Alert archive / Montana / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 2, NWS Billings, MT

June 10, 2021Musselshell County, Montana

NWS Billings, MT issued this flash flood warning at Jun 10, 2021, 3:53 PM MDT for Musselshell County, Montana. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 10, 2021, 3:53 PM MDT (21:53 UTC)
Expired
Jun 10, 2021, 7:00 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Billings, MT
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Musselshell County, MT

The radar

The Billings radar (KBLX), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2021-06-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 166 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1207 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
685 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

308 
WGUS55 KBYZ 102153
FFWBYZ
MTC065-110100-
/O.NEW.KBYZ.FF.W.0002.210610T2153Z-210611T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Billings MT
353 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

The National Weather Service in Billings has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The BobCat Burn Area in...
  Central Musselshell County in central Montana...

* Until 700 PM MDT.

* At 353 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the BobCat Burn Area. Up to 0.5 inches of rain 
  have fallen. The expected rainfall rate is 1 to 2 inches in 2 
  hours. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow 
moving through the Halfbreed Creek, East Parrot Creek, Parrot Creek, 
West Parrot Creek, Musselshell River, Cow Gulch, Railroad Creek, 
Fattig Creek, and Rehder Coulee.

Roads impacted include Highway 87, Beard Road, West Parrot Creek 
Road, East Parrot Creek Road, Fattig Creek Road, Rehder Road. The 
debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose 
materials.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms in and around
           the BobCat Burn Area.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flooding of areas in and downstream of the BobCat Burn
           Area.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Klein.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Remain alert for flooding of creeks, streams, and normally dry 
coulees even in areas not receiving rainfall downstream of the burn 
area. These can become raging killer currents in a matter of minutes 
even from distant rainfall upstream.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency officials and 
request they pass the information to the National Weather Service in 
Billings.

&&

LAT...LON 4627 10839 4626 10844 4631 10849 4635 10850
      4638 10855 4643 10857 4643 10855 4644 10851
      4646 10846 4647 10835 4650 10828 4651 10824
      4649 10823 4641 10823 4635 10826 4631 10825
      4627 10829 4627 10831 4627 10833 4626 10833

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...1-2 INCHES IN 2 HOURS

$$

Vertz
2 follow-up statements
193 
WGUS75 KBYZ 102339
FFSBYZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Billings MT
539 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

MTC065-110100-
/O.CON.KBYZ.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210611T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Musselshell MT-
539 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE BOBCAT BURN AREA REMAINS IN EFFECT 
UNTIL 7 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR CENTRAL MUSSELSHELL COUNTY...

At 539 PM MDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing heavy 
rain over the BobCat Burn Area. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of rain 
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are 
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
to begin shortly.

Excessive rainfall over the burn scar will result in debris flow 
moving through the Halfbreed Creek, East Parrot Creek, Parrot Creek, 
West Parrot Creek, Musselshell River, Cow Gulch, Railroad Creek, 
Fattig Creek, and Rehder Coulee.

Roads impacted include Highway 87, Beard Road, West Parrot Creek 
Road, East Parrot Creek Road, Fattig Creek Road, Rehder Road. The 
debris flow can consist of rock, mud, vegetation and other loose 
materials.

HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms in and around the
         BobCat Burn Area.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Flooding of areas in and downstream of the BobCat Burn
         Area.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Klein.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Remain alert for flooding of creeks, streams, and normally dry 
coulees even in areas not receiving rainfall downstream of the burn 
area. These can become raging killer currents in a matter of minutes 
even from distant rainfall upstream.

Please report observed flooding to local emergency officials and 
request they pass the information to the National Weather Service in 
Billings.

&&

LAT...LON 4627 10839 4626 10844 4631 10849 4635 10850
      4638 10855 4643 10857 4643 10855 4644 10851
      4646 10846 4647 10835 4650 10828 4651 10824
      4649 10823 4641 10823 4635 10826 4631 10825
      4627 10829 4627 10831 4627 10833 4626 10833

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
EXPECTED RAINFALL...0.5 INCHES IN 1 HOUR

$$

Vertz
898 
WGUS75 KBYZ 110106
FFSBYZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Billings MT
706 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

MTC065-110116-
/O.EXP.KBYZ.FF.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210611T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Musselshell MT-
706 PM MDT Thu Jun 10 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE BOBCAT BURN AREA HAS EXPIRED FOR 
CENTRAL MUSSELSHELL COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat, though light rain showers may still occur over the next 
couple hours. Please continue to heed any remaining road closures.

LAT...LON 4627 10839 4626 10844 4631 10849 4635 10850
      4638 10855 4643 10857 4643 10855 4644 10851
      4646 10846 4647 10835 4650 10828 4651 10824
      4649 10823 4641 10823 4635 10826 4631 10825
      4627 10829 4627 10831 4627 10833 4626 10833

$$

Vertz

The office that day

Everything else NWS Billings, MT issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 10, 2:53 AM MDTHigh Wind WarningBYZBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Rosebud and 1 more23 hr
Jun 10, 3:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell, Yellowstone43 min
Jun 10, 4:26 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZSweet Grass109 min
Jun 10, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell61 min
Jun 10, 5:19 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZYellowstone11 min
Jun 10, 5:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell, Rosebud47 min
Jun 10, 5:30 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZYellowstone30 min
Jun 10, 5:57 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZYellowstone48 min
Jun 10, 5:58 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementBYZTreasure47 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Montana, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.