 min
Jun 10, 4:12 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWRichland, Roosevelt33 min
Jun 10, 4:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWSheridan67 min
Jun 10, 4:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWRichland, Roosevelt, Wibaux45 min
Jun 10, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie, Williams60 min
Jun 10, 4:55 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie20 min
Jun 10, 5:06 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedBISMcKenzie24 min
Jun 10, 5:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie29 min
Jun 10, 5:30 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie30 min
Jun 10, 5:35 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatBISMcKenzie25 min
Jun 10, 5:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Wibaux61 min
Jun 10, 5:54 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie25 min
Jun 10, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie, Williams65 min
Jun 10, 6:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGolden Valley, McKenzie58 min
Jun 10, 6:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Wibaux65 min
Jun 10, 6:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurke, Divide, Williams43 min
Jun 10, 6:49 PM MDTTornado WarningBISMcKenzie26 min
Jun 10, 7:12 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatBISMcKenzie33 min
Jun 10, 7:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Valley53 min
Jun 10, 7:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurke, Divide, Mountrail, Williams52 min
Jun 10, 7:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Wibaux40 min
Jun 10, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie, Williams45 min
Jun 10, 7:52 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Valley26 min
Jun 10, 8:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley32 min
Jun 10, 8:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland67 min
Jun 10, 8:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISDivide, McKenzie, Williams62 min
Jun 10, 8:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Valley33 min
Jun 10, 8:49 PM MDTTornado WarningBISWilliams26 min
Jun 10, 8:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurke, Mountrail52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 929 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 651 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
929 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-480 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
774 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
651 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
663 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

508 
WWUS20 KWNS 102026
SEL1  
SPC WW 102026
MTZ000-NDZ000-110300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northeast Montana
  Western North Dakota

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 225 PM until
  900 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 4
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely

SUMMARY...Intense thunderstorms including supercells will likely
rapid develop through mid/late afternoon from east-central/northeast
Montana into western South Dakota. Of greatest concern as far as
intense supercells and a tornado risk will be those storms occurring
near a west-east warm front across the region, where low-level
moisture/shear will be maximized. A strong tornado is possible.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 10 miles north northwest of Wolf
Point MT to 70 miles east southeast of Williston ND. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 4 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22020.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 6:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more5 hr
Jun 9, 8:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more86 min
Jun 9, 10:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Fergus, Petroleum, Phillips84 min
Jun 10, 1:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Fergus, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips and 4 more88 min
Jun 10, 1:56 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDaniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley, Wibaux94 min
Jun 10, 2:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter114 min
Jun 10, 2:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBlaine, Custer, Dawson, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley and 7 more6 hr
Jun 10, 4:36 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux114 min
Jun 10, 4:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarfield, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips, Treasure and 2 more87 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2021Tornado Watches in Montana, 2021Every tornado watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.