Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2018

River Flood Warning 62, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

October 8, 2018Uvalde County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at Oct 8, 2018, 3:01 AM CDT for Uvalde County, Texas. It took effect at Oct 8, 2018, 7:20 AM CDT. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 8, 2018, 3:01 AM CDT (08:01 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 8, 2018, 7:20 AM CDT
Expired: Oct 10, 2018, 9:41 AM CDT
In force: 50 hr
Issued by: NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

County Uvalde County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 32 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Nueces River at Laguna (UVAT2). The gauge peaked at 19.65 ft at Oct 9, 2018, 3:00 PM CDT.

Action stage: 7 ft
Minor stage: 10 ft
Moderate stage: 14 ft
Major stage: 21 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08190000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

554 
WGUS44 KEWX 080801
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
301 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Nueces River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-090200-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0062.181008T1900Z-181010T0920Z/
/UVAT2.1.ER.181008T1900Z.181009T1100Z.181009T2120Z.NO/
301 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* from this afternoon to late Tuesday night...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Monday the stage was 5.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches low water crossings on 
  Highway 55 above Barksdale on Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River crossing at 
  Barksdale is very dangerous. East of Camp Wood Farm to Market 337 crosses Camp
  Wood Creek in three places. Vehicular related drownings have occurred at all 
  these sites.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
  Laguna             7   10    5.7   Mon 02 AM   8.7  11.1   8.9   8.4   8.3


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

11 follow-up statements

738 
WGUS84 KEWX 081221
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
721 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-090620-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.181008T1220Z-181010T0400Z/
/UVAT2.1.ER.181008T1032Z.181008T1500Z.181009T1600Z.NO/
721 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  6:30 AM Monday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.0 feet by late this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flooding with flow exceeding the banks of 
  recreation camps in northern Uvalde County endangering sleeping campers and 
  washing autos and gear downstream. Highway 55 crosses Hackberry Creek above 
  Barksdale and the Nueces River at Barksdale. Farm to Market 337 crosses Camp 
  Wood Creek east of Camp Wood in three places. All these crossings have had 
  vehicular related drownings.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Laguna              7   10   11.0   Mon 06 AM  10.3   6.0   3.8   3.6   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

666 
WGUS44 KEWX 081719
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1219 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Nueces River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-091119-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T2010Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181008T2000Z.181010T0810Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Nueces River At Laguna.
 
* until Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At 11:30 AM Monday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 16.3 feet by late this 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes low bridges very 
  dangerous to motorists along Highway 55 at Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River 
  at Barksdale, and numerous crossings and low bridges in the headwaters and 
  Camp Wood Creek. Campers downstream should move themselves, vehicles, and 
  equipment from the banks of the river.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Laguna              7   10   12.7   Mon 11 AM   9.0   8.1   3.9   3.6   3.5

&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

346 
WGUS84 KEWX 090130
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
830 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
  Frio River Below Dry Frio Affecting Uvalde County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-091930-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T1930Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181008T1930Z.181010T0730Z.NO/
830 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  7:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.8 feet by tomorrow late 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches low water crossings on 
  Highway 55 above Barksdale on Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River crossing at 
  Barksdale is very dangerous. East of Camp Wood Farm to Market 337 crosses Camp
  Wood Creek in three places. Vehicular related drownings have occurred at all 
  these sites.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:

                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Laguna              7   10   10.6   Mon 07 PM   7.8   8.0   3.6   3.5   3.5

&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-091930-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.181009T0126Z-181011T1100Z/
/UVLT2.1.ER.181008T2239Z.181009T0600Z.181010T2300Z.UU/
830 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At  7:30 PM Monday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.8 feet by after midnight 
  tonight. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding with livestock cut off and equipment
  destroyed in lowest areas of the flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges 
  are dangerous to auto traffic above Barksdale to below Carrizo Springs.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:

                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Uvalde             10   11   12.7   Mon 07 PM  12.8  10.3   6.8   4.6   4.4

