Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 68

March 28, 202048 counties in Arkansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2020, 2:10 PM CDT for 48 counties in Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2020, 2:10 PM CDT (19:10 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2020, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Baxter County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Clay County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Conway County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Faulkner County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Garland County, AR, Grant County, AR, Greene County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Jackson County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Marion County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Perry County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Pope County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Saline County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sharp County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, White County, AR, Woodruff County, AR

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 76 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 3:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Independence, White49 min
Mar 28, 3:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Jackson, Lawrence, Sharp50 min
Mar 28, 3:59 PM CDTTornado WarningLZKJackson, Woodruff46 min
Mar 28, 4:19 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett26 min
Mar 28, 4:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett34 min
Mar 28, 4:47 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett28 min
Mar 28, 4:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay25 min
Mar 28, 5:09 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGCraighead, Greene36 min
Mar 28, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie45 min
Mar 28, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene34 min
Mar 28, 5:27 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene48 min
Mar 28, 5:51 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGClay, Greene28 min
Mar 28, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff21 min
Mar 28, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew, Lincoln46 min
Mar 28, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe38 min
Mar 28, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGMississippi47 min
Mar 28, 6:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGPhillips49 min
Mar 28, 6:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett46 min
Mar 28, 6:56 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGMississippi34 min
Mar 28, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, Phillips48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 172 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 177 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
172 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-331 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
810 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

342 
WWUS20 KWNS 281907
SEL8  
SPC WW 281907
ARZ000-MOZ000-290000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 68
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  central and eastern Arkansas
  the Bootheel of Missouri

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
  700 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to increase gradually in
coverage and intensity over the next few hours across Arkansas, as a
cold front crosses the region.  Risk for damaging winds and hail can
be expected, along with a couple of tornadoes.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Walnut Ridge AR
to 50 miles west southwest of Monticello AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 12:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 42 more2 hr
Mar 28, 1:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Randolph88 min
Mar 28, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland and 34 more94 min
Mar 28, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips, St. Francis61 min
Mar 28, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi and 2 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.