Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 252
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 10, 2021, 2:52 PM MDT for 13 counties in Montana. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 10, 2021, 2:52 PM MDT (20:52 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 10, 2021, 8:55 PM MDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Blaine County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, McCone County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Valley County, MT
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 40%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 3:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 52 min |
| Jun 10, 3:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan | 61 min |
| Jun 10, 3:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Petroleum | 63 min |
| Jun 10, 3:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Yellowstone | 43 min |
| Jun 10, 3:53 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Musselshell | 3 hr |
| Jun 10, 4:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Petroleum | 55 min |
| Jun 10, 4:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell | 61 min |
| Jun 10, 5:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Rosebud | 47 min |
| Jun 10, 5:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 61 min |
| Jun 10, 5:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield | 66 min |
| Jun 10, 6:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 65 min |
| Jun 10, 7:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Rosebud | 42 min |
| Jun 10, 7:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 53 min |
| Jun 10, 7:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie | 60 min |
| Jun 10, 7:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 40 min |
| Jun 10, 7:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 26 min |
| Jun 10, 8:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley | 32 min |
| Jun 10, 8:23 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Richland | 67 min |
| Jun 10, 8:37 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Roosevelt, Valley | 33 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 929 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -480 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 774 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 61 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 651 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 663 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
The text
As transmitted.
179
WWUS20 KWNS 102049
SEL2
SPC WW 102049
MTZ000-110400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 252
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
250 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
East-Central/Northeast Montana
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 250 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms including some supercells
are expected to develop initially across east-central Montana and
quickly move north-northeastward through evening. Large hail and
severe-caliber wind gusts are the primary hazards, although a
tornado could also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles east northeast
of Havre MT to 55 miles west southwest of Miles City MT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 251...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...GuyerSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 6:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more | 5 hr |
| Jun 9, 8:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Chouteau, Fergus, Hill, Judith Basin, Petroleum and 1 more | 86 min |
| Jun 9, 10:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Fergus, Petroleum, Phillips | 84 min |
| Jun 10, 1:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Fergus, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips and 4 more | 88 min |
| Jun 10, 1:56 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Daniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Valley, Wibaux | 94 min |
| Jun 10, 2:30 PM MDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Daniels, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux | 6 hr |
| Jun 10, 2:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter | 114 min |
| Jun 10, 4:36 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fallon, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Wibaux | 114 min |
| Jun 10, 4:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Garfield, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Petroleum, Phillips, Treasure and 2 more | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.