Severe Thunderstorm Warning 146, NWS Dodge City, KS

300 
WWUS53 KDDC 292146
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
446 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSC083-135-145-165-292215-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0146.000000T0000Z-180529T2215Z/
Ness KS-Hodgeman KS-Pawnee KS-Rush KS-
446 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN NESS...NORTHEASTERN HODGEMAN...NORTHWESTERN PAWNEE
AND SOUTHWESTERN RUSH COUNTIES...

At 446 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located 7 miles northwest of
Burdett, moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Two inch hail and 60 mph wind gusts. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...People and animals outdoors will be injured. Expect hail 
         damage to roofs, siding, windows, and vehicles. Expect wind 
         damage to roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
La Crosse, Bison, Burdett, Rush Center, Timken, Alexander, Nekoma and
Hargrave.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3824 9976 3868 9941 3842 9903 3813 9958
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 219DEG 20KT 3828 9960 

HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Reynolds

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
119 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

...updated discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

12Z meso models are not doing well with the convection earlier
this morning. The only model that seems to be trending towards a
more correct solution is recent versions of the HRRR. As such,
confidence in this forecast is medium at best. Vis satellite shows
a boundary across SE portions of the forecast area. This boundary
may have retreated back north all the way to KDDC as we have SE
winds now. Therefore, feel the best chance of severe is Dodge City
and points E and SE. Upscale growth should occur fairly rapidly
with this boundary. Main threats will be marginal severe wind and
hail. Any tornado potential would be located across the far SE,
if that. Again, confidence is lower this forecast... we will have
to see how this evolves. Heavy rain of 1-3" could be possible as
well, particularly towards Barber county.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 111 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

There is a slight chance of storms mainly across the southern
zones tomorrow. Depending how short term convection evolves will
also determine what happens tomorrow. Confidence is low.

Beyond Wednesday, a dry and warm weather pattern is indicated by
the EC.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Tue May 29 2018

Some MVFR cigs association with some light showers this
afternoon. Additional showers and thunderstorms could be possible
this evening for KDDC/KHYS. There is some uncertainty in this as
the atmosphere is pretty worked over from the earlier
precipitation. Will watch and amend as necessary. Residual
moisture lingering may result in MVFR flight conditions tomorrow
morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  84  61  89  63 /  50  50   0  20
GCK  80  59  88  61 /  20  10   0  20
EHA  85  60  88  60 /  10  10  10  40
LBL  87  61  89  63 /  10  10   0  30
HYS  78  59  88  63 /  90  70   0  10
P28  94  64  90  67 /  70  80   0  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Sugden

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
331 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-301030-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
331 AM CDT Tue May 29 2018 /231 AM MDT Tue May 29 2018/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

Severe thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon through early
tonight. Tennis ball size hail or larger along with wind gusts of
60 to 70 mph and periods of very heavy rainfall will be possible
from these storms late today and early this evening. An isolated
tornado or two will also be possible.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Elevated risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Elevated risk
* Lightning: Significant risk
* Non-thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

Strong to severe thunderstorms may be possible near the Oklahoma
border Wednesday evening. Main hazards Wednesday night will be
heavy rainfall, hail up to golf balls, and wind gusts up to 60
mph.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk

* Thursday
  No hazards.

* Friday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk
  - Fire weather: Elevated risk

* Saturday
  - Non thunderstorm wind: Limited risk

* Sunday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

* Monday
  - Lightning: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed after 1 pm along and east of
highway 283.

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
201 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     9 S CHARLESTON          37.73N 100.58W
05/28/2018                   GRAY               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ONE HALF OF A SCHOOL ROOF WAS TORN OFF, WITH
            AT LEAST 5 PIVOTS OVERTURNED IN THE AREA.
            TIME NOT KNOWN; ESTIMATED FROM RADAR TRENDS.

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
205 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0830 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E PIERCEVILLE         37.88N 100.65W
05/28/2018                   GRAY               KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEMI ROLLOVER.

&&

MR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
209 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       9 S LAKIN               37.81N 101.27W
05/28/2018  M0.70 INCH       KEARNY             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            RAIN FROM OVERNIGHT.

&&

MR

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
322 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSZ088-089-292100-
Clark KS-Comanche KS-
322 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL COMANCHE AND
SOUTHEASTERN CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 322 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southeast of Acres, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Protection, Sitka and Acres.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for south central
and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 9995 3732 9976 3723 9932 3700 9955
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 215DEG 25KT 3700 9977

Reynolds

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
337 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSZ063-064-077-078-292115-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Hodgeman KS-Ford KS-
337 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN FORD...EASTERN
FINNEY...SOUTHWESTERN HODGEMAN AND NORTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTIES UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

At 336 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles northeast of Cimarron, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Dime size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Jetmore and Kalvesta.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 1000 PM CDT for
southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3780 10017 3791 10036 3822 10019 3806 9986
TIME...MOT...LOC 2036Z 215DEG 13KT 3792 10024

Reynolds

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
402 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

KSZ088-089-292200-
Clark KS-Comanche KS-
402 PM CDT TUE MAY 29 2018

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN COMANCHE AND EASTERN
CLARK COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 402 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles south of Sitka, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Ashland, Coldwater, Protection, Sitka, Lake Coldwater, Acres and
Buttermilk.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 900 PM CDT for south central
and southwestern Kansas.

LAT...LON 3700 9996 3738 9982 3723 9925 3700 9939
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 211DEG 14KT 3704 9971

Reynolds