Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 199

May 9, 20177 counties in Colorado; 15 counties in New Mexico

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 9, 2017, 11:15 AM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado; 15 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2017, 11:15 AM MDT (17:15 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2017, 7:52 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 22 counties

Bent County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Bernalillo County, NM, Colfax County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Los Alamos County, NM, Mora County, NM, Rio Arriba County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Sandoval County, NM, Santa Fe County, NM, Taos County, NM, Torrance County, NM, Union County, NM

The radar

The Albuquerque radar (KABX), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

52 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 11:29 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQTorrance51 min
May 9, 11:30 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSandoval, Santa Fe45 min
May 9, 11:32 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQLos Alamos, Sandoval, Santa Fe43 min
May 9, 11:48 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRio Arriba43 min
May 9, 12:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQLos Alamos, Sandoval, Santa Fe62 min
May 9, 12:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQTorrance57 min
May 9, 12:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel, Santa Fe, Torrance29 min
May 9, 12:44 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBCrowley, Otero, Pueblo3 hr
May 9, 12:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQLincoln61 min
May 9, 12:55 PM MDTTornado WarningABQLincoln35 min
May 9, 12:59 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRio Arriba, Santa Fe31 min
May 9, 1:13 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel, Torrance13 min
May 9, 1:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQLos Alamos, Sandoval, Santa Fe43 min
May 9, 1:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRio Arriba, Taos27 min
May 9, 1:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel, Torrance65 min
May 9, 1:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, Rio Arriba, San Miguel32 min
May 9, 1:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Torrance39 min
May 9, 1:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel63 min
May 9, 2:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Torrance57 min
May 9, 2:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Lincoln, Torrance25 min
May 9, 2:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel, Torrance27 min
May 9, 2:28 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel32 min
May 9, 2:35 PM MDTTornado WarningABQGuadalupe, Torrance25 min
May 9, 2:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax44 min
May 9, 2:51 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel24 min
May 9, 2:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Otero35 min
May 9, 2:58 PM MDTTornado WarningABQGuadalupe32 min
May 9, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, San Miguel40 min
May 9, 3:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Las Animas, Otero54 min
May 9, 3:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel51 min
May 9, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Kiowa47 min
May 9, 3:35 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora40 min
May 9, 3:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe53 min
May 9, 3:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, San Miguel20 min
May 9, 3:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBent, Kiowa, Otero48 min
May 9, 4:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSandoval22 min
May 9, 4:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel47 min
May 9, 4:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRio Arriba, Sandoval17 min
May 9, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora61 min
May 9, 4:31 PM MDTTornado WarningABQHarding, Mora29 min
May 9, 4:35 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel25 min
May 9, 4:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Lincoln, Torrance58 min
May 9, 4:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax43 min
May 9, 4:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel38 min
May 9, 5:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Union25 min
May 9, 5:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQBernalillo, Sandoval, Valencia30 min
May 9, 5:23 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRio Arriba, Sandoval37 min
May 9, 5:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora, San Miguel, Union45 min
May 9, 6:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe30 min
May 9, 6:38 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBHuerfano, Las Animas, Otero, Pueblo3 hr
May 9, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion47 min
May 9, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Quay27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 566 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM at 12:00Z on 2017-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
566 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1602 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 6:18 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley and 17 more87 min
May 9, 9:55 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLas Animas3 hr
May 9, 2:29 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Kiowa, Las Animas and 4 more91 min
May 9, 5:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Costilla, Crowley, Huerfano and 6 more66 min
May 9, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers and 1 more7 hr
May 8, 6:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 10 more2 hr
May 8, 10:26 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 9 more64 min
May 9, 1:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe, Harding and 5 more119 min
May 9, 2:23 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe, Harding and 6 more8 hr
May 9, 5:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Lea and 2 more93 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2017Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2017Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.