Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2021

Mesoscale Discussion 2082

December 29, 20214 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Dec 29, 2021, 10:56 PM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 29, 2021, 10:56 PM CST (04:56 UTC)
Expired
Dec 30, 2021, 1:00 AM CST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Concerning
Tornado watch 571
All 58 counties

Clay County, AL, Randolph County, AL, Banks County, GA, Barrow County, GA, Butts County, GA, Carroll County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Coweta County, GA, DeKalb County, GA, Douglas County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Fulton County, GA, Greene County, GA, Gwinnett County, GA, Hall County, GA, Hart County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Jackson County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Madison County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Pike County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stephens County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Troup County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Cleveland County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Oconee County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 102 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 97 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2021-12-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 251 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2021-12-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 228 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
251 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
228 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

992 
ACUS11 KWNS 300456
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 300456 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-300700-

Mesoscale Discussion 2082
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1056 PM CST Wed Dec 29 2021

Areas affected...east-central Alabama into northern Georgia and the
far western Carolinas

Concerning...Tornado Watch 571...

Valid 300456Z - 300700Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 571 continues.

SUMMARY...Isolated reports of damaging gusts or a brief tornado
remain possible across the watch area as a line of storms pushes
east tonight.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms currently stretches from northwestern
SC across northern GA and into central AL, where a lone supercell
produced a tornado earlier. Northern portions of the outflow are
mainly producing rain showers into western NC, but an uptick in
intensity with this portion of the line cannot be ruled out as it
intercepts lower 60s F dewpoints.

To the southwest, the strongest portion of the line continues to
move across northern GA with relatively laminar outflow currently.
The orientation of this line is becoming more parallel with the
deep-layer shear, which is not particularly favorable for for
forward acceleration. However, shear remains favorable for
supercells, and a brief QLCS tornado remains possible along the
line. The greatest instability will remain farther west into AL,
with MLCAPE over 1000 J/kg, with around 250 m2/s2 effective SRH
still favoring supercells.

..Jewell.. 12/30/2021

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...BMX...

LAT...LON   33078664 33508553 33958450 34478369 35088296 35508247
            35608122 35348094 34908123 34248196 33458300 32948348
            32888425 32938558 32958620 33078664

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 29, 7:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 15 more2 hr
Dec 29, 8:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun, Cherokee, Etowah2 hr
Dec 29, 9:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Chambers, Chilton, Clay, Cleburne, Coosa and 4 more7 hr
Dec 30, 1:15 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Chambers, Chilton, Clay, Coosa, Randolph and 3 more90 min
Dec 30, 4:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Chambers, Chilton, Clay, Coosa, Greene and 10 more2 hr
Dec 30, 10:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bullock, Chambers, Chilton, Coosa, Dallas and 9 more116 min
Dec 30, 1:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Clarke and 13 more7 hr
Dec 30, 2:54 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Crenshaw, Lee, Lowndes, Macon and 3 more2 hr
Dec 30, 1:00 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien and 29 more2 hr
Dec 30, 5:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brantley and 32 more115 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2021Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2021Every mesoscale discussion in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.