Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 242

June 7, 202127 counties in Arkansas; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 7, 2021, 12:32 PM CDT for 27 counties in Arkansas; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 7, 2021, 12:32 PM CDT (17:32 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 75 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 12:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Gregg, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Smith, Upshur and 1 more53 min
Jun 7, 1:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Pike44 min
Jun 7, 2:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Montgomery, Pike47 min
Jun 7, 2:32 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring43 min
Jun 7, 2:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Pike38 min
Jun 7, 2:49 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike41 min
Jun 7, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring50 min
Jun 7, 3:13 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring35 min
Jun 7, 3:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Webster47 min
Jun 7, 3:20 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Dallas, Ouachita28 min
Jun 7, 3:25 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring35 min
Jun 7, 3:27 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Dallas29 min
Jun 7, 3:43 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Ouachita32 min
Jun 7, 3:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring9 min
Jun 7, 3:57 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring30 min
Jun 7, 4:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Claiborne, Jackson, Lincoln, Union, Webster44 min
Jun 7, 4:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVUnion37 min
Jun 7, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Ouachita45 min
Jun 7, 4:15 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Ouachita30 min
Jun 7, 4:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring3 hr
Jun 7, 4:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion54 min
Jun 7, 4:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita40 min
Jun 7, 4:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion60 min
Jun 7, 4:47 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring3 hr
Jun 7, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline49 min
Jun 7, 5:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKCalhoun, Cleveland, Dallas8 min
Jun 7, 5:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Drew, Grant and 2 more41 min
Jun 7, 5:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Desha, Drew, Lincoln50 min
Jun 7, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Cleveland, Drew, Grant, Jefferson, Lincoln and 3 more36 min
Jun 7, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke, Monroe and 1 more53 min
Jun 7, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2401 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2401 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
563 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
2.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

018 
WWUS20 KWNS 071728
SEL2  
SPC WW 071728
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-080000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 242
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southern Arkansas
  Western and Northern Louisiana
  East and Northeast Texas

* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster of storms across east/northeast
Texas seems likely to intensify into a moist and increasingly
unstable air mass from east/northeast Texas into Louisiana, while
additional storms are expected to develop across the ArkLaTex region
and southern Arkansas in vicinity of an effective warm front.
Damaging winds are the primary concern, but a tornado and/or severe
hail risk may also exist.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest
of El Dorado AR to 20 miles southeast of Huntsville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28025.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 7, 2:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 8 more119 min
Jun 7, 3:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Columbia, Lafayette, Union2 hr
Jun 7, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot3 hr
Jun 7, 5:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Dallas and 5 more67 min
Jun 6, 8:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Crosby, Dawson and 14 more116 min
Jun 6, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 22 more6 hr
Jun 6, 11:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBriscoe, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Garza and 8 more88 min
Jun 7, 1:37 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Coleman, Cottle and 20 more83 min
Jun 7, 2:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Cooke, Denton and 17 more7 hr
Jun 7, 4:12 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Haskell and 12 more93 min
Jun 7, 7:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hood, Johnson and 3 more116 min
Jun 7, 9:36 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bosque, Cherokee, Ellis, Falls and 16 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.