Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2018

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 154, NWS Dodge City, KS

May 29, 20185 counties in Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 29, 2018, 5:47 PM CDT for 5 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 29, 2018, 5:47 PM CDT (22:47 UTC)
Expired: May 29, 2018, 6:30 PM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 2.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Edwards County, KS, Ford County, KS, Kiowa County, KS, Pawnee County, KS, Stafford County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 29, 6:15 PM CDT	HAIL 1	2 S Centerview, KS	QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 28 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 29, 2:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 48 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 57 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -422 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1490 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 131 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 487 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 5.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

445 
WUUS53 KDDC 292247
SVRDDC
KSC047-057-097-145-185-292330-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0154.180529T2247Z-180529T2330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
547 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northeastern Ford County in southwestern Kansas...
  Northwestern Kiowa County in south central Kansas...
  Southeastern Pawnee County in south central Kansas...
  West central Stafford County in south central Kansas...
  Edwards County in south central Kansas...

* Until 630 PM CDT

* At 547 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 5 miles south of
  Kinsley, moving northeast at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
           damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect 
           wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Larned, Kinsley, Macksville, Lewis, Offerle, Garfield, Belpre,
  Fellsburg, Centerview and Zook.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 9944 3790 9963 3791 9961 3791 9957
      3793 9957 3825 9901 3802 9879
TIME...MOT...LOC 2247Z 233DEG 27KT 3785 9942 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Reynolds

2 follow-up statements

594 
WWUS53 KDDC 292303
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
603 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSC047-057-097-145-185-292330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180529T2330Z/
Ford KS-Kiowa KS-Pawnee KS-Stafford KS-Edwards KS-
603 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN FORD...NORTHWESTERN KIOWA...SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE...
WEST CENTRAL STAFFORD AND EDWARDS COUNTIES...

At 603 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Lewis, moving
northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Larned, Kinsley, Macksville, Lewis, Offerle, Garfield, Belpre,
Fellsburg, Centerview and Zook.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 9944 3790 9963 3791 9961 3791 9957
      3793 9957 3825 9901 3802 9879
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 233DEG 27KT 3792 9930 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Reynolds

494 
WWUS53 KDDC 292314
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
614 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSC057-292323-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180529T2330Z/
Ford KS-
614 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN FORD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
south central and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3765 9944 3781 9956 3784 9957 3798 9931
      3808 9931 3825 9901 3802 9879
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 233DEG 27KT 3797 9922 

$$

KSC047-097-145-185-292330-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0154.000000T0000Z-180529T2330Z/
Kiowa KS-Pawnee KS-Stafford KS-Edwards KS-
614 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN KIOWA...SOUTHEASTERN PAWNEE...WEST CENTRAL STAFFORD
AND CENTRAL EDWARDS COUNTIES...

At 613 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 3 miles northeast of
Lewis, moving northeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Larned, Kinsley, Macksville, Lewis, Garfield, Belpre, Fellsburg,
Centerview and Zook.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 9944 3781 9956 3784 9957 3798 9931
      3808 9931 3825 9901 3802 9879
TIME...MOT...LOC 2313Z 233DEG 27KT 3797 9922 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Reynolds

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 29, 1:19 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 1:19 PM CDT, 4 hours 28 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
119 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

12Z meso models are not doing well with the convection earlier
this morning. The only model that seems to be trending towards a
more correct solution is recent versions of the HRRR. As such,
confidence in this forecast is medium at best. Vis satellite shows
a boundary across SE portions of the forecast area. This boundary
may have retreated back north all the way to KDDC as we have SE
winds now. Therefore, feel the best chance of severe is Dodge City
and points E and SE. Upscale growth should occur fairly rapidly
with this boundary. Main threats will be marginal severe wind and
hail. Any tornado potential would be located across the far SE,
if that. Again, confidence is lower this forecast... we will have
to see how this evolves. Heavy rain of 1-3" could be possible as
well, particularly towards Barber county.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

There is a slight chance of storms mainly across the southern
zones tomorrow. Depending how short term convection evolves will
also determine what happens tomorrow. Confidence is low.

Beyond Wednesday, a dry and warm weather pattern is indicated by
the EC.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

Some MVFR cigs association with some light showers this
afternoon. Additional showers and thunderstorms could be possible
this evening for KDDC/KHYS. There is some uncertainty in this as
the atmosphere is pretty worked over from the earlier
precipitation. Will watch and amend as necessary. Residual
moisture lingering may result in MVFR flight conditions tomorrow
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  84  61  89  63 /  50  50   0  20
GCK  80  59  88  61 /  20  10   0  20
EHA  85  60  88  60 /  10  10  10  40
LBL  87  61  89  63 /  10  10   0  30
HYS  78  59  88  63 /  90  70   0  10
P28  94  64  90  67 /  70  80   0  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 3:31 AM CDT, 14 hours 16 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
331 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-301030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
331 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018 /231 AM MDT Tue May 29 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon through early
tonight. Tennis ball size hail or larger along with wind gusts of
60 to 70 mph and periods of very heavy rainfall will be possible
from these storms late today and early this evening. An isolated
tornado or two will also be possible.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible near the Oklahoma
border Wednesday evening. Main hazards Wednesday night will be
heavy rainfall, hail up to golf balls, and wind gusts up to 60
mph.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  No hazards.

