Severe Thunderstorm Warning 86, NWS Albuquerque, NM

305 
WWUS55 KABQ 100027
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
627 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017

NMC019-100100-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-170510T0100Z/
Guadalupe-
627 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY...

At 626 PM MDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Bootleg, or 13
miles northwest of Friona, and is nearly stationary.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Santa Rosa, Puerto De Luna, Newkirk, Santa Rosa Lake State Park and
Cuervo.

This includes Interstate 40 between Mile Markers 266 and 305.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for east central
New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3469 10482 3482 10497 3521 10463 3519 10428
      3501 10413
TIME...MOT...LOC 0026Z 226DEG 45KT 3480 10285 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

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763 
WWUS55 KABQ 100043
SVSABQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
643 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017

NMC019-100053-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0086.000000T0000Z-170510T0100Z/
Guadalupe-
643 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN GUADALUPE COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits, and no longer pose an immediate threat to life or property.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 PM MDT for east central
New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3469 10482 3482 10497 3521 10463 3519 10428
      3501 10413
TIME...MOT...LOC 0042Z 226DEG 45KT 3489 10305 

$$

40

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
603 PM MDT Tue May 9 2017

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE

Will be brief due to ongoing weather. Main impact to all TAF sites
through the next 6 hours will be convection and the associated
impacts. Things are expected to go into a relative lull over much of
the area through about 2-3Z when a second round of convection is
expected to fire up over the middle RGV and east of the Central
Mountain Chain. The most impacted sites in this second round will
likely be KTCC and KROW.

54

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...320 PM MDT Tue May 9 2017...
.SYNOPSIS...
Severe thunderstorms will continue this evening over portions of
eastern New Mexico, with showers and high mountain snow showers
along with thunderstorms otherwise tonight. The upper level low
pressure system responsible for the unsettled weather and cooler
than average temperatures will slowly cross New Mexico from west to
east Wednesday, with showers and thunderstorms persisting, although
severe storms are less likely. Somewhat drier and warmer weather is
expected by Friday and Saturday, but a few showers and storms may
develop over the high terrain and along the Texas and eastern New
Mexico border. Westerly breezes look to shove the dryline east of
New Mexico early next week although temperatures will cool some in
the west.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
The ongoing active weather will continue through this evening with
the focus for severe weather shifting into the eastern plains.
Showers and storms look to persist through the overnight as the
center of circulation lifts into west central New Mexico by 12Z
Wednesday. Small amounts of high terrain snow are possible over the
Contdvd and northern mountains as temperatures aloft fall to 0 to -3
deg C west central and southwest. Locally heavy rain may also
accompany the storms, so stay away from arroyos and ditches.

The upper low will meander over New Mexico Wednesday and Wednesday
night, with the focus for precipitation slowly shifting to the north
central and northeast. Wrap around moisture on the back side of the
departing low will keep clouds and some precipitation going into
Thursday although the west and south will see less activity with
time. Some snow accumulations are possible over the higher terrain
of northern mountains Wednesday night but forecast amounts mostly
below advisory criteria athough high mountain passes could be a
little slick or snow covered. A surface boundary will push down the
east side of the state Thursday/Thursday night, although
precipitation doesn't look to be much of a factor, low clouds may
push up against the east slopes of the central mt chain Thursday
night and an east wind into the Rio Grande Valley could develop.
This could set the stage for a few showers or storms along the
higher terrain under the transitory upper ridge Friday as
temperatures warm towards average. Lingering moisture and above
average temperatures Saturday may also sprout a few mountain cells,
which could propagate into the plains as southwest flow aloft
increases.

After potential for a few dryline storms Sunday, moisture is shunted
east of New Mexico early next week by westerly breezes. Thereafter,
another upper low pressure system drops into the Great Basin for
what could be another round of more active weather.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Thunderstorm activity has fired up over northern and central NM this
afternoon, with much of the activity focused over the central mtn
chain. Thunderstorm activity will continue to spread east through
the evening over the east plains, with the potential for severe
storms over the east plains tonight. Meanwhile, a mid-level dry slot
will continue to limit thunderstorm activity over western NM with
better storm coverage towards the Four Corners region. Shower
activity over the western half will increase again overnight as the
center of the low moves towards west-central NM.

