Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 70

March 28, 202036 counties in Illinois; 26 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 28, 2020, 3:53 PM CDT for 36 counties in Illinois; 26 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2020, 3:53 PM CDT (20:53 UTC)
Expired
Mar 28, 2020, 8:55 PM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
55 kt
All 62 counties

Alexander County, IL, Bond County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, Massac County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Washington County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Madison County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Osage County, MO, Perry County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Wayne County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 28, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHNew Madrid, Stoddard44 min
Mar 28, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Pulaski40 min
Mar 28, 6:01 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPAHNew Madrid29 min
Mar 28, 6:18 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHNew Madrid, Stoddard42 min
Mar 28, 6:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHAlexander, Johnson, Massac, Pulaski, Union50 min
Mar 28, 6:35 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHMississippi, New Madrid, Scott40 min
Mar 28, 6:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac, Pope38 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHMassac33 min
Mar 28, 6:51 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHMississippi24 min
Mar 28, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHardin, Massac, Pope45 min
Mar 28, 7:10 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHHardin, Pope50 min
Mar 28, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGallatin, Hardin42 min
Mar 28, 7:36 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHMassac9 min
Mar 28, 7:42 PM CDTTornado WarningPAHPope18 min
Mar 28, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHMassac27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 251 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 638 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2020-03-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 159 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
638 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-76 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
812 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

398 
WWUS20 KWNS 282050
SEL0  
SPC WW 282050
ILZ000-KYZ000-MOZ000-290300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 70
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  southern Illinois
  western Kentucky
  east-central and southeastern Missouri

* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Strong/severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop
across/spread into WW #70 over the next couple of hours.  Along with
potential for large hail and locally damaging wind gusts, a couple
of tornadoes will also be possible across the mid Mississippi/lower
Ohio Valley area.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 60 miles west southwest of Farmington
MO to 75 miles east northeast of Mount Vernon IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...WW 68...WW 69...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.

...Goss

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 27, 8:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEdwards, Franklin, Hamilton, Jackson, Jefferson, Lawrence and 10 more88 min
Mar 27, 8:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalhoun87 min
Mar 27, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Effingham, Fayette, Greene and 9 more6 hr
Mar 27, 11:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Christian, Fayette, Greene, Jersey and 8 more89 min
Mar 28, 1:34 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Henry, Jo Daviess, Mercer, Rock Island, Whiteside56 min
Mar 28, 10:18 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Christian, DeWitt, Douglas, Ford, Iroquois and 8 more2 hr
Mar 28, 1:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clark, Clay, Clinton, Crawford and 34 more88 min
Mar 28, 1:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Hancock, Henderson117 min
Mar 28, 2:45 PM CDTTornado Watch PDSSPCAdams, Brown, Bureau, Calhoun, Cass, Champaign and 44 more6 hr
Mar 28, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hamilton, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope and 2 more61 min
Mar 28, 5:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson, Henry, Knox and 7 more84 min
Mar 28, 6:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson93 min
Mar 28, 12:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Carroll and 51 more6 hr
Mar 28, 3:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlackford, Boone, Clinton, Delaware, Fayette, Grant and 14 more87 min
Mar 28, 6:34 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCGibson, Pike, Posey, Spencer, Vanderburgh, Warrick7 hr
Mar 28, 6:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Clay, Dearborn, Decatur and 24 more61 min
Mar 28, 7:05 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarry, Barton, Bates, Benton, Boone, Camden and 27 more85 min
Mar 28, 2:10 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDunklin, Pemiscot5 hr
Mar 28, 2:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDunklin, Pemiscot94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2020Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.