Alert archive / Arkansas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Little Rock, AR

April 29, 2021White County, Woodruff County, Arkansas

NWS Little Rock, AR issued this special weather statement at Apr 29, 2021, 3:49 AM CDT for White County, Woodruff County, Arkansas. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 29, 2021, 3:49 AM CDT (08:49 UTC)
Expired
Apr 29, 2021, 4:30 AM CDT
In force
41 min
Issued by
NWS Little Rock, AR

Counties White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 92 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 703 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2021-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
703 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
907 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
341 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
12.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 29, 12:46 AM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 29, 12:46 AM CDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1246 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

.AVIATION...
A cold front in eastern Oklahoma will slowly move through Arkansas
tonight and Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms will continue
through much of the period. Precipitation will taper off in the
afternoon in the northwest and late evening in the southeast. Some
thunderstorms may produce heavy rain. Conditions will deteriorate
to IFR conditions.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 317 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021)
SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Friday

An upper level low has positioned itself just to the NW of the CWA
located in the Central Plains. Paired with a large upper level ridge
to the east has provided a blocking pattern. This will cause this
system to move slowly through the period with heavy rounds of rain
likely. Already in northern parts of the CWA over an inch of rain
has already fallen with much more to come.

It is possible that there will be at least two distinct rounds of
rain. The first round looks to be happening now for the northern half
of the state. After a brief break late Wednesday night into early
Thursday morning, the rain will return, likely associated with the
cold front. Frontal passage looks to be slow as it moves from NW to
SE. Current models indicate the the front could take most of the day
on Thursday to move through the state with showers still around for
SE AR Thursday night.

A slow moving system like this prompts concerns for flash flooding.
But flash flooding will likely be isolated as current rainfall
totals for year-to-date show a deficit for NW AR. In NW AR, an
additional 1-3 inches is possible on top of already fallen rain. For
central and southern AR, the concern for flash flooding is there,
however, rainfall totals will likely be lower due to the absence of
rainfall this morning. Nevertheless, rainfall total could range from
1-2 inches with locally high amounts possible. With that said, flash
flooding is possible across all of the CWA, especially in areas with
poor drainage or already saturated soil.

LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Tuesday Night

Weekend will start with nearly zonal flow. By late in the weekend a
closed low will push off the Gulf and into the Plains providing
opportunities to see widespread showers and thunderstorms in
Arkansas to start the week. GFS slightly more progressive than the
ECMWF which will likely be fine tuned over the coming days. Temps
will be well above normal thanks to the Southerly flow.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Flash Flood Watch until 10 AM CDT this morning FOR Baxter-Boone-
Fulton-Izard-Johnson-Logan-Marion-Newton-Polk-Scott-Searcy-Stone.

&&

Aviation...51
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 28, 3:19 PM CDT, 12 hours 30 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
319 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-291000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
319 PM CDT Wed Apr 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms will move across the area. Two to two and
a half inches of rain is expected in north and west sections.
Isolated cases of flash flooding will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday Through Tuesday

Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected Thursday
through Friday. The latest data suggests the heaviest rainfall will
occur over northern and western Arkansas, with amounts of one to
three inches possible, with locally higher amounts. This includes
locations north and west of Texarkana, Conway, and Jonesboro. If
this much rain materializes, some flash flooding could occur.
Farther southeast, the forecast calls for one to two inches of rain.

While severe weather appears likely in portions of the southern
Plains, severe storms should be spotty mainly north and west of
Little Rock. The main concerns will be strong to damaging winds and
hail.

.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to https://weather.gov/lzk.

233/61

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 29, 2:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
205 AM CDT THU APR 29 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 AM     FLASH FLOOD      YELLVILLE               36.23N  92.69W
04/29/2021                   MARION             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS LOW WATER CROSSINGS ARE FLOODED THROUGHOUT THE
            COUNTY WITH MANY BEING BARRICADED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LZK2100583

67
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 2:08 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
208 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

ARZ007-014>017-024-025-033-290800-
Lawrence AR-White AR-Stone AR-Independence AR-Sharp AR-Izard AR-
Jackson AR-Cleburne AR-
208 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN STONE...
INDEPENDENCE...SOUTHEASTERN IZARD...CENTRAL JACKSON...CLEBURNE...
NORTH CENTRAL WHITE...SOUTHWESTERN LAWRENCE AND SOUTHERN SHARP
COUNTIES UNTIL 300 AM CDT...