&&

LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
      2848 9975 2880 9985             

$$

TXC463-090200-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-181009T1354Z/
/UDET2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Frio River Below Dry Frio.
* At  7:30 PM Monday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 11.0 feet and has already 
  fallen below the bankfull stage of 10 feet.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:

                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Dry Frio           10   12    7.3   Mon 07 PM   5.5   8.4   4.1   3.5   3.2

&&

LAT...LON 2923 9971 2929 9962 2898 9917 2876 9912
      2873 9920 2893 9924             

$$

789 
WGUS84 KEWX 090735
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
235 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-100135-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T1900Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181008T1930Z.181010T0700Z.NO/
235 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  1:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 10.2
  feet by after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches low water crossings on 
  Highway 55 above Barksdale on Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River crossing at 
  Barksdale is very dangerous. East of Camp Wood Farm to Market 337 crosses Camp
  Wood Creek in three places. Vehicular related drownings have occurred at all 
  these sites.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Laguna             7   10    7.9   Tue 01 AM   6.9   7.6   3.8   3.5   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-100135-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1230Z/
/UVLT2.1.ER.181008T2239Z.181009T0245Z.181011T0030Z.UU/
235 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At  1:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 11.8 feet by tomorrow early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding with livestock cut off and equipment
  destroyed in lowest areas of the flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges 
  are dangerous to auto traffic above Barksdale to below Carrizo Springs.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Uvalde            10   11   11.5   Tue 01 AM  11.2  10.4   7.0   5.2   4.7


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
      2848 9975 2880 9985             

$$

298 
WGUS84 KEWX 091318
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
818 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-100716-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T1812Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181008T1930Z.181010T0612Z.NO/
818 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  7:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
  near 13.8 feet by late this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  by after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Moderate flooding with flow exceeding the banks of 
  recreation camps in northern Uvalde County endangering sleeping campers and 
  washing autos and gear downstream. Highway 55 crosses Hackberry Creek above 
  Barksdale and the Nueces River at Barksdale. Farm to Market 337 crosses Camp 
  Wood Creek east of Camp Wood in three places. All these crossings have had 
  vehicular related drownings.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Laguna              7   10    7.4   Tue 07 AM   7.1   3.6   3.5   3.5   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-100716-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T0820Z/
/UVLT2.1.ER.181008T2239Z.181009T0245Z.181010T2020Z.UU/
818 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At  7:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 13.0
  feet by early tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding with livestock cut off and equipment
  destroyed in lowest areas of the flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges 
  are dangerous to auto traffic above Barksdale to below Carrizo Springs.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Uvalde             10   11    8.8   Tue 07 AM  12.7   6.3   4.7   4.5   4.3


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
      2848 9975 2880 9985             

$$

320 
WGUS44 KEWX 091417
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
917 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Nueces River...West Nueces River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC271-463-100816-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0072.181010T0000Z-181010T1415Z/
/BTVT2.1.ER.181010T0000Z.181010T0100Z.181010T0215Z.NO/
917 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the West Nueces River At Bracketville.
* from this evening to Wednesday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 3.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near
  15.3 feet by this evening. The river will fall below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding is over one hundred twenty 
  yards wide at the gauge in one channel, and a second channel is fifteen yards 
  wide. Secondary roads and crossings near the river are flooded and dangerous 
  to motorists.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Bracketville        9   15    3.0   Tue 08 AM   7.7   4.2   3.8   3.5   3.3


&&

LAT...LON 2946 10027 2952 10022 2944 10003 2926 9998
      2931 10013 2942 10012        

$$

TXC463-100816-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181011T0130Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181009T2300Z.181010T1330Z.NO/
917 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Nueces River At Laguna.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
  near 16.0 feet by this evening.The river will fall below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes low bridges very 
  dangerous to motorists along Highway 55 at Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River 
  at Barksdale, and numerous crossings and low bridges in the headwaters and 
  Camp Wood Creek. Campers downstream should move themselves, vehicles, and 
  equipment from the banks of the river.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Laguna              7   10    9.0   Tue 08 AM  11.1   3.6   3.5   3.5   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-100816-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1700Z/
/UVLT2.2.ER.181008T2239Z.181010T1400Z.181011T0500Z.UU/
917 AM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* until Thursday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 15.3
  feet by tomorrow late morning.The river will fall below flood stage by early 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate flooding with livestock cut off and equipment
  destroyed in lowest areas of the flood plain. Secondary roads and low bridges 
  are dangerous to auto traffic above Barksdale to below Carrizo Springs.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Uvalde             10   11    8.6   Tue 08 AM  15.0   8.0   4.7   4.5   4.4


