Severe Thunderstorm Warning 160, NWS Dodge City, KS

470 
WWUS53 KDDC 300018
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
718 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSC051-300030-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0160.000000T0000Z-180530T0030Z/
Ellis KS-
718 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR CENTRAL ELLIS COUNTY...

At 718 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 4 miles northwest of
Catherine, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Hays, Victoria, Walker, Catherine, Emmeram, Yocemento and Toulon. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3883 9904 3881 9948 3888 9954 3905 9949
      3914 9940 3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0018Z 246DEG 22KT 3898 9926 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Reynolds

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
635 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

12Z meso models are not doing well with the convection earlier
this morning. The only model that seems to be trending towards a
more correct solution is recent versions of the HRRR. As such,
confidence in this forecast is medium at best. Vis satellite shows
a boundary across SE portions of the forecast area. This boundary
may have retreated back north all the way to KDDC as we have SE
winds now. Therefore, feel the best chance of severe is Dodge City
and points E and SE. Upscale growth should occur fairly rapidly
with this boundary. Main threats will be marginal severe wind and
hail. Any tornado potential would be located across the far SE,
if that. Again, confidence is lower this forecast... we will have
to see how this evolves. Heavy rain of 1-3" could be possible as
well, particularly towards Barber county.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

There is a slight chance of storms mainly across the southern
zones tomorrow. Depending how short term convection evolves will
also determine what happens tomorrow. Confidence is low.

Beyond Wednesday, a dry and warm weather pattern is indicated by
the EC.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 635 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

Scattered convection near HYS and east of DDC next few hours.
Thunderstorms expected to clear SW KS by 09z Wed. Additional
activity in SE Colorado may approach GCK overnight. Consensus of
short term models suggests IFR stratus will impact HYS and GCK by
12z Wed. Winds mainly light and variable outside of convection.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  61  89  63  92 /  50   0  20   0
GCK  59  88  61  92 /  10   0  20  10
EHA  60  88  60  95 /  10  10  40   0
LBL  61  89  63  94 /  10   0  30   0
HYS  59  88  63  91 /  70   0  10  10
P28  64  90  67  94 /  80   0  40  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Turner

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
331 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-301030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
331 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018 /231 AM MDT Tue May 29 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon through early
tonight. Tennis ball size hail or larger along with wind gusts of
60 to 70 mph and periods of very heavy rainfall will be possible
from these storms late today and early this evening. An isolated
tornado or two will also be possible.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible near the Oklahoma
border Wednesday evening. Main hazards Wednesday night will be
heavy rainfall, hail up to golf balls, and wind gusts up to 60
mph.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  No hazards.

* Friday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 1 pm along and east of
highway 283.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
615 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TORNADO          3 N ENSIGN              37.70N 100.23W
05/29/2018                   GRAY               KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TORNADO ON GROUND SEEN FROM OFFICE.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
618 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 PM     HAIL             BUCKLIN                 37.55N 99.63W
05/29/2018  E2.00 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

            2 INCH HAIL.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
621 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             2 S CENTERVIEW          37.79N 99.27W
05/29/2018  E1.00 INCH       EDWARDS            KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
624 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             3 ENE MINNEOLA          37.47N 99.96W
05/29/2018  E1.50 INCH       CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

            PING PONG SIZE BY PUBLIC ON ROAD VIA SOCIAL
            MEDIA.

0615 PM     HAIL             3 ENE MINNEOLA          37.46N 99.96W
05/29/2018  E2.00 INCH       CLARK              KS   PUBLIC

            2 INCH HAIL BY PUBLIC ON ROAD.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
638 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     HAIL             1 W GREENSBURG          37.61N 99.30W
05/29/2018  E2.00 INCH       KIOWA              KS   PUBLIC

            2 INCH HAIL PUBLIC REPORT.

&&

RML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
643 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             3 SE ELLIS              38.90N 99.52W
05/29/2018  E1.00 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

&&

RML