At 207 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Sidney to near Cushman to 6 miles west of
Concord to near Higden. Movement was east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Batesville...                     Newport...
Heber Springs...                  Lake Charles State Park...
Cave City...                      Tuckerman...
Diaz...                           Newark...
Greers Ferry...                   Swifton...
Pangburn...                       Cushman...
Portia...                         Mount Pleasant...
Pleasant Plains...                Strawberry...
Lynn...                           Oil Trough...
Concord...                        Jacksonport...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3576 9108 3559 9128 3538 9165 3546 9225
      3552 9225 3564 9203 3582 9183 3610 9177
      3609 9106
TIME...MOT...LOC 0707Z 274DEG 33KT 3604 9172 3581 9176 3564 9196 3551
9218

46
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 2:26 AM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
226 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

ARZ022-031-038-039-041>043-054-290830-
Hot Spring AR-Pope AR-Perry AR-Saline AR-Yell AR-Conway AR-
Garland AR-Montgomery AR-
226 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PERRY...SOUTHWESTERN CONWAY...
GARLAND...NORTHWESTERN SALINE...YELL...NORTHWESTERN HOT SPRING...
EASTERN MONTGOMERY AND SOUTHEASTERN POPE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

At 225 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Danville to 8 miles southeast of Fourche
Valley to 6 miles east of Mount Ida to 7 miles south of Norman.
Movement was east at 40 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Hot Springs...                    Russellville...
Hot Springs Village...            Morrilton...
Danville...                       Perryville...
Mount Ida...                      Dardanelle...
Atkins...                         Pottsville...
Ola...                            Oppelo...
Mountain Pine...                  Norman...
Perry...                          Adona...
Sequoya Park...                   Meyers...
Jessieville...                    Petit Jean River WMA...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central,
western and southwestern Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3457 9361 3485 9349 3520 9348 3527 9275
      3486 9276 3455 9283 3433 9301 3435 9376
TIME...MOT...LOC 0725Z 268DEG 33KT 3512 9343 3486 9341 3458 9353 3435
9368

46
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 2:59 AM CDT, 50 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
259 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

ARZ023-024-031>033-039-290900-
White AR-Perry AR-Van Buren AR-Faulkner AR-Conway AR-Cleburne AR-
259 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PERRY...SOUTHEASTERN
VAN BUREN...SOUTHWESTERN CLEBURNE...FAULKNER...CONWAY AND WEST
CENTRAL WHITE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM CDT...

At 259 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hattieville to near Sequoya Park to near
Adona. Movement was east at 50 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Conway...                         Morrilton...
Perryville...                     Greenbrier...
Vilonia...                        Wooster...
Oppelo...                         Quitman...
Guy...                            Rose Bud...
Damascus...                       Enola...
Twin Groves...                    Menifee...
Perry...                          Adona...
Houston...                        Mount Vernon...
Bethlehem...                      Sequoya Park...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Arkansas.

&&

LAT...LON 3517 9197 3507 9205 3501 9291 3517 9288
      3517 9286 3539 9285 3547 9201
TIME...MOT...LOC 0759Z 268DEG 43KT 3532 9280 3516 9280 3501 9288

46
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 3:05 AM CDT, 44 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
305 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

ARZ008-016-017-025-290830-
Lawrence AR-Independence AR-Randolph AR-Jackson AR-
305 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN INDEPENDENCE...
EASTERN RANDOLPH...NORTHEASTERN JACKSON AND SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE
COUNTIES UNTIL 330 AM CDT...

At 305 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 6 miles southeast of Gatewood to near O'Kean to
near Egypt to near Jacksonport. Movement was east at 45 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Newport...                        Pocahontas...
Walnut Ridge...                   Hoxie...
Tuckerman...                      Diaz...
Reyno...                          College City...
Maynard...                        Grubbs...
Biggers...                        Jacksonport...
O'Kean...                         Minturn...
Attica...                         Campbell Station...
Sedgwick...                       Whiskerville...
Stegall...                        Giles Spur...

