Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 15, 2017Gray County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2017, 6:33 PM CDT for Gray County, Kansas. It was in force for 57 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2017, 6:33 PM CDT (23:33 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2017, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 57 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

County Gray County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 48 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 15, 6:58 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	2 S Kalvesta, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 52 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3017 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -157 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1284 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 248 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 15, 6:00 PM CDT, 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 6:00 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
600 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Winds will be mostly zonal over Kansas through tomorrow with an
upper level ridge over northern Mexico and an upper level low
sliding eastward across central Canada. Towards the surface, an
area of low pressure is currently sitting somewhere across west
central Kansas with a cold front extending southward into portions
of western Kansas and a warm front extending eastward into
portions of central Kansas. Storms are progged to first form along
the warm front this afternoon with more development possible along
the cold front as it slowly treks eastward today. The atmosphere
will be very unstable this afternoon with ample CAPE and SHEAR.
That means that any storms that do form will be capable of
becoming severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main
concern. Any storms that do develop are expected to move out of
the CWA by midnight with decreasing cloudiness thereafter. The
frontal boundary mentioned earlier will retrograde back to the
east tomorrow and bifurcate the CWA tomorrow. There will be a
slight chance of storms along northern Kansas and I-70 corridor
late in the afternoon. Otherwise expect clear to partly cloudy
skies. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to range from around
60 degrees along the KS/CO border to upper 60s across south
central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to soar into the upper 90s
with a few places possibly reaching the 100 degree mark.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

The CWA looks to remain generally dry through the long term period
as an upper level ridge builds across the southwestern United
States. One exception to this will be Saturday as an upper level
shortwave slides through the Northern Plains and in turn push a
cold front through the area. A few thunderstorms may form across
northern Kansas and northern portions of the CWA. Otherwise, only
an increase in cloud cover will be present. Another exception will
be next Wednesday as models suggest another disturbance moving
through the area. As for temperatures, highs will reach into the
upper 90s to around 100 degrees Saturday then down into the 80s
Sunday behind the aforementioned front. Western Kansas then
rebounds into the 90s for the remainder of the long term period.
Lows will generally be in the 60s to low 70s with the exception of
Sunday night when lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday evening)
Issued at 600 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Scattered thunderstorms will persist for the next few hours this
evening, mainly south of HYS and east of DDC. Convection is
expected to grow upscale into a thunderstorm complex and exit into
central Kansas by 03z Fri. VFR/SKC expected at all airports
tonight, with VFR and light winds continuing on Friday. There is a
signal in the models for isolated thunderstorms near HYS again by
21z Friday, but expecting much less activity than was seen today.
Only included VCTS/CB in the HYS TAF Friday afternoon for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  67  97  69 100 /  10  10  10  10
GCK  65 101  65 102 /   0  10   0  10
EHA  62  99  65 101 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  66 100  67 104 /  10   0   0   0
HYS  66  97  68  97 /  20  30  10  10
P28  69  96  72 101 /  60  10  10   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Turner

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 4:31 AM CDT, 14 hours 2 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017 /331 AM MDT Thu Jun 15 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A weak surface trough will be the focus for a few severe
thunderstorm to develop as early as mid afternoon, generally
along the K-96 corridor, and expanding east/southeast in the
evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

The favored area for thunderstorm chances on Friday is through
the I-70 corridor (Wakeeney/Hays/LaCrosse areas). A cold front
will move into the area late Saturday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  No hazards.

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:11 PM CDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
611 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     HAIL             6 SSE ARNOLD            38.55N 100.01W
06/15/2017  E0.88 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:18 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
618 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 PM     HAIL             6 NW NESS CITY          38.50N 99.99W
06/15/2017  E0.75 INCH       NESS               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:19 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
619 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             5 NE HUDSON             38.16N 98.60W
06/15/2017  E1.00 INCH       STAFFORD           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:27 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
627 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             NESS CITY               38.45N 99.91W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

            MOSTLY QUARTERS WITH A FEW GOLF BALL.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:28 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
628 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0628 PM     HAIL             NESS CITY               38.46N 99.90W
06/15/2017  E1.00 INCH       NESS               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GT

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
633 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSZ063-064-077-160030-
Gray KS-Finney KS-Hodgeman KS-
633 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN FINNEY...WEST
CENTRAL HODGEMAN AND NORTHEASTERN GRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...

At 633 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles west of Kalvesta, or 17 miles north of Cimarron, moving
southeast at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kalvesta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3797 10058 3815 10051 3809 10015 3785 10026
TIME...MOT...LOC 2333Z 287DEG 27KT 3804 10046

TURNER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 1:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ellis, Trego	63 min
Jun 15, 1:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	55 min
Jun 15, 1:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	16 min
Jun 15, 1:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	20 min
Jun 15, 2:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	48 min
Jun 15, 2:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis	17 min
Jun 15, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	44 min
Jun 15, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	43 min
Jun 15, 3:05 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis	4 hr
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	62 min
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	47 min
Jun 15, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	57 min
Jun 15, 3:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	49 min
Jun 15, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Pawnee, Rush	47 min
Jun 15, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Rush	47 min
Jun 15, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	45 min
Jun 15, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Rush	55 min
Jun 15, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Rush, Stafford	62 min
Jun 15, 5:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Rush	62 min
Jun 15, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stafford	31 min
Jun 15, 6:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Comanche	52 min
Jun 15, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	39 min
Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Stafford	57 min
Jun 15, 6:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	17 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.