The center of the low is forecast to track over central NM Wednesday
and exit to north TX and OK Thursday. Increased precipitation
chances continue across NM Wednesday, with the best chance for the
most wetting precipitation over western and northern NM. Mixing hgts
and vent rates fall sharply Wednesday and Thursday as the low tracks
over NM, before improving Friday. Daytime temperatures fall to 10-15
degrees below average Wednesday, warming a few degrees Thursday.
Dewpoints also remain broadly in the 30s across NM Wednesday and
Thursday.

As the low exits the area late day Thursday overnight Friday a
backdoor front will bring breezy east canyon winds into the central
Rio Grande Valley early Friday morning. A high amplitude ridge
begins to build in Friday and through the weekend, bringing in drier
southwest flow. Vent rates and mixing hgts improve as the low exits
Friday. Moisture levels fall with minimum humidity values falling
below 15 percent for the weekend across the west. Winds stay
relatively calm Saturday across the west, being the limiting factor
for critical fire conditions. Winds pick up a bit more Sunday
allowing for brief critical conditions during the afternoon. Dry SW
flow continues into early next week before long range models
indicate another low pressure system entering the region toward the
end of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE

Thunderstorm activity over the north and central areas will continue
through today with severe thunderstorms likely. This activity will
spread onto the eastern plains this evening and through the night.
meanwhile drier weather will prevail west of the central and south-
central mtns until tonight when the center of an upper low
approaches increasing precipitation chances along the continental
divide westward. Winds will stay gusty through the afternoon, and
will weaken overnight. MVFR/IFR low clouds across east-central and
northeast areas will develop early Wednesday morning in the wake of
overnight precipitation.

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&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

99

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
449 AM MDT Tue May 9 2017

NMZ501>540-101100-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-Southwest Chaves County-
449 AM MDT Tue May 9 2017

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern and
central New Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong to severe thunderstorms are expected today in portions of
northwestern, central, and eastern New Mexico. In northwestern New
Mexico, damaging wind gusts are expected to be the primary threat,
while central and eastern areas of the state will also have the
potential for heavy downpours and large hail. A couple of isolated
tornadoes cannot be ruled out in central to eastern New Mexico.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Some strong to perhaps severe thunderstorms will be possible on
Wednesday, mainly in northeastern New Mexico.

In addition a few to several inches of high elevation snowfall will
be possible on the highest peaks above 10,000 feet Wednesday night.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report any severe weather through the
National Weather Service Albuquerque web site at weather.gov/abq or
by calling 1.888.386.7637. You can also submit storm reports and
photos on our Facebook page or via Twitter using the hashtag nmwx.

52

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
531 PM MDT TUE MAY 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     HAIL             4 SSE CEDARVALE         34.32N 105.66W
05/09/2017  M1.00 INCH       TORRANCE           NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1701912

GUYER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
543 PM MDT TUE MAY 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             2 NNW PORTAIR           34.43N 103.32W
05/09/2017  E1.50 INCH       CURRY              NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1701913

GUYER

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
548 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017

NMZ511-512-517-518-100030-
Lower Chama River Valley-West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Santa
Fe Metro Area-Jemez Mountains-
548 PM MDT TUE MAY 9 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LOS ALAMOS...SOUTH CENTRAL RIO
ARRIBA...EAST CENTRAL SANDOVAL AND NORTHWESTERN SANTA FE COUNTIES
UNTIL 630 PM MDT...

At 548 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles southwest of Los Alamos to 7 miles
north of La Cienega. Movement was northeast at 25 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Western Santa Fe, Los Alamos, Espanola, White Rock, Pojoaque,
Chimayo, Santa Clara Pueblo, Cuartelez, Nambe Pueblo and Rio
Chiquito.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 600 PM MDT for
north central New Mexico.

LAT...LON 3614 10637 3597 10578 3560 10606 3583 10656
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 204DEG 22KT 3584 10647 3568 10612

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
605 PM MDT TUE MAY 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     TORNADO          11 N CLOVIS             34.57N 103.20W
05/09/2017                   CURRY              NM   TWITTER FEED

            TORNADO START TIME 0555 MDT. CONFIRMED TORNADO 9 MILES
            NE OF RANCHVALE OR 11 MILES N OF CLOVIS MOVING NE AT 30
            MPH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1701914

GUYER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
611 PM MDT TUE MAY 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     HAIL             CANNON AFB              34.38N 103.31W
05/09/2017  E2.00 INCH       CURRY              NM   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1701915

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
612 PM MDT TUE MAY 09 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             CANNON AFB              34.38N 103.31W
05/09/2017  E1.00 INCH       CURRY              NM   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1701916

50