&&

LAT...LON 3611 9077 3608 9082 3599 9086 3598 9084
      3595 9087 3588 9087 3588 9103 3557 9104
      3555 9149 3583 9110 3618 9096 3650 9107
      3650 9078 3648 9077 3643 9078 3641 9075
      3628 9075 3629 9081 3615 9081 3615 9075
TIME...MOT...LOC 0805Z 263DEG 41KT 3649 9100 3620 9089 3584 9103 3561
9136

46
Special weather statement, Apr 29, 3:49 AM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
349 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

ARZ025-032>034-046-290930-
White AR-Prairie AR-Faulkner AR-Woodruff AR-Jackson AR-
349 AM CDT Thu Apr 29 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WOODRUFF...NORTHEASTERN
PRAIRIE...SOUTHERN JACKSON...EAST CENTRAL FAULKNER AND WHITE COUNTIES
UNTIL 430 AM CDT...

At 349 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Steprock to near Vilonia. Movement was
east at 50 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Searcy...                         Augusta...
Beebe...                          Vilonia...
Bald Knob...                      Judsonia...
Kensett...                        Higginson...
Patterson...                      Russell...
West Point...                     Tupelo...
Hunter...                         Algoa...
McCrory...                        Crosby...
McFadden...                       Pryor...
Hurricane Lake WMA...             Gravel Hill...

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 800 AM CDT for central
Arkansas.

LAT...LON 3504 9110 3508 9233 3548 9167 3559 9104
      3516 9104
TIME...MOT...LOC 0849Z 255DEG 43KT 3544 9162 3514 9219

55

The office that day

Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 28, 7:24 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJohnson51 min
Apr 28, 9:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott43 min
Apr 28, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan65 min
Apr 28, 10:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Yell29 min
Apr 28, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell46 min
Apr 28, 10:54 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope32 min
Apr 28, 11:26 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Logan, Marion, Newton, Pope and 1 more7 hr
Apr 28, 11:35 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJohnson40 min
Apr 29, 12:22 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPope, Van Buren53 min
Apr 29, 12:54 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Stone, Van Buren51 min
Apr 29, 1:09 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKPolk36 min
Apr 29, 1:15 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren5 hr
Apr 29, 1:19 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPolk43 min
Apr 29, 1:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKScott51 min
Apr 29, 1:59 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell6 hr
Apr 29, 2:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKCleburne, Independence, Lawrence52 min
Apr 29, 2:26 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKGarland, Perry, Yell64 min
Apr 29, 2:59 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKConway, Faulkner61 min
Apr 29, 3:05 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKJackson25 min
Apr 29, 4:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKFulton, Sharp16 hr
Apr 29, 4:28 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLZKWoodruff32 min
Apr 29, 4:33 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp4 hr
Apr 29, 4:35 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, Stone, Van Buren, White4 hr
Apr 29, 6:01 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKGarland, Montgomery, Perry, Pike, Saline4 hr
Apr 29, 6:14 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Boone, Johnson, Logan, Marion, Newton and 4 more6 hr
Apr 29, 7:59 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell6 hr
Apr 29, 8:09 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKLawrence, Randolph34 hr
Apr 29, 8:28 AM CDTAreal Flood WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp6 hr
Apr 29, 9:36 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKVan Buren4 hr
Apr 29, 9:50 AM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryLZKSearcy4 hr
Apr 29, 10:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKPope, Yell28 hr
Apr 29, 10:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKConway, Perry60 hr
Apr 29, 10:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKFaulkner, Perry44 hr
Apr 29, 10:32 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKJefferson, Lincoln47 hr
Apr 29, 11:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Pope3 hr
Apr 29, 1:42 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKIzard, Stone27 hr
Apr 29, 1:42 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKIndependence44 hr
Apr 29, 1:48 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKSearcy9 hr
Apr 29, 2:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson5 days
Apr 29, 2:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKPrairie, White, Woodruff17 days
Apr 29, 2:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLZKPrairie26 days

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Arkansas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.