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
      2848 9975 2880 9985             

$$

792 
WGUS84 KEWX 091711
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1211 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-101110-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181011T0307Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181010T0100Z.181010T1507Z.NO/
1211 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At 11:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 20.6 feet by this evening,
  which is just below major flood stage. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Major flooding reaches recreation camps between Camp 
  Wood and Uvalde. Secondary and primary roads and bridges and can be life 
  threatening. Livestock should be moved from flood prone areas of the flood 
  plain from the headwaters to Crystal City.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Laguna              7   10   15.6   Tue 11 AM  12.6   3.8   3.5   3.5   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

188 
WGUS44 KEWX 091956
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
256 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Frio River...Nueces River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-101355-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181011T0140Z/
/UVAT2.3.ER.181008T1032Z.181009T2300Z.181010T1340Z.NO/
256 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Nueces River At Laguna.
* until Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.8 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Major flooding reaches recreation camps between Camp 
  Wood and Uvalde. Secondary and primary roads and bridges and can be life 
  threatening. Livestock should be moved from flood prone areas of the flood 
  plain from the headwaters to Crystal City.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Laguna              7   10   20.3   Tue 02 PM  11.5   3.7   3.5   3.5   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-101355-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0073.181010T0116Z-181010T1946Z/
/CNCT2.2.ER.181010T0116Z.181010T0400Z.181010T0746Z.NO/
256 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Frio River At Concan.
* from this evening to Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  2:47 PM Tuesday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this evening and continue to rise to near
  14.9 feet by tonight.The river will fall below flood stage by after midnight 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Major flooding increases very quickly to several feet 
  deep over the Frio River banks of recreation camps near Rio Frio to near 
  Concan. Sleeping campers, autos and recreational vehicles can be washed 
  downstream. This is a life threatening level.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Concan              7   11    8.3   Tue 03 PM   6.8   4.9   4.6   4.6   4.6


&&

LAT...LON 2951 9975 2951 9967 2943 9962 2929 9962
      2923 9971 2942 9970             

$$

TXC463-101355-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0074.181010T0728Z-181011T0332Z/
/UDET2.2.ER.181010T0728Z.181010T0900Z.181010T1532Z.NO/
256 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Frio River Below Dry Frio.
* from late tonight to Wednesday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and continue to 
  rise to near 16.8 feet by early tomorrow.The river will fall below flood stage
  by tomorrow late morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Major flooding of crop and pastureland, traps 
  livestock and can drown them. Secondary and primary roads and low bridges are 
  flooded and dangerous.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Dry Frio           10   12    5.8   Tue 02 PM  15.8   4.0   3.3   3.1   3.0


&&

LAT...LON 2923 9971 2929 9962 2898 9917 2876 9912
      2873 9920 2893 9924             

$$

984 
WGUS84 KEWX 100136
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
836 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County
  Sabinal At Sabinal Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-101935-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T2048Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181009T1930Z.181010T0848Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  tomorrow.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes low bridges very 
  dangerous to motorists along Highway 55 at Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River 
  at Barksdale, and numerous crossings and low bridges in the headwaters and 
  Camp Wood Creek. Campers downstream should move themselves, vehicles, and 
  equipment from the banks of the river.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Laguna              7   10   16.3   Tue 07 PM   8.2   4.0   3.6   3.4   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-101935-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1220Z/
/UVLT2.3.ER.181008T2239Z.181010T0400Z.181011T0020Z.UU/
836 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by tonight. The 
  river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Lowest homes downstream in the east edge of Crystal 
  City flood. Numerous secondary roads and low bridges are extremely dangerous 
  to motorists above Barksdale to below Carrizo Springs. Livestock are cut off 
  and equipment destroyed in the flood plain from the headwaters to below Tilden
  with massive damage to fencing and secondary roads.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Uvalde             10   11   17.0   Tue 07 PM  16.6   5.9   4.5   4.5   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
      2848 9975 2880 9985             

