Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 69

March 28, 202050 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Iowa; 27 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2020, 2:45 PM CDT for 50 counties in Illinois; 44 counties in Iowa; 27 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2020, 2:45 PM CDT (19:45 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2020, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 121 counties

Appanoose County, IA, Benton County, IA, Black Hawk County, IA, Boone County, IA, Buchanan County, IA, Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Davis County, IA, Delaware County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Dubuque County, IA, Greene County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Henry County, IA, Iowa County, IA, Jackson County, IA, Jasper County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Jones County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Linn County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Lucas County, IA, Mahaska County, IA, Marion County, IA, Marshall County, IA, Monroe County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Polk County, IA, Poweshiek County, IA, Scott County, IA, Story County, IA, Tama County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Wapello County, IA, Warren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Wayne County, IA, Webster County, IA, Adams County, IL, Brown County, IL, Bureau County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Coles County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Ford County, IL, Fulton County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Knox County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, Logan County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Marshall County, IL, Mason County, IL, McDonough County, IL, McLean County, IL, Menard County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Peoria County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pike County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Stark County, IL, Tazewell County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Woodford County, IL, Adair County, MO, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Howard County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Linn County, MO, Macon County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Pike County, MO, Putnam County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO, Schuyler County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Sullivan County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
80%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
60%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

27 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 3:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXEdgar19 min
Mar 28, 4:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Franklin, Hamilton, Hancock, Wright31 min
Mar 28, 4:10 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXJasper, Marshall, Story35 min
Mar 28, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXKnox25 min
Mar 28, 4:38 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXMarshall22 min
Mar 28, 4:48 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNWarren42 min
Mar 28, 5:08 PM CDTTornado WarningILXKnox37 min
Mar 28, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCalhoun, Pocahontas, Webster38 min
Mar 28, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry31 min
Mar 28, 5:52 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBureau, Henry38 min
Mar 28, 5:54 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBlack Hawk17 min
Mar 28, 6:02 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXBlack Hawk9 min
Mar 28, 6:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBenton, Buchanan42 min
Mar 28, 6:13 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDVNBenton, Buchanan47 min
Mar 28, 6:33 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenderson, Warren42 min
Mar 28, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNBuchanan, Delaware28 min
Mar 28, 7:14 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNMercer, Warren31 min
Mar 28, 7:20 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNJones, Linn25 min
Mar 28, 7:21 PM CDTTornado WarningILXKnox24 min
Mar 28, 7:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNHenry48 min
Mar 28, 7:33 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenry42 min
Mar 28, 7:49 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNDelaware, Dubuque, Jones26 min
Mar 28, 7:56 PM CDTTornado WarningILXFulton34 min
Mar 28, 8:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNBureau, Henry, Whiteside38 min
Mar 28, 8:20 PM CDTTornado WarningDVNHenry, Whiteside18 min
Mar 28, 8:53 PM CDTTornado WarningLOTLee, Ogle37 min
Mar 28, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningILXPeoria, Tazewell, Woodford28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 73 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -128 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
695 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

692 
WWUS20 KWNS 281943
SEL9  
SPC WW 281943
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-290200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 69
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  parts of central and eastern Iowa
  portions of central and northern Illinois
  northeastern Missouri

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* Primary threats include...
  Several tornadoes and a few intense tornadoes likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter likely
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to gradually increase in both
coverage and intensity over the next few hours, with several intense
supercell storms expected to evolve.  Along with risk for damaging
winds and very large hail, several tornadoes -- including the
potential for a few being significant/long-track -- can be expected.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 110 statute miles
either side of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Cedar Rapids
IA to 70 miles south southeast of Quincy IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...WW 68...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 8:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Lawrence and 10 more88 min
Mar 27, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun87 min
Mar 27, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Effingham, Fayette, Greene and 9 more6 hr
Mar 27, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more89 min
Mar 28, 1:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henry, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside56 min
Mar 28, 10:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Iroquois and 8 more2 hr
Mar 28, 1:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 34 more88 min
Mar 28, 1:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Hancock, Henderson117 min
Mar 28, 3:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 30 more5 hr
Mar 28, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 2 more61 min
Mar 28, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox and 7 more84 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson93 min
Mar 28, 7:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Camden and 27 more85 min
Mar 28, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot5 hr
Mar 28, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot94 min
Mar 28, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2020Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2020Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.