Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 204

May 25, 20215 counties in Oklahoma; 60 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 25, 2021, 4:08 PM CDT for 5 counties in Oklahoma; 60 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 25, 2021, 4:08 PM CDT (21:08 UTC)
Expired
May 25, 2021, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 65 counties

Beckham County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Carson County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terry County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Upton County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

35 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 4:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Pecos57 min
May 25, 4:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCrane, Ector, Midland, Pecos, Upton, Ward56 min
May 25, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Oldham, Potter, Randall60 min
May 25, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Crane, Ector, Martin, Midland, Upton64 min
May 25, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry60 min
May 25, 6:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Oldham, Potter, Randall55 min
May 25, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland56 min
May 25, 6:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Scurry72 min
May 25, 6:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry62 min
May 25, 6:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Oldham, Potter, Randall64 min
May 25, 7:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Mitchell76 min
May 25, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARandall62 min
May 25, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Kent57 min
May 25, 7:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMAFBorden, Scurry3 hr
May 25, 7:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Howard, Mitchell, Scurry76 min
May 25, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKent58 min
May 25, 8:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford, Lipscomb, Ochiltree56 min
May 25, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBDickens, Kent, King, Stonewall61 min
May 25, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford, Hutchinson53 min
May 25, 9:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Dickens, Garza, Kent40 min
May 25, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOchiltree35 min
May 25, 9:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTFisher28 min
May 25, 9:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCoke, Nolan, Runnels, Taylor57 min
May 25, 9:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKent, Stonewall20 min
May 25, 9:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBStonewall36 min
May 25, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKnox49 min
May 25, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Dickens63 min
May 25, 9:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell46 min
May 25, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford, Hutchinson36 min
May 25, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Taylor39 min
May 25, 9:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Taylor46 min
May 25, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTRunnels, Taylor54 min
May 25, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNKnox46 min
May 25, 10:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCallahan, Coleman, Taylor54 min
May 25, 10:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTTaylor2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 81 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2701 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

834 
WWUS20 KWNS 252106
SEL4  
SPC WW 252106
OKZ000-TXZ000-260400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 204
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Western Oklahoma
  West/Northwest Texas

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
  1100 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Multiple corridors of severe thunderstorm development are
expected, most probable near residual outflow and the dryline/front
across west/northwest Texas. While winds through a deep layer are
not overly strong, ample moisture/instability will support some
transient supercells aside from more prevalent multicells. Large
hail will be the primary risk initially. Storms should eventually
cluster and accelerate southeastward across the region this evening
with a large hail/severe wind risk continuing toward the Low Rolling
Plains and west/northwest Texas as well as western Oklahoma.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles northeast of
Borger TX to 45 miles west southwest of San Angelo TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 203...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
31020.

...Guyer

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 25, 12:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, McCurtain, Pushmataha118 min
May 24, 8:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Briscoe, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens, Floyd and 12 more94 min
May 24, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Foard, King, Knox2 hr
May 25, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Pecos, Terrell, Upton, Ward118 min
May 25, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Crosby, Dawson and 15 more94 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2021Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2021Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.