Tornado Warning 16, NWS Memphis, TN

796 
WWUS54 KMEG 282216
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
516 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

ARC031-055-MOC069-282245-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200328T2245Z/
Greene AR-Craighead AR-Dunklin MO-
516 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...NORTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD AND SOUTHWESTERN DUNKLIN
COUNTIES...
        
At 515 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located over Brookland, moving northeast at 35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Paragould, Brookland, Oak Grove Heights, Cardwell, Brighton, Cotton
Belt, Macey, Schug, Bard, Halliday, Bethel, Noxburn, Goobertown and
Buck Donic.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9049 3600 9024 3599 9029 3595 9029
      3586 9053 3594 9064
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 224DEG 32KT 3593 9055 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

SGW

862 
WWUS54 KMEG 282222
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
522 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

ARC031-055-MOC069-282245-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200328T2245Z/
Greene AR-Craighead AR-Dunklin MO-
522 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE...NORTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD AND SOUTHWESTERN DUNKLIN
COUNTIES...
        
At 522 PM CDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was
located near Paragould, moving northeast at 35 mph.

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may 
         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes 
         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes, 
         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction 
         is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Paragould, Oak Grove Heights, Cardwell, Halliday, Brighton, Cotton
Belt, Macey, Schug, Bethel, Bard, Noxburn and Buck Donic.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly
tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move
to a storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile
home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and
protect yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3619 9049 3600 9024 3599 9029 3595 9029
      3589 9046 3597 9058
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 224DEG 32KT 3598 9049 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

SGW

787 
WWUS54 KMEG 282225
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
525 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

ARC031-282235-
/O.CAN.KMEG.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200328T2245Z/
Craighead AR-
525 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The tornadic thunderstorm which prompted the warning moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for eastern
Arkansas...and southeastern Missouri.

LAT...LON 3600 9024 3599 9027 3600 9038 3599 9039
      3597 9039 3596 9056 3597 9058 3619 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 227DEG 37KT 3601 9044 

$$

ARC055-MOC069-282245-
/O.CON.KMEG.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200328T2245Z/
Greene AR-Dunklin MO-
525 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN GREENE AND SOUTHWESTERN DUNKLIN COUNTIES...
        
At 525 PM CDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Paragould, moving
northeast at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without 
         shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage 
         to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur.  Tree damage is 
         likely.

Locations impacted include...
Paragould, Oak Grove Heights, Cardwell, Halliday, Brighton, Cotton
Belt, Bethel, Bard, Noxburn and Buck Donic.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To repeat, a tornado is on the ground. TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a
storm shelter or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy
building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in
a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.

&&

LAT...LON 3600 9024 3599 9027 3600 9038 3599 9039
      3597 9039 3596 9056 3597 9058 3619 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2225Z 227DEG 37KT 3601 9044 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

SGW

341 
WWUS54 KMEG 282237
SVSMEG

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
537 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

ARC055-MOC069-282247-
/O.EXP.KMEG.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-200328T2245Z/
Greene AR-Dunklin MO-
537 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN GREENE AND SOUTHWESTERN
DUNKLIN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM CDT...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore, the warning will be allowed to expire.

A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for eastern
Arkansas...and southeastern Missouri.

Remember, a Tornado Warning still remains in effect for northeast 
Greene County.

LAT...LON 3600 9024 3599 9027 3600 9038 3599 9039
      3597 9039 3596 9056 3597 9058 3619 9049
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 224DEG 32KT 3608 9036 

$$

SGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
337 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

.DISCUSSION...

Latest surface analysis places a 993mb low pressure system over
southwestern Iowa, with a warm front extending eastward through
north central Illinois, and a cold front extending southward
through western Missouri and into Little Rock, Arkansas. Storms
have begun to fire just ahead ahead of the cold front in Central
and eastern Arkansas. So far, storms have remained mainly sub-
severe, as shear is likely overwhelming the thermodynamic
environment. However, the storms are moving into our area, which
is moderately unstable with 1500-2000 J/kg of MLCAPE available on
tap.

A tornado watch has been issued for the majority of Arkansas,
including all of eastern Arkansas until 7PM. The main risk with
these storms appears to be damaging winds and large hail attm,
with a low end tornado threat, as low level helicity is currently
below 100 m2/s2. However, the risk for QLCS-type tornadoes will
likely increase this evening, as the low level jet picks up and
storms organize into quasi linear segments. Ample instability in
the 1500-2500 MLCAPE range combined with 0-6 km shear of 80kts,
and a coincident 100 kt 500mb jet streak, should be enough for a
strong line of storms to maintain through late this evening. The
primary risk still appears to be damaging winds with a secondary
threat of large hail and short-lived isolated tornadoes. The
threat will end after midnight as the front exits northeast
Mississippi. A few trailing post-frontal showers are possible
overnight as the main trough lifts out of the area.