$$

TXC463-101718-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-181010T1718Z/
/SABT2.1.ER.181010T0214Z.181010T0300Z.181010T0518Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Sabinal At Sabinal.
* At  7:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 7.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise to near 14.1
  feet by lat tonight...then rapidly fall below bankfull early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding inundates lowest secondary 
  roads and bridges in the flood plain from the headwaters to the Frio River 
  confluence.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Sabinal            10   12    7.8   Tue 08 PM   7.4   4.6   4.3   4.1   3.9


&&

LAT...LON 2962 9956 2962 9948 2914 9941 2901 9921
      2894 9925 2910 9949             

$$

TXC127-101935-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.181010T1546Z-181015T0941Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1546Z.181012T0600Z.181014T2141Z.NO/
836 PM CDT Tue Oct 9 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At  7:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 10.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to 
  rise to near 28.9 feet by early Friday morning. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a 
  large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is 
  flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over 
  the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
  south and west of Carrizo Springs.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Asherton           18   20   10.1   Tue 07 PM  18.3  26.4  28.9  26.7  22.1


&&

LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939


$$

714 
WGUS84 KEWX 100801
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  West Nueces River At Bracketville Affecting Kinney and Uvalde Counties
  Sabinal At Sabinal Affecting Uvalde County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Below Uvalde Affecting Uvalde County
  Nueces River Near Asherton Affecting Dimmit County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC271-463-100831-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-181010T1516Z/
/BTVT2.3.ER.181009T2055Z.181010T0115Z.181010T0400Z.NO/
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the West Nueces River At Bracketville.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 3.9 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
  Bracketville       9   15   10.3   Wed 02 AM   8.2   3.9   3.6   3.3   3.1


&&

LAT...LON 2946 10027 2952 10022 2944 10003 2926 9998
      2931 10013 2942 10012        

$$

TXC463-102348-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T2348Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181009T1930Z.181010T1148Z.NO/
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. The river will 
  continue to fall to below flood stage later this morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches low water crossings on 
  Highway 55 above Barksdale on Hackberry Creek. The Nueces River crossing at 
  Barksdale is very dangerous. East of Camp Wood Farm to Market 337 crosses Camp
  Wood Creek in three places. Vehicular related drownings have occurred at all 
  these sites.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
  Laguna             7   10   11.3   Wed 02 AM   9.9   3.6   3.5   3.5   3.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

TXC463-110201-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-181011T1630Z/
/UVLT2.3.ER.181008T2239Z.181010T0215Z.181011T0430Z.UU/
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Below Uvalde.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. The river
  has crested and begun a slow fall.  It will fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon or tonight. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Major flooding extends well into the flood plain. 
  Livestock in the flood plain should be moved to higher ground immediately. 
  Highways 57, 65, 85, 190, and Farm to Market 1025 are flooded and closed. 
  Fencing and roads are damaged.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
  Uvalde            10   11   16.7   Wed 02 AM  16.2   6.0   4.5   4.5   4.5


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9994 2914 9985 2885 9974 2853 9967
      2848 9975 2880 9985             

$$

TXC463-100831-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-181010T1718Z/
/SABT2.1.ER.181010T0123Z.181010T0300Z.181010T0541Z.NO/
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Sabinal At Sabinal.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 4.5 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Flow extends into lowest areas of the flood plain with
  no significant damage.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
  Sabinal           10   12   10.5   Wed 02 AM   8.2   4.5   4.3   4.1   3.9