* Friday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 1 pm along and east of
highway 283.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 29, 5:17 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
517 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HAIL             4 S BUTTERMILK          37.04N 99.33W
05/29/2018  E2.00 INCH       COMANCHE           KS   STORM CHASER

            2 INCH HAIL.

0510 PM     HAIL             4 S BUTTERMILK          37.04N 99.33W
05/29/2018  E1.50 INCH       COMANCHE           KS   STORM CHASER

            PING PONG SIZE HAIL.

&&

Special weather statement, May 29, 5:20 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
520 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSZ030-031-292315-
Trego KS-Ellis KS-
520 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN TREGO AND
NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTIES UNTIL 615 PM CDT...

At 519 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northeast of Trego Center, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ellis, Wakeeney, Ogallah, Trego Center and Riga.

LAT...LON 3881 9970 3883 10002 3913 9991 3913 9927
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 239DEG 24KT 3893 9985

Reynolds

Local storm report, May 29, 5:22 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
522 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     HAIL             3 SSE WINDHORST         37.75N 99.62W
05/29/2018  E1.50 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

            PING PONG HAIL.

0515 PM     HAIL             3 SW WINDHORST          37.76N 99.69W
05/29/2018  E1.75 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL SIZE.

&&

Local storm report, May 29, 5:36 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
536 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             7 SE HANSTON            38.06N 99.62W
05/29/2018  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

0520 PM     HAIL             7 SE HANSTON            38.06N 99.63W
05/29/2018  E1.25 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   PUBLIC

            HALF DOLLAR HAIL.

&&

Local storm report, May 29, 5:38 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
538 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     HAIL             8 N BLOOM               37.60N 99.90W
05/29/2018  E2.75 INCH       FORD               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JAH

Local storm report, May 29, 5:43 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
543 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             HOWELL                  37.78N 100.18W
05/29/2018  E1.75 INCH       FORD               KS   PUBLIC

            GOLF BALL HAIL 102 RD/HWY 50.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 28, 7:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness, Scott	55 min
May 28, 7:11 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Lane	10 min
May 28, 7:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell	46 min
May 28, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Kearny, Stevens	52 min
May 28, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	50 min
May 28, 7:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Finney, Hodgeman, Lane, Ness, Pawnee and 3 more	53 min
May 28, 7:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Hodgeman and 3 more	54 min
May 28, 7:56 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	3 hr
May 28, 8:03 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness	12 min
May 28, 8:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Haskell, Seward, Stevens	53 min
May 28, 8:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Rush, Trego	39 min
May 28, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Pawnee, Rush, Trego	29 min
May 28, 8:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman, Pawnee	67 min
May 28, 8:50 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	28 hr
May 28, 8:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Ness, Pawnee, Rush, Trego	55 min
May 28, 9:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	6 hr
May 28, 9:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray, Haskell, Meade	35 min
May 28, 9:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward	34 min
May 28, 10:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark, Meade	29 min
May 28, 10:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Pawnee	33 min
May 28, 10:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Seward	45 min
May 28, 10:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	50 min
May 29, 4:21 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	DDC	Trego	15 hr
May 29, 3:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	38 min
May 29, 3:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Hodgeman	38 min
May 29, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	47 min
May 29, 4:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Clark	58 min
May 29, 4:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche	53 min
May 29, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman, Ness	47 min
May 29, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	45 min
May 29, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	54 min
May 29, 4:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	21 min
May 29, 4:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Gray	54 min
May 29, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Clark, Comanche	51 min
May 29, 5:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Ford, Kiowa	43 min
May 29, 5:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	48 min
May 29, 5:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Trego	55 min
May 29, 5:32 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ford	16 min
May 29, 5:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Clark, Comanche, Kiowa	32 min
May 29, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford	45 min
May 29, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Kiowa	46 min
May 29, 6:00 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Pawnee	60 min
May 29, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Comanche, Ford, Kiowa	55 min
May 29, 6:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	48 min
May 29, 6:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Edwards, Pawnee, Pratt, Stafford	64 min
May 29, 6:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Kiowa, Pratt	48 min
May 29, 6:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	43 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2018 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2018

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.