Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 222

May 28, 202122 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 28, 2021, 7:40 PM CDT for 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2021, 7:40 PM CDT (00:40 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 22 counties

Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Terry County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

10 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Castro, Cochran, Hockley, Lamb, Parmer67 min
May 28, 8:10 PM CDTTornado WarningLUBBailey, Parmer35 min
May 28, 8:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Cochran, Hockley, Lamb, Terry, Yoakum66 min
May 28, 9:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGaines60 min
May 28, 9:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin55 min
May 28, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHockley, Lubbock, Lynn24 min
May 28, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Culberson, Loving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler65 min
May 28, 10:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Borden, Dawson, Ector, Gaines, Glasscock and 4 more60 min
May 29, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Martin, Mitchell38 min
May 29, 12:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Mitchell46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 625 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
625 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-119 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1852 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

171 
WWUS20 KWNS 290038
SEL2  
SPC WW 290038
TXZ000-290700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 222
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
740 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  South Plains and northern Permian Basin of Texas

* Effective this Friday night and Saturday morning from 740 PM
  until 200 AM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A complex of thunderstorms is becoming better-organized
over eastern New Mexico at issuance time.  This activity should move
southeastward across the watch area this evening roughly astride a
low-level moist axis, with favorable storm-relative boundary-layer
flow, while offering severe wind and sporadic large hail.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 75 miles west northwest
of Lubbock TX to 45 miles east northeast of Big Spring TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 219...WW 220...WW 221...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31035.

...Edwards

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 7:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Crockett, Ector, Kimble, Reagan, Schleicher and 4 more87 min
May 28, 7:58 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Comal, Gonzales, Guadalupe, Medina and 2 more2 hr
May 28, 9:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Gaines, Hockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry93 min
May 28, 10:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Fort Bend, Goliad, Jackson and 5 more90 min
May 28, 11:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Pecos, Reeves, Upton, Ward, Winkler113 min
May 29, 1:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrockett, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio, Kimble, Kinney and 10 more2 hr
May 29, 10:09 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Cameron, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg, Kenedy, Starr and 1 more96 min
May 29, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCulberson, Hudspeth, Jeff Davis, Loving, Presidio, Reeves114 min
May 29, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallam, Hartley, Moore90 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.