Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 242
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 7, 2021, 12:32 PM CDT for 27 counties in Arkansas; 18 parishes in Louisiana; 30 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 7, 2021, 12:32 PM CDT (17:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 7, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 75 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Howard County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Montgomery County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Pike County, AR, Polk County, AR, Saline County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Caldwell Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Grant Parish, LA, Jackson Parish, LA, LaSalle Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Natchitoches Parish, LA, Ouachita Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Sabine Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Winn Parish, LA, Angelina County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Madison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Newton County, TX, Panola County, TX, Polk County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Sabine County, TX, San Augustine County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Walker County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 19 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 10%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 12:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Cherokee, Gregg, Nacogdoches, Rusk, Smith, Upshur and 1 more | 53 min |
| Jun 7, 1:46 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Pike | 44 min |
| Jun 7, 2:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Montgomery, Pike | 47 min |
| Jun 7, 2:32 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 43 min |
| Jun 7, 2:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Pike | 38 min |
| Jun 7, 2:49 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 41 min |
| Jun 7, 3:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 50 min |
| Jun 7, 3:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring | 35 min |
| Jun 7, 3:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, De Soto, Webster | 47 min |
| Jun 7, 3:20 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Dallas, Ouachita | 28 min |
| Jun 7, 3:25 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring | 35 min |
| Jun 7, 3:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas | 29 min |
| Jun 7, 3:43 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Ouachita | 32 min |
| Jun 7, 3:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 9 min |
| Jun 7, 3:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 30 min |
| Jun 7, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Bienville, Claiborne, Jackson, Lincoln, Union, Webster | 44 min |
| Jun 7, 4:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Union | 37 min |
| Jun 7, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Clark, Dallas, Grant, Hot Spring, Ouachita | 45 min |
| Jun 7, 4:15 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Ouachita | 30 min |
| Jun 7, 4:19 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 54 min |
| Jun 7, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Ouachita | 40 min |
| Jun 7, 4:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Union | 60 min |
| Jun 7, 4:47 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hot Spring, Saline | 49 min |
| Jun 7, 5:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LZK | Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas | 8 min |
| Jun 7, 5:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Dallas, Drew, Grant and 2 more | 41 min |
| Jun 7, 5:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Desha, Drew, Lincoln | 50 min |
| Jun 7, 5:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Bradley, Cleveland, Drew, Grant, Jefferson, Lincoln and 3 more | 36 min |
| Jun 7, 6:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Lonoke, Monroe and 1 more | 53 min |
| Jun 7, 6:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 38 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.5 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2401 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 563 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 64 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 2.1
The text
As transmitted.
018 WWUS20 KWNS 071728 SEL2 SPC WW 071728 ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-080000- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 242 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1230 PM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Southern Arkansas Western and Northern Louisiana East and Northeast Texas * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 1230 PM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A well-organized cluster of storms across east/northeast Texas seems likely to intensify into a moist and increasingly unstable air mass from east/northeast Texas into Louisiana, while additional storms are expected to develop across the ArkLaTex region and southern Arkansas in vicinity of an effective warm front. Damaging winds are the primary concern, but a tornado and/or severe hail risk may also exist. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northwest of El Dorado AR to 20 miles southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes. && AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector 28025. ...Guyer
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 8 more | 119 min |
| Jun 7, 3:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Columbia, Lafayette, Union | 2 hr |
| Jun 7, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Ashley, Chicot | 3 hr |
| Jun 7, 5:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland, Dallas and 5 more | 67 min |
| Jun 6, 8:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Crosby, Dawson and 14 more | 116 min |
| Jun 6, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Childress, Collingsworth and 22 more | 6 hr |
| Jun 6, 11:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Briscoe, Cottle, Crosby, Dickens, Floyd, Garza and 8 more | 88 min |
| Jun 7, 1:37 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Childress, Coleman, Cottle and 20 more | 83 min |
| Jun 7, 2:48 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Cooke, Denton and 17 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 7, 4:12 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Haskell and 12 more | 93 min |
| Jun 7, 7:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hood, Johnson and 3 more | 116 min |
| Jun 7, 9:36 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Bosque, Cherokee, Ellis, Falls and 16 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Arkansas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Louisiana, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.