&&

LAT...LON 2962 9956 2962 9948 2914 9941 2901 9921
      2894 9925 2910 9949             

$$

TXC127-110201-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0070.181010T1554Z-181015T1024Z/
/ASRT2.3.ER.181010T1554Z.181012T0000Z.181014T2224Z.NO/
301 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

 The flood warning continues for
  the Nueces River Near Asherton.
* At  2:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue to rise to
  near 28.7 feet by tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage by 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Widespread major flooding threatens livestock over a 
  large area of the flood plain. A mile of Farm to Market 190 near the river is 
  flooded and flow is within a foot of the Farm to Market 190 bridge floor over 
  the Nueces River. The Nueces River and Turkey Creek are a mile and a half wide
  south and west of Carrizo Springs.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
  Asherton          18   20   18.0   Wed 02 AM  18.7  26.7  28.6  26.4  22.6


&&

LAT...LON 2848 9975 2853 9967 2847 9939 2839 9939


$$

951 
WGUS84 KEWX 101441
FLSEWX
Flood Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
941 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Nueces River At Laguna Affecting Uvalde County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.weather.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC463-101511-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-181010T2348Z/
/UVAT2.2.ER.181008T1032Z.181009T1930Z.181010T1105Z.NO/
941 AM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Nueces River At Laguna.
* At  9:30 AM Wednesday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is now below flood stage and will continue 
  to fall to 3.7 feet by tomorrow morning.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Laguna              7   10    9.1   Wed 09 AM   3.7   3.4   3.4   3.4   3.4


&&

LAT...LON 2944 10003 2945 9995 2928 9990 2914 9985
      2913 9994 2926 9998            

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 8, 12:33 AM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 12:33 AM CDT, 2 hours 28 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1233 AM CDT Mon Oct 8 2018

.AVIATION.../06Z TAFS/
MVFR cigs starting to develop across the eastern portions of the
area at this time. Expect to see all terminals at MVFR by 08Z. DRT
should be around 10Z. With precipitation out west could be delayed
further or not even occur. Should see a return to VFR after 16Z.
Convection will continue to be the main concern through this forecast
period. Will likely see showers through 16Z then thunderstorms into
the evening. Winds will be SE at 10-15 knots with occasional gusts to
around 20 knots after 16Z. DRT winds will be SE 15 to 20 knots.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 700 PM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018/

AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/
Cigs/vsbys should remain VFR for the most part for the I-35 sites
this evening. Cigs are expected to lower to MVFR category around
midnight tonight for KAUS, KSAT and KSSF and stay that way through
late Monday morning. Some showers are expected across these terminals
mainly by day break on Monday with a second round of scattered
showers and thunderstorms from mid to late afternoon. During that
time, cigs and vsbys should be MVFR. Winds are expected to be from
the southeast at around 10 knots for most of the forecast period with
higher gusts during thunderstorm activity.

KDRT is expected to be impacted by thunderstorm activity this
evening into the overnight hours with storms moving across or nearby
the terminal for the period. These storms are capable of producing
frequent cloud to ground lightning and wind gusts of 20 to 25 knots.
There may be a break around 07Z Through 09Z with most of the
activity to the east of the airport and VFR cigs could occur for a
short period before going back down to MVFR through mid afternoon on
Monday.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 PM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018/

SHORT TERM (Today through tonight)...
The current weather pattern is characterized by a large, high
amplitude trough across the western CONUS with the center of the
upper low currently situated over northern Arizona/southern Utah and
slowly progressing eastward. This has yielded southwest flow aloft
across south central Texas, which is bringing a steady stream of
Pacific moisture across Mexico and into the region, primarily focused
out west along the Rio Grande (which can be seen via GOES-16 water
vapor imagery). PWATs, as analyzed by the SPC mesoanalysis, are up to
1.7" in this area, which registers above the 90% percentile per
climatology. A few subtle perturbations embedded within the upper
level flow as well as weak forcing due to some weak positive
vorticity advection from the approaching trough, paired with this
area of ample moisture, will create the threat for heavy rainfall
this evening and overnight tonight across the Rio Grande and southern
Edwards Plateau. The SPC HREF shows a strong signal for heavy
rainfall, and single deterministic CAMs such as the HRRR and the NAM
nest also continue to suggest a locally heavy rainfall threat for
this region. As such, WPC does indeed highlight this area with a
slight risk for excessive rainfall. Thus, a Flash Flood Watch has
been issued for this region and will be in effect from 7 pm tonight
through 7 am Monday.

