Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2020

Tornado Watch 508

November 14, 202026 counties in Arkansas; 57 counties in Missouri; 8 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 14, 2020, 5:14 PM CST for 26 counties in Arkansas; 57 counties in Missouri; 8 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 14, 2020, 5:14 PM CST (23:14 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2020, 1:00 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 91 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Cleburne County, AR, Conway County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Independence County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Pope County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Howell County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Maries County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Osage County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saline County, MO, Shannon County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

59 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 5:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Dade, Jasper, Newton59 min
Nov 14, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa48 min
Nov 14, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Hickory, Polk51 min
Nov 14, 6:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Jasper, Lawrence, Newton, Polk41 min
Nov 14, 6:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Pettis48 min
Nov 14, 6:18 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAOttawa7 min
Nov 14, 6:20 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFNewton25 min
Nov 14, 6:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHickory, Polk8 min
Nov 14, 6:34 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDallas, Polk26 min
Nov 14, 6:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCamden, Dallas, Laclede, Miller, Polk, Webster60 min
Nov 14, 6:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, McDonald, Newton42 min
Nov 14, 6:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDade, Greene, Lawrence41 min
Nov 14, 6:59 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDallas31 min
Nov 14, 7:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXBates, Henry, Johnson, Pettis49 min
Nov 14, 7:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Christian, Greene, Lawrence, Stone50 min
Nov 14, 7:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDallas, Laclede, Maries, Miller, Phelps, Pulaski and 2 more57 min
Nov 14, 7:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton24 min
Nov 14, 7:56 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFMaries, Phelps, Pulaski34 min
Nov 14, 7:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll46 min
Nov 14, 8:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Laclede, Webster, Wright54 min
Nov 14, 8:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Maries, Phelps, Pulaski52 min
Nov 14, 8:17 PM CSTTornado WarningTSACarroll25 min
Nov 14, 8:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Stone, Taney53 min
Nov 14, 8:27 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFStone, Taney20 min
Nov 14, 8:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford, Franklin, Washington52 min
Nov 14, 8:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Phelps, Pulaski, Shannon, Texas67 min
Nov 14, 8:43 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll29 min
Nov 14, 8:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Douglas, Howell, Ozark, Shannon, Taney and 3 more62 min
Nov 14, 8:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon, Texas31 min
Nov 14, 9:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFStone, Taney44 min
Nov 14, 9:19 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Ozark26 min
Nov 14, 9:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXIron, Reynolds, Washington32 min
Nov 14, 9:42 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark18 min
Nov 14, 9:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton41 min
Nov 14, 9:49 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSABenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington41 min
Nov 14, 9:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAFranklin25 min
Nov 14, 9:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas, Howell, Ozark, Shannon, Texas35 min
Nov 14, 9:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah31 min
Nov 14, 10:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy64 min
Nov 14, 10:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACarroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian, Washington49 min
Nov 14, 10:19 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFHowell, Shannon26 min
Nov 14, 10:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFShannon43 min
Nov 14, 10:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton, Marion41 min
Nov 14, 10:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell, Oregon57 min
Nov 14, 10:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Izard, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren46 min
Nov 14, 10:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Izard, Sharp57 min
Nov 14, 10:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian33 min
Nov 14, 10:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone, Johnson, Logan, Marion, Newton, Pope and 1 more32 min
Nov 14, 11:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLogan, Scott, Yell43 min
Nov 14, 11:18 PM CSTTornado WarningSGFOregon15 min
Nov 14, 11:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon18 min
Nov 14, 11:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Newton, Pope, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren33 min
Nov 14, 11:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKConway, Johnson, Logan, Perry, Pope, Scott and 2 more30 min
Nov 14, 11:32 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIzard, Sharp43 min
Nov 14, 11:37 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKIzard, Sharp38 min
Nov 14, 11:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Izard, Searcy, Stone, Van Buren34 min
Nov 15, 12:06 AM CSTTornado WarningLZKLawrence, Randolph, Sharp22 min
Nov 15, 12:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKIndependence, Izard, Lawrence, Sharp50 min
Nov 15, 12:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLawrence, Randolph31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2020-11-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2020-11-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 556 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
937 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
556 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
567 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

640 
WWUS20 KWNS 142312
SEL8  
SPC WW 142312
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-150600-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 508
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2020

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Northwestern and north central Arkansas
  Extreme southeastern Kansas
  Much of central and southern Missouri
  Extreme northeastern Oklahoma

* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 515 PM until Midnight
  CST.

* Primary threats include...
  A couple tornadoes possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is underway in several bands
along and ahead of a cold front and dryline from northeastern
Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas into western Missouri.  The storm
environment will favor a mix of supercells and line segments capable
of producing a couple of tornadoes, damaging gusts, and isolated
large hail.  The primary threat will be confined to the western part
of the watch through about 9 pm CST, and in the eastern parts of the
watch from 9 pm to midnight.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Columbia MO to 40
miles southeast of Fayetteville AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.

...Thompson

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 14, 4:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Washington29 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2020Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2020Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2020Every tornado watch in 2020

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.