Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 729

May 24, 202118 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 24, 2021, 8:56 PM CDT for 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 24, 2021, 8:56 PM CDT (01:56 UTC)
Expired
May 24, 2021, 10:30 PM CDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Severe thunderstorm watch 201

Counties Borden County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Garza County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Terry County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.9 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-25Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 507 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2021-05-25The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
507 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-48 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2330 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-1.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

677 
ACUS11 KWNS 250156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250156 
TXZ000-250330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0729
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0856 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

Areas affected...west Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201...

Valid 250156Z - 250330Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201
continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind and hail remain possible through
04Z this evening over a portion of west Texas.

DISCUSSION...Storms that developed along the dryline earlier persist
across west TX generally north and west of the Lubbock area and are
moving slowly east. These storms have been poorly organized, but
tendency has been for a gradual upscale growth. Farther south, other
storms that developed in association with an MCV are moving to the
north northwest. These two clusters of storms will likely merge
within the next hour or so, and this may contribute to some
intensification. After the merger, a strengthening low-level jet may
help to maintain a forward-propagating MCS through a portion of the
warm sector before activity begins to weaken toward late evening.

..Dial.. 05/25/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON   34020248 34490187 34600117 34290059 33420052 32370065
            32180141 32440202 33170264 34020248

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 24, 11:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Foard, King, Knox2 hr
May 25, 12:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 25 more118 min
May 25, 2:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Pecos, Terrell, Upton, Ward118 min
May 25, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Carson, Crosby, Dawson and 15 more94 min
May 25, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Callahan, Carson, Castro and 54 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.