Pacific high pressure will build into the Mid-South for Sunday,
leading to dry and pleasant conditions. Expect high temperatures
mainly in the upper 60s to lower 70s. High pressure will quickly
slide by Monday as another system develops to our southwest. A
quick moving shortwave will eject across the Desert Southwest on
Monday and make its way into the Texas Panhandle late Monday
night. A surface low is expected to develop and track eastward
through northern Louisiana and Central Mississippi during the day
on Tuesday. This will enhance shower and thunderstorm activity
across our area on Monday night and Tuesday. Due to the track of
the low, the severe threat will stay to our south and mainly along
the Gulf Coast. The system will likely be a heavy rainfall
producer for us and that's about it. The surface low is expected
to push southeast of the area by late Tuesday night, with Canadian
high pressure building into the Mid-South from the northwest.
This will lead to a few consecutive days of dry and near normal
temperatures. The next weather maker looks to arrive this weekend
as a cold front moves across the Mississippi Valley.

AC3

&&

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFs/

MVFR CIGs are expected to prevail for most of the day today along
with strengthening southerly winds and gusts up to 25 kts. A line
of showers and thunderstorms is expected to move quickly across
the Mid-South late evening. Showers should move into JBR by 22Z
then progress eastward through the night. Temporary IFR conditions
due to heave rain is likely in association with thunderstorms
along with gusty winds with thunderstorms. Winds will diminish
overnight to less than 10kt, shifting southwest to west. Skies
will likely clear by early morning and persist through Sunday.

SGW

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Memphis TN
220 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-292130-
Alcorn-Benton MS-Benton TN-Calhoun-Carroll-Chester-Chickasaw-Clay-
Coahoma-Craighead-Crittenden-Crockett-Cross-DeSoto-Decatur-
Dunklin-Dyer-Fayette-Gibson-Greene-Hardeman-Hardin-Haywood-
Henderson-Henry-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lake-Lauderdale-Lee AR-Lee MS-
Madison-Marshall-McNairy-Mississippi-Monroe-Obion-Panola-Pemiscot-
Phillips-Poinsett-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Quitman-Shelby-St. Francis-
Tallahatchie-Tate-Tippah-Tipton-Tishomingo-Tunica-Union-Weakley-
Yalobusha-
220 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of East Arkansas...
the Missouri Bootheel...North Mississippi...and West Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight

A tornado watch is in effect until 7PM CDT for all of eastern
Arkansas. Additional convective watches are possible downstream
later tonight.

Severe thunderstorms containing damaging winds, large
hail, and a few tornadoes are possible beginning early this
evening through approximately midnight for the entire Mid-South.
The greatest threat for severe thunderstorms will exist mainly
along and north of the I-40 corridor.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is possible this afternoon and evening.

AC3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
428 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0425 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     SW WALDENBURG           35.56N  90.93W
03/28/2020                   POINSETT           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD SOUTH OF WALDENBURG.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
430 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0428 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 S WEINER              35.59N  90.90W
03/28/2020                   POINSETT           AR   PUBLIC

            FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED SOUTH OF WEINER.

&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Memphis TN
437 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

ARZ009-018-MOZ113-282200-
Greene AR-Clay AR-Dunklin MO-
437 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR...

Northeastern Greene County in eastern Arkansas...
Eastern Clay County in eastern Arkansas...
Northeastern Dunklin County in southeastern Missouri...

At 437 PM CDT...a strong thunderstorm producing penny size hail was
located near Marmaduke, moving northeast at 60 mph.

People in northeastern Greene...eastern Clay and northeastern Dunklin
Counties should monitor this storm closely.

LAT...LON 3663 8996 3645 8996 3639 8997 3611 9040
      3624 9055 3650 9032 3650 9022 3652 9022
      3654 9021 3655 9019 3657 9018 3659 9019
      3661 9016 3661 9017 3662 9015 3663 9015
TIME...MOT...LOC 2137Z 225DEG 51KT 3624 9041

MJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
450 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     CASH                    35.80N  90.93W
03/28/2020                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FUNNEL CLOUD NEAR CASH.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
502 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2020

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0457 PM     TORNADO          JONESBORO               35.82N  90.69W
03/28/2020                   CRAIGHEAD          AR   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE TORNADO ON GROUND GOING THROUGH JONESBORO HIGHWAY
            67 AND DOWNTOWN ON STADIUM BLVD.

&&