While the focus for heavy rainfall should remain confined to the
western portions of the region, the rest of south central Texas
should see isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms overnight
tonight, with overnight lows ranging from the low to mid 70s.

LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...
Scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected to
continue through Wednesday morning as the region remains under the
influence of the approaching trough and eventual surface cold front.
Locally heavy rainfall will be possible, and even some strong to
marginally severe storms are also possible. The trough axis and cold
front should move through the region on Wednesday, bringing rain
chances to an end as weak upper level ridging begins to build. Highs
will be in the upper 70s to low 80s for Thursday through Saturday
with lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Highs on Sunday are only
expected to reach the low to mid 70s across the region.

The remnants of Hurricane Sergio (in the Pacific) will come ashore
across Baja California and is progged to be absorbed into an upper
level trough in the vicinity of the desert southwest. This feature may
approach the region as we head into next weekend, so have re-
introduced some 20 to 30 percent PoPs for Saturday and Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              72  83  68  83  63 /  40  80  60  10   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  72  84  68  84  61 /  40  80  60  10   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     72  84  68  84  62 /  50  70  60  10   0
Burnet Muni Airport            70  80  64  80  59 /  50  80  50  10   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           70  84  65  85  66 /  60  60  20  -   -
Georgetown Muni Airport        72  82  66  81  59 /  40  80  60  10   0
Hondo Muni Airport             72  84  67  86  64 /  50  70  40  10  -
San Marcos Muni Airport        72  85  68  83  62 /  50  70  60  10   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   74  87  70  84  63 /  30  60  60  10   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       73  85  69  84  64 /  50  70  50  10   0
Stinson Muni Airport           73  85  70  85  65 /  50  70  50  10  -

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for Bandera-Edwards-
Kerr-Kinney-Maverick-Real-Uvalde-Val Verde-Zavala.

&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...10
Synoptic/Grids...05

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 7, 4:03 AM CDT, 22 hours 58 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
403 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-081115-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
403 AM CDT Sun Oct 7 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will increase across
the area this afternoon and tonight. Rainfall amounts of
one to two inches are possible with isolated amounts up
to four inches.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms with locally
heavy rain are possible Monday into Tuesday until a front pushes
through the region Tuesday. Drier conditions are expected for
Wednesday through Saturday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 7, 9:32 PM CDT, 5 hours 29 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
932 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

TXZ185-203-080330-
Uvalde TX-Real TX-
932 PM CDT SUN OCT 7 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN UVALDE AND REAL
COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

At 928 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking several strong
thunderstorms moving northeast from western Uvalde County to the
central and northeast portions of Real County. These storms are
moving north at 20 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Leakey, Camp Wood, Laguna, Montell, Cline, Tuff, Garner State Park,
Rio Frio, Reagan Wells, Vance, Lost Maples State Natural Area and
Prade Ranch.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 2919 10000 2923 10011 2941 10011 2962 10007
      2963 10001 2966 10003 2968 10002 2971 10005
      2972 10002 2978 10003 2980 10001 2982 10003
      2990 10000 3000 9999 2992 9969 2991 9969
      2990 9960 2982 9960
TIME...MOT...LOC 0228Z 195DEG 18KT 2936 10006

Special weather statement, Oct 8, 1:47 AM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
147 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2018

TXZ184-080715-
Edwards TX-
147 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN EDWARDS COUNTY UNTIL
215 AM CDT...

