Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2017

Tornado Watch 200

May 9, 201712 counties in New Mexico; 17 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 9, 2017, 2:23 PM MDT for 12 counties in New Mexico; 17 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2017, 2:23 PM MDT (20:23 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2017, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 29 counties

Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Harding County, NM, Lea County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM, Andrews County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Castro County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Culberson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Terry County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 141 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

67 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 2:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves55 min
May 9, 2:28 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel32 min
May 9, 2:35 PM MDTTornado WarningABQGuadalupe, Torrance25 min
May 9, 2:51 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel24 min
May 9, 2:58 PM MDTTornado WarningABQGuadalupe32 min
May 9, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, San Miguel40 min
May 9, 3:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves44 min
May 9, 3:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, San Miguel51 min
May 9, 3:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves, Curry, Roosevelt55 min
May 9, 3:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQDe Baca, Guadalupe53 min
May 9, 3:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQMora, San Miguel20 min
May 9, 4:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel47 min
May 9, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora61 min
May 9, 4:31 PM MDTTornado WarningABQHarding, Mora29 min
May 9, 4:35 PM MDTTornado WarningABQSan Miguel25 min
May 9, 4:39 PM MDTTornado WarningABQCurry, Roosevelt36 min
May 9, 4:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay, Roosevelt35 min
May 9, 4:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe, Lincoln, Torrance58 min
May 9, 4:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQSan Miguel38 min
May 9, 5:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy, Lea56 min
May 9, 5:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Union25 min
May 9, 5:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Roosevelt66 min
May 9, 5:14 PM MDTTornado WarningABQCurry46 min
May 9, 5:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCochran43 min
May 9, 5:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay49 min
May 9, 5:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQColfax, Harding, Mora, San Miguel, Union45 min
May 9, 5:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves57 min
May 9, 5:48 PM MDTTornado WarningABQCurry42 min
May 9, 5:56 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBBailey, Cochran34 min
May 9, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves, Roosevelt45 min
May 9, 6:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBParmer50 min
May 9, 6:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith63 min
May 9, 6:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQGuadalupe30 min
May 9, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay61 min
May 9, 6:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea28 min
May 9, 6:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Cochran, Lamb35 min
May 9, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLea63 min
May 9, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQUnion47 min
May 9, 7:01 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBBailey, Lamb29 min
May 9, 7:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt55 min
May 9, 7:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQHarding, Quay27 min
May 9, 7:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry18 min
May 9, 7:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith62 min
May 9, 7:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith60 min
May 9, 7:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves65 min
May 9, 7:25 PM MDTTornado WarningAMADeaf Smith20 min
May 9, 7:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLamb31 min
May 9, 7:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQRoosevelt28 min
May 9, 7:41 PM MDTTornado WarningMAFLea20 min
May 9, 7:54 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBCochran, Yoakum36 min
May 9, 8:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves63 min
May 9, 8:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith62 min
May 9, 8:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQCurry, Quay30 min
May 9, 8:29 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBCochran31 min
May 9, 8:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Oldham58 min
May 9, 8:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves34 min
May 9, 8:58 PM MDTTornado WarningLUBCochran, Hockley32 min
May 9, 9:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey32 min
May 9, 9:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves30 min
May 9, 9:14 PM MDTTornado WarningABQChaves, Roosevelt46 min
May 9, 9:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves46 min
May 9, 9:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBHockley, Lamb31 min
May 9, 9:39 PM MDTTornado WarningABQRoosevelt51 min
May 9, 9:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBBailey, Castro, Lamb, Parmer30 min
May 9, 9:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy57 min
May 9, 9:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQChaves, De Baca, Roosevelt25 min
May 9, 9:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBLamb38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 374 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
374 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-321 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
831 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
173 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

503 
WWUS20 KWNS 092019
SEL0  
SPC WW 092019
NMZ000-TXZ000-100400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 200
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM MDT Tue May 9 2017

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Eastern New Mexico
  West Texas

* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
  1000 PM MDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
    to 3 inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and/or move
into parts of eastern New Mexico and west Texas this afternoon and
evening.  Supercells capable of very large hail and a few tornadoes
appear to be the main threat.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles southwest of Wink TX to 20
miles west northwest of Clayton NM. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 199...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23030.

...Hart

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 6:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 10 more2 hr
May 8, 10:26 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Colfax, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe and 9 more64 min
May 9, 9:55 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColfax, Lincoln, Los Alamos, Mora, San Miguel, Santa Fe and 2 more3 hr
May 9, 11:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBernalillo, Colfax, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Lincoln and 9 more9 hr
May 9, 1:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Eddy, Guadalupe, Harding and 5 more119 min
May 9, 5:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChaves, Curry, De Baca, Guadalupe, Harding, Lea and 2 more93 min
May 9, 5:24 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColfax, Los Alamos, Mora, Rio Arriba, Sandoval, San Miguel and 3 more66 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2017Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2017Every tornado watch in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.