Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2020

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 66

March 27, 202015 counties in Illinois; 17 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 27, 2020, 10:16 PM CDT for 15 counties in Illinois; 17 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 27, 2020, 10:16 PM CDT (03:16 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2020, 4:00 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt
All 32 counties

Bond County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Christian County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Sangamon County, IL, Scott County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Cole County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Warren County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

4 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBoone, Callaway, Cole, Osage39 min
Mar 27, 10:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage, Warren41 min
Mar 27, 11:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun40 min
Mar 27, 11:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 237 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2020-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2020-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 371 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
626 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
383 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 8:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Lawrence and 10 more88 min
Mar 27, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun87 min
Mar 27, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more89 min
Mar 28, 1:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henry, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside56 min
Mar 28, 10:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Iroquois and 8 more2 hr
Mar 28, 1:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 34 more88 min
Mar 28, 1:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Hancock, Henderson117 min
Mar 28, 2:45 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 44 more6 hr
Mar 28, 3:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 30 more5 hr
Mar 28, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 2 more61 min
Mar 28, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox and 7 more84 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson93 min
Mar 28, 7:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Camden and 27 more85 min
Mar 28, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot5 hr
Mar 28, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot94 min
Mar 28, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2020Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Illinois, 2020Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.