At 147 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles west of Rocksprings, moving north at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of northwestern
Edwards County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2990 10042 2994 10060 3029 10053 3029 10028
TIME...MOT...LOC 0647Z 193DEG 22KT 2999 10049

Local storm report, Oct 8, 2:05 AM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
205 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SE PRADE RANCH        29.90N 99.75W
10/07/2018  E6.00 INCH       REAL               TX   PUBLIC

            REPORT OF AN ESTIMATED 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAVING FALLEN
            SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ALONG THE WEST PRONG OF THE
            FRIO RIVER

1110 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NE CAMP WOOD            29.67N 100.01W
10/07/2018                   REAL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS FLOODING IN CAMP WOOD

1110 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 NW LEAKEY             29.77N 99.84W
10/07/2018                   REAL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING REPORTED ON FM 337 BETWEEN CAMP WOOD AND LEAKEY

1110 PM     FLASH FLOOD      11 W KERR WILDLIFE MANA 30.07N 99.69W
10/07/2018                   REAL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING REPORTED ON HIGHWAY 83 NORTH FROM GARVIN STORE

1133 PM     HEAVY RAIN       NE CAMP WOOD            29.67N 100.01W
10/07/2018  M4.81 INCH       REAL               TX   PUBLIC

            AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION IN CAMP WOOD MEASURED 4.81
            INCHES OF RAIN FOR THE 24 HOUR PERIOD

1248 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 NNW PRADE RANCH       30.05N 99.84W
10/08/2018                   REAL               TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY REPORTING STATE HIGHWAY
            41 IS CLOSED FROM RANCH TO MARKET ROAD 337 TO US HIGHWAY
            83 DUE TO FLOODING

&&

MH

Local storm report, Oct 8, 2:11 AM CDT, 50 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
211 AM CDT MON OCT 8 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 AM     FLASH FLOOD      10 SSE ROCKSPRINGS      29.89N 100.13W
10/08/2018                   EDWARDS            TX   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            DRIVETEXAS.ORG REPORTING STATE HIGHWAY 55 CLOSED IN
            BETWEEN ROCKSPRINGS AND BARKSDALE DUE TO FLOODING

&&

MH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 7, 7:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Real	40 min
Oct 7, 7:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Kerr, Real	46 min
Oct 7, 8:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Real	32 min
Oct 7, 8:39 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Real	3 hr
Oct 7, 8:58 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Uvalde	3 hr
Oct 7, 9:03 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EWX	Kerr, Real	27 min
Oct 7, 9:16 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Real	3 hr
Oct 7, 9:30 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EWX	Real	30 min
Oct 7, 9:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Real	58 min
Oct 7, 10:17 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Kerr	3 hr
Oct 7, 10:27 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EWX	Edwards, Real, Uvalde	33 min
Oct 7, 10:38 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Real, Uvalde	6 hr
Oct 7, 10:42 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Kerr, Real	2 hr
Oct 7, 11:14 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Edwards, Real	3 hr
Oct 7, 11:45 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EWX	Edwards	30 min
Oct 7, 11:53 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	EWX	Real	37 min
Oct 7, 11:54 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Edwards, Real	3 hr
Oct 8, 12:43 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Edwards, Kerr, Real	3 hr
Oct 8, 12:46 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Edwards, Real	3 hr
Oct 8, 1:47 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Edwards	28 min
Oct 8, 2:27 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Edwards, Real	3 hr
Oct 8, 5:55 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Edwards, Real	3 hr
Oct 8, 7:00 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Uvalde	32 hr
Oct 8, 7:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Uvalde	39 hr
Oct 8, 7:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Uvalde	3 days
Oct 8, 11:11 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Llano	57 hr
Oct 8, 11:53 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Bandera, Kerr, Real	3 hr
Oct 8, 1:57 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Hays, Travis, Williamson	3 hr
Oct 8, 3:47 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EWX	Kerr	3 hr
Oct 8, 5:07 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EWX	Val Verde	38 min
Oct 8, 6:19 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EWX	Kerr	15 hr
Oct 8, 6:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EWX	Val Verde	54 min
Oct 8, 6:42 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EWX	Kerr	5 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2018 